MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Monday 7/4/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | Jalen Beeks | 10.0 | 5.32 | 44.0% | 28.6% | 16.9% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| HOU | Jon Heasley | 9.0 | 5.28 | 43.3% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| ATL | Dakota Hudson | 9.5 | 5.26 | 43.0% | 27.7% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| LAD | Kyle Freeland | 8.5 | 5.24 | 42.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| NYM | Hunter Greene | 9.5 | 5.20 | 41.9% | 26.8% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| MIL | Justin Steele | 9.0 | 4.87 | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| CHW | Dylan Bundy | 9.0 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| TB | Austin Davis | 10.0 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| SD | Chris Flexen | 8.0 | 4.53 | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| CLE | Garrett Hill | 8.5 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| SF | Madison Bumgarner | 8.0 | 4.51 | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| TOR | Cole Irvin | 7.5 | 4.44 | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| MIA | Patrick Corbin | 8.5 | 4.32 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| MIN | Johnny Cueto | 9.0 | 4.31 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| CIN | Taijuan Walker | 9.5 | 4.30 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| TEX | Dean Kremer | 8.5 | 4.27 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| STL | Kyle Wright | 9.5 | 4.24 | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| BAL | Dane Dunning | 8.5 | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| WSH | Braxton Garrett | 8.5 | 4.18 | 24.4% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| CHC | Eric Lauer | 9.0 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| CLE | Alex Faedo | 7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| DET | Zach Plesac | 8.5 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| KC | Jake Odorizzi | 9.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| ARI | Carlos Rodon | 8.0 | 3.49 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| SEA | Sean Manaea | 8.0 | 3.47 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| DET | Cal Quantrill | 7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| COL | Julio Urias | 8.5 | 3.26 | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| OAK | Alek Manoah | 7.5 | 3.06 | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon | ARI | 6.7 | 89.9% | 79.4% | 65.4% | 49.9% | 35.1% | 22.8% | 13.7% |
| Kyle Wright | STL | 6.3 | 87.4% | 75.4% | 60.3% | 44.3% | 30.0% | 18.6% | 10.7% |
| Sean Manaea | SEA | 6.2 | 86.4% | 73.8% | 58.3% | 42.3% | 28.1% | 17.2% | 9.7% |
| Eric Lauer | CHC | 6.0 | 84.6% | 71.1% | 54.9% | 38.9% | 25.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Julio Urias | COL | 5.9 | 84.1% | 70.3% | 54.0% | 37.9% | 24.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Alek Manoah | OAK | 5.8 | 83.4% | 69.3% | 52.8% | 36.8% | 23.4% | 13.7% | 7.3% |
| Johnny Cueto | MIN | 5.0 | 73.4% | 55.8% | 38.2% | 23.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Taijuan Walker | CIN | 4.9 | 72.4% | 54.5% | 37.0% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Hunter Greene | NYM | 4.9 | 71.8% | 53.8% | 36.3% | 22.0% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Justin Steele | MIL | 4.9 | 71.5% | 53.5% | 35.9% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Patrick Corbin | MIA | 4.7 | 68.9% | 50.4% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Braxton Garrett | WSH | 4.5 | 64.9% | 45.8% | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Cole Irvin | TOR | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Dane Dunning | BAL | 4.4 | 63.4% | 44.1% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Madison Bumgarner | SF | 4.2 | 61.0% | 41.6% | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Cal Quantrill | DET | 4.2 | 60.5% | 41.0% | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Jake Odorizzi | KC | 4.1 | 59.0% | 39.5% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Zach Plesac | DET | 4.1 | 58.0% | 38.5% | 22.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Chris Flexen | SD | 4.0 | 57.2% | 37.7% | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Freeland | LAD | 4.0 | 56.8% | 37.3% | 21.6% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Brasier | TB | 3.9 | 55.3% | 35.7% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Dean Kremer | TEX | 3.9 | 55.3% | 35.7% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Bundy | CHW | 3.9 | 54.7% | 35.2% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Faedo | CLE | 3.8 | 51.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Hudson | ATL | 3.7 | 50.0% | 30.7% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Hill | CLE | 3.5 | 45.3% | 26.5% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jon Heasley | HOU | 3.4 | 43.5% | 25.0% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jalen Beeks | BOS | 3.3 | 42.4% | 24.1% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Austin Davis | TB | 1.3 | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 27.2% | +270 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 26.9% | +270 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 26.2% | +280 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 107 | Kyle Freeland | 24.5% | +310 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 23.7% | +320 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Jon Heasley | 23.5% | +325 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 22.3% | +350 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 22.3% | +350 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 22.2% | +350 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Kyle Freeland | 21.8% | +360 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 99 | Ryan Brasier | 21.7% | +360 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 20.8% | +380 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 20.7% | +385 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Jon Heasley | 20.4% | +390 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Dane Dunning | 20.3% | +390 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 20.2% | +395 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 20.2% | +395 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 20.0% | +400 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 19.9% | +405 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Jon Heasley | 19.9% | +405 |
