MLB Betting Guide: Monday 8/16/21
Which MLB games offer betting value on Soccer odd? Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers. You can also look at our oddsFire tool to get a feel for what the betting public is doing.
Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees
Los Angeles Angels +1.5 (+105): 1 Star out of 5
The New York Yankees bring back Gerrit Cole, giving them an advantage in the starting pitching matchup, considering that Cole sports a 2.97 xERA compared to the 4.04 xERA of Los Angeles Angels starter Jose Suarez.
However, the Angels make up for this pitching deficit with their offense, as they average 4.52 runs per game compared to only 4.26 runs per game for the Yankees.
Our model projects a Yankees victory but we do like the Angels to cover, giving them a 52.82% chance to do so at +1.5. Jose Suarez is good enough to keep this game close given the Angels’ superior offensive production.
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Over 8.5 runs (-105): 1 Star out of 5
This game features a pitching matchup between two very inexperienced starters. Touki Toussaint goes for the Atlanta Braves and he has only made 16 career MLB starts with a 5.59 ERA. This season, he is slightly better with an xERA of 4.55 in 5 starts.
The Miami Marlins start Braxton Garrett, who has made 8 MLB starts with a 4.89 ERA. He has made 6 of those starts this season and he has an xERA of 5.85 to show for it.
With neither pitcher being very experienced or overly successful in their MLB careers, our model projects a 53.28% chance of the over, making this a 1-Star bet.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-126): 1 Star out of 5
The San Diego Padres are likely going to the playoffs and they are big favorites in this game, however, playing in Colorado Rockies is always difficult. The Rockies are 38-21 at home and the Padres are only 27-29 on the road, so there is plenty of reason to believe the Rockies should have a good chance to win this one.
The pitching matchup is also favorable for the Rockies as Antonio Senzatela has an xERA of 4.58 compared to Padres’ starter Ryan Weathers, who has an xERA of 5.38.
Our model likes the Rockies +1.5, giving them a 58.25% chance to cover the runline.
