our projections -- but he's got the upside to make a Week 1 play worthwhile if you're really in a pinch.
He has a home matchup against the Minnesota Vikings, a team that ranked 18th in Adjusted Defensive Passing NEP per play and 12th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks last season. Not great.
But he has a new deep-threat in Torrey Smith and a reliable possession target in Anquan Boldin, who continues to be a productive fantasy asset. Throw in some serious positive red zone regression -- if you think his opportunity remains relatively constant -- and he's got the tools to give you a solid fantasy return in Week 1.
The over/under is a worrisome 41.5, but Kaepernick's rushing upside can likely replace a four-point passing touchdown (our algorithms peg him just shy of 30 yards on the ground).