| George Springer | TOR | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 19.9% | +405 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 19.8% | +405 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 19.7% | +405 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 19.3% | +420 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 18.9% | +430 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Jon Heasley | 18.8% | +430 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Jon Heasley | 18.8% | +430 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 18.7% | +435 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 106 | Braxton Garrett | 18.6% | +435 |
| Mitch Garver | TEX | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 18.5% | +440 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jalen Beeks | 18.3% | +445 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Chris Flexen | 18.1% | +455 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 17.9% | +460 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Dakota Hudson | 17.8% | +460 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Dane Dunning | 17.8% | +460 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 113 | Taijuan Walker | 17.6% | +470 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Alex Faedo | 17.6% | +470 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 17.4% | +475 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dane Dunning | 17.2% | +480 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Dylan Bundy | 17.1% | +485 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 93 | Jalen Beeks | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Garrett Hill | 17.0% | +490 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 16.9% | +490 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 102 | Julio Urias | 16.8% | +495 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 16.8% | +495 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 16.8% | +495 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 107 | Kyle Freeland | 16.7% | +500 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Dylan Bundy | 16.7% | +500 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dane Dunning | 16.5% | +505 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 16.5% | +505 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | No | 104 | Patrick Corbin | 16.5% | +505 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 16.4% | +510 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jalen Beeks | 16.4% | +510 |
| Pedro Severino | MIL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 16.2% | +515 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 16.2% | +515 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Carlos Rodon | 16.2% | +515 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 15.9% | +530 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 15.9% | +530 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 15.9% | +530 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 94 | Alex Faedo | 15.8% | +535 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 94 | Garrett Hill | 15.8% | +535 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Jon Heasley | 15.8% | +535 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 15.7% | +535 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 15.7% | +535 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 93 | Ryan Brasier | 15.7% | +540 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 15.6% | +540 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Alex Faedo | 15.5% | +545 |
| Kris Bryant | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 15.3% | +555 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 15.2% | +555 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 15.1% | +560 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 15.1% | +565 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Dylan Bundy | 15.1% | +565 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 111 | Taijuan Walker | 14.9% | +570 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | No | 106 | Dylan Bundy | 14.4% | +595 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jalen Beeks | 14.4% | +595 |
| Darin Ruf | SF | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 14.3% | +600 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 14.3% | +600 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 14.2% | +600 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 14.1% | +610 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 14.1% | +610 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | No | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 14.0% | +615 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 102 | Kyle Freeland | 14.0% | +615 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 100 | Kyle Wright | 14.0% | +615 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 94 | Cal Quantrill | 13.9% | +620 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Jon Heasley | 13.8% | +625 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Kyle Freeland | 13.8% | +625 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | Yes | 107 | Kyle Freeland | 13.8% | +625 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 13.7% | +625 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 13.7% | +630 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Dylan Bundy | 13.7% | +630 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Alek Manoah | 13.7% | +630 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 93 | Carlos Rodon | 13.6% | +635 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 111 | Taijuan Walker | 13.5% | +645 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | No | 102 | Kyle Freeland | 13.4% | +645 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 13.4% | +650 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 97 | Kyle Wright | 13.3% | +650 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 13.3% | +650 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Dakota Hudson | 13.3% | +655 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 94 | Zach Plesac | 13.3% | +655 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 13.1% | +665 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Dylan Bundy | 12.9% | +675 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 102 | Kyle Freeland | 12.8% | +680 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | No | 111 | Taijuan Walker | 12.7% | +690 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 12.7% | +690 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 12.6% | +695 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 12.6% | +695 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 12.5% | +700 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Dylan Bundy | 12.2% | +725 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Braxton Garrett | 12.1% | +725 |
| Ehire Adrianza | WSH | Yes | 106 | Braxton Garrett | 12.1% | +725 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 12.0% | +735 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 12.0% | +735 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | No | 99 | Carlos Rodon | 11.9% | +740 |
| Justin Upton | SEA | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 11.9% | +745 |
| Yan Gomes | CHC | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 11.8% | +745 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Jon Heasley | 11.7% | +755 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 99 | Ryan Brasier | 11.5% | +770 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 11.4% | +775 |
| Nomar Mazara | SD | Yes | 95 | Chris Flexen | 11.3% | +785 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 11.2% | +790 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dane Dunning | 11.2% | +790 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 112 | Dane Dunning | 11.2% | +795 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | TB | Yes | 93 | Ryan Brasier | 11.1% | +800 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 100 | Kyle Wright | 11.1% | +800 |
| David Bote | CHC | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 11.0% | +805 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Alek Manoah | 11.0% | +810 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 10.9% | +815 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 93 | Carlos Rodon | 10.8% | +825 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 10.8% | +830 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jalen Beeks | 10.7% | +840 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 10.6% | +845 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Garrett Hill | 10.5% | +850 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 96 | Chris Flexen | 10.5% | +855 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 10.4% | +860 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 10.4% | +865 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | 111 | Taijuan Walker | 10.3% | +870 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Taijuan Walker | 10.3% | +870 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Alex Faedo | 10.0% | +895 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | Yes | 95 | Chris Flexen | 9.9% | +910 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jalen Beeks | 9.9% | +915 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 9.8% | +920 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Alex Faedo | 9.8% | +920 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 93 | Ryan Brasier | 9.7% | +930 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 9.7% | +935 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 9.6% | +940 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Sean Manaea | 9.6% | +940 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | No | 101 | Justin Steele | 9.5% | +950 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 101 | Jon Heasley | 9.5% | +955 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 9.4% | +965 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 9.4% | +965 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 9.3% | +975 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 9.3% | +975 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Dylan Bundy | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 94 | Cal Quantrill | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Chris Flexen | 9.0% | +1005 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 93 | Ryan Brasier | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | No | 101 | Eric Lauer | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 94 | Alek Manoah | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 94 | Alek Manoah | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Connor Joe | COL | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 106 | Braxton Garrett | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Luke Williams | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Jonathan Arauz | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dane Dunning | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 94 | Cal Quantrill | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jalen Beeks | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | No | 101 | Justin Steele | 8.2% | +1120 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Billy Hamilton | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 7.9% | +1170 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | 106 | Braxton Garrett | 7.9% | +1170 |
| Austin Wynns | SF | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | No | 95 | Sean Manaea | 7.8% | +1190 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | No | 104 | Braxton Garrett | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Taijuan Walker | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 94 | Zach Plesac | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 7.0% | +1320 |
| Jacob Stallings | MIA | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Luke Maile | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dane Dunning | 6.9% | +1345 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Dane Dunning | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Chris Flexen | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Steven Kwan | CLE | Yes | 94 | Alex Faedo | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Richie Palacios | CLE | Yes | 94 | Alex Faedo | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Richie Palacios | CLE | Yes | 94 | Garrett Hill | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Dylan Bundy | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 100 | Kyle Wright | 6.3% | +1480 |
