Duke Johnson was headed toward bigger and better things a few weeks ago, but he's hovered around 10 half-PPR points in three straight games after his receiving clinic in Week 4 against the Chargers. That's not awful production, but it's not bankable -- especially not for a running back against the Arizona Cardinals.

But Johnson is more pass-catcher than rusher. He's topped nine carries just once and hasn't hit 44 rushing yards in a single game. The Cardinals are 10th against fantasy rushers and 4th against the rush, per our per-play metrics. Arizona is favored by 4.5 points on the road, and hardly anyone outside of Cleveland would expect the Browns to control the clock.

That opens up the pass-heavy game script for Cleveland and makes Johnson a smart play in terms of receiving value.