MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 7/5/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | Tyler Gilbert | 9.5 | 5.28 | 43.3% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| PHI | Paolo Espino | 9.5 | 5.23 | 42.4% | 27.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| NYY | Jose Quintana | 9.0 | 5.17 | 41.4% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| ATL | Andre Pallante | 9.5 | 5.10 | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| LAD | German Marquez | 8.5 | 5.07 | 39.6% | 24.8% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| CHW | Chris Archer | 9.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| NYM | Nick Lodolo | 8.5 | 4.91 | 36.8% | 22.5% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| CLE | Drew Hutchison | 9.0 | 4.87 | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| TEX | Austin Voth | 9.5 | 4.82 | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| HOU | Zack Greinke | 8.0 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| BOS | Jeffrey Springs | 9.0 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| BAL | Spencer Howard | 9.5 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| MIN | Michael Kopech | 9.5 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| TOR | Adrian Martinez | 8.0 | 4.51 | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| MIL | Kyle Hendricks | 8.5 | 4.47 | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| STL | Ian Anderson | 9.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| TB | Nick Pivetta | 9.0 | 4.31 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| WSH | Cristopher Sanchez | 9.5 | 4.27 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| ARI | Alex Wood | 9.5 | 4.22 | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| DET | Cal Quantrill | 9.0 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| CHC | Jason Alexander | 8.5 | 4.03 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| PIT | Jameson Taillon | 9.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| MIA | Noah Syndergaard | 7.0 | 3.74 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| SD | Logan Gilbert | 7.0 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| CIN | Max Scherzer | 8.5 | 3.59 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| OAK | Yusei Kikuchi | 8.0 | 3.49 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| COL | Mitch White | 8.5 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| SEA | Mike Clevinger | 7.0 | 3.31 | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| LAA | Sandy Alcantara | 7.0 | 3.26 | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| KC | Luis Garcia | 8.0 | 3.21 | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | CIN | 7.5 | 94.2% | 87.0% | 76.2% | 62.6% | 48.0% | 34.2% | 22.7% |
| Jeffrey Springs | BOS | 7.0 | 91.8% | 82.6% | 69.8% | 54.9% | 40.0% | 27.0% | 16.8% |
| Sandy Alcantara | LAA | 6.2 | 86.6% | 74.1% | 58.6% | 42.6% | 28.4% | 17.4% | 9.8% |
| Nick Pivetta | TB | 6.1 | 85.6% | 72.6% | 56.7% | 40.7% | 26.7% | 16.1% | 9.0% |
| Luis Garcia | KC | 5.8 | 83.2% | 69.0% | 52.5% | 36.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Logan Gilbert | SD | 5.8 | 83.2% | 69.0% | 52.5% | 36.5% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Ian Anderson | STL | 5.3 | 78.0% | 61.7% | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Mike Clevinger | SEA | 5.3 | 77.1% | 60.6% | 43.1% | 27.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Alex Wood | ARI | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Jameson Taillon | PIT | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Michael Kopech | MIN | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Nick Lodolo | NYM | 4.9 | 72.5% | 54.7% | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Mitch White | COL | 4.7 | 68.6% | 50.0% | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Jose Quintana | NYY | 4.5 | 66.3% | 47.4% | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| German Marquez | LAD | 4.5 | 66.3% | 47.4% | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Hendricks | MIL | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Yusei Kikuchi | OAK | 4.3 | 62.3% | 43.0% | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Cal Quantrill | DET | 4.3 | 61.7% | 42.4% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Andre Pallante | ATL | 4.1 | 57.8% | 38.3% | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Jason Alexander | CHC | 4.0 | 56.7% | 37.1% | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Noah Syndergaard | MIA | 3.8 | 52.9% | 33.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Gilbert | SF | 3.8 | 51.8% | 32.4% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Martinez | TOR | 3.8 | 51.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Paolo Espino | PHI | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Chris Archer | CHW | 3.7 | 50.0% | 30.7% | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Zack Greinke | HOU | 3.6 | 47.4% | 28.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Howard | BAL | 3.5 | 46.6% | 27.6% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Austin Voth | TEX | 3.4 | 44.6% | 26.0% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Drew Hutchison | CLE | 3.3 | 42.0% | 23.7% | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cristopher Sanchez | WSH | 1.7 | 9.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Platoon?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Platoon? | HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 31.4% | +220 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Paolo Espino | 26.0% | +285 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Paolo Espino | 25.8% | +290 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 25.6% | +290 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 24.4% | +310 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | German Marquez | 23.9% | +320 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Kyle Hendricks | 23.8% | +320 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | No | 99 | Tyler Gilbert | 22.8% | +340 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Chris Archer | 22.3% | +350 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 21.8% | +360 |
| Robert Refsnyder | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 21.7% | +360 |
| Mitch Garver | TEX | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 21.5% | +365 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | German Marquez | 21.3% | +370 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 93 | Tyler Gilbert | 21.3% | +370 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 20.6% | +385 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 20.4% | +390 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 20.4% | +390 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Zack Greinke | 20.4% | +390 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 20.3% | +390 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 97 | Ian Anderson | 19.9% | +405 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Zack Greinke | 19.9% | +405 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 19.8% | +405 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Andre Pallante | 19.6% | +410 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Andre Pallante | 19.3% | +415 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 19.2% | +420 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 19.2% | +420 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 93 | Tyler Gilbert | 19.1% | +420 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Spencer Howard | 19.1% | +425 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Andre Pallante | 18.8% | +430 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Spencer Howard | 18.5% | +440 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 18.5% | +440 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 110 | Cristopher Sanchez | 18.5% | +440 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Spencer Howard | 18.5% | +440 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | German Marquez | 18.4% | +440 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 18.3% | +445 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 18.3% | +445 |
| Trevor Story | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 18.3% | +445 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 18.3% | +445 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 102 | Mitch White | 18.1% | +450 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 93 | Jeffