5 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays for 4/23/19
Travis Shaw, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers
Price: $2,300
Travis Shaw has a weak .255 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) through 87 plate appearances this season, so while his .244 wOBA is ugly, his 42.9% hard-hit rate indicates we can expect his production to really pick up moving forward.
That's on pace to be the highest hard-hit rate of his career, and while it's coming with a decline in plate discipline (his 13.9% swinging-strike rate is also on pace to be a career-high), it means he's still offering some of the same power he's shown us in the past. He posted wOBAs of at least .351 and ISOs of at least .239 in each of the last two seasons, and this low BABIP through a small sample shouldn't have you worried.
He also gets a solid matchup tonight, taking on St. Louis Cardinals righty Daniel Ponce de Leon, who is coming up from Triple-A. Ponce de Leon has a brutal 6.04 xFIP over three Triple-A starts this season, and while that's not a big enough sample to worry about, he also only managed a 4.83 in 18 starts in 2018. He's also only posted a 4.18 SIERA over his 11 career major league appearances.
Adding in the platoon advantage for Shaw (he owns a .366 wOBA and .257 ISO in the split since joining the Milwaukee Brewers), this is a prime buy-low spot.