According to nERD -- which measures the number of points we'd expect a team to win by against an average one on a neutral field -- the Titans are easily the worst team remaining in the playoffs. With a nERD rating of -2.83, they're not just the only remaining playoff team that's played like a below-average squad this year, they're analytically worse than nine teams who didn't even reach the postseason.
Naturally, they've got the worst odds of actually going on a run and winning this year's Super Bowl.
The odds for the rest of the field can be found below:
Team | Conference Champion Odds | Super Bowl Champion Odds |
---|---|---|
New England Patriots | 46.92% | 25.32% |
Minnesota Vikings | 33.56% | 18.14% |
Philadelphia Eagles | 32.16% | 15.24% |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 27.53% | 13.80% |
New Orleans Saints | 23.29% | 11.77% |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 19.41% | 9.59% |
Atlanta Falcons | 10.99% | 4.27% |
Tennessee Titans | 6.14% | 1.87% |