High-Cost Option: Randall Cobb $7,400
I have no qualms with double-dipping reaching back into the wide receiver well with Randall Cobb again as one of my favorite high-cost options of the week. Cobb faces a struggling San Francisco secondary that has given up the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. Cobb -- red hot after a 7-91-3 stat line from Monday Night Football -- will continue to exploit the 49ers defense this week.
Continuing his red zone efficiency from last year, Cobb has seen six red zone targets on the season converting four of them for scores. Cobb saw a career-high 10 red zone touchdowns last season and is well above pace to beat that mark with makes me shudder, but for DFS purposes, I'm willing to roll the dice whenever Hilton's at home against a divisional opponent. Hilton has produced well above his career average in these games -- particularly well against his Week 4 opponent, Jacksonville.
As Graham Barfield noted earlier this week, Hilton has feasted on the Jaguars in their past matchups. In three home games against the Jaguars, Hilton has produced the following stat lines: 4-122-1, 11-155-0, and 4-113-1. Feasted. Hilton will spend most of this game matched up with Jacksonville cornerback Davon House who's been off to a mediocre start since joining the Jaguars this offseason. The Jaguars have fared middle of the road against in giving up fantasy points to opposing wide receivers on the season, but have yet to face an offense with quite the potential that Indianapolis has.
Indianapolis enters this game as a 10-point favorite in this week's second highest point total. Andrew Luck and the gang will likely be pushing this offense 100% the entire game in order to find a rhythm for their offense, subsequently benefiting his playmakers. Positive regression is coming for Luck, and a home game against Jacksonville is just what the doctor ordered for this offense.
Low-Cost Option: Stevie Johnson $4,400
While Joe Haden tries to contain Keenan Allen this week, primary slot receiver Stevie Johnson finds himself in a favorable matchup against Cleveland's K'Waun Williams that could be exploited as a cheap low-cost wide receiver play.
Johnson has seen a steady diet of nearly six targets per game as he's carved himself quite a role despite playing second fiddle to Allen in the passing game. Johnson might not have the highest ceiling, but he's been a steady touchdown producer, scoring in Weeks 1 and 2, and faces a pass defense that's tied for allowing the fourth-most passing touchdowns this season. Johnson should see success against Williams and could potentially reach the end zone if he can create enough separation from Williams, as he ranks fourth highest in yards after catch among all wide receivers.
GPP Wildcard: Marvin Jones $3,800
Coming off a 5-94-1 outing against the Baltimore Ravens, Marvin Jones will look to build off his success in Week 4 against the Chiefs. Jones will likely get a favorable matchup with Sean Smith coming back from suspension. Jones has started slowly following his return from injury, but the Chiefs secondary was just torched by the Packers last week leaving optimism for Jones this week.
Kansas City has given up the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers on the season, and Jones could be a big benefactor this week as the Chiefs focus on trying to slow down A.J. Green after his monster week.