MLB

8 Overvalued Players for Fantasy Baseball in 2017

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Trea Turner, 2B, Washington Nationals

Position Rank: 2nd

Current ADP: 10.72

Turner will be manning shortstop for the Washington Nationals in 2017, but he is not yet eligible at the position, which is why he's showing up with the second baseman. He's only entering his first full big-league season, but a breakout 2016 that saw him post a .937 OPS with 13 homers, 40 RBI's, 53 runs scored and 33 stolen bases in 324 plate appearances was pretty incredible.

Is it for real, though? And real enough to feel confident taking him at the end of the first round?

The power/speed combo is awfully tantalizing, but some of his peripheral stats show this shouldn't necessarily be a slam dunk.

Having a full season at the top of the Nats' order will naturally help his RBI and runs scored totals, but Steamer is projecting 15 homers in 638 plate appearances -- just 2 more round-trippers from last year despite nearly double the opportunity.

Part of that is because his .225 Isolated Slugging Percentage (ISO) as a rookie was the first time this number ever crested over .169 throughout his professional career (including minors). And as it currently stands, second baseman with more established power -- like Brian Dozier, Robinson Cano, Daniel Murphy and Rougned Odor -- are getting selected between picks 32 and 40.

But what if you're set on the power/speed upside and want to mitigate risk? Jean Segura comes with his own questions, but he could be an option to consider.

Steamer Projection ADP Avg. HR RBI Runs SB
Trea Turner 10.72 .301 15 68 87 40
Jean Segura 52.67 .273 13 61 76 24


Turner's projections are superior, but it's not a huge difference between someone who is ranked as the second-best second baseman compared Segura, who ranks ninth-best.