Daily Fantasy Baseball: Positive Batted-Ball Regression Candidates for Week 3
Jesse Winker, OF, Cincinnati Reds
The once-crowded Jesse Winker bandwagon has gotten a bit lighter in the early days of 2019, with the would-be breakout taking center stage in a miserable offensive start to 2019 for the Cincinnati Reds.
The third-year lefty slugger has limped to a miserable .190 batting average through 47 plate appearances, but that comes on the back of an insanely low .143 BABIP, which simply doesn't jive with Winker's strong 28.1% line-drive rate and 43.8% hard-hit clip. Indeed, Statcast pegs Winker for a .508 expected slugging percentage (xSLG) based on his quality of contact, a meaningful improvement on his actual mark of .476.
Things don't figure to get a heck of a lot easier for Winker as the Reds draw some tough Dodgers and Padres arms in Week 3, but with Winker's price nose-diving to the low-$2,000's on FanDuel, he makes for an interesting dart through against righties like Kenta Maeda, Walker Buehler, and Chris Stratton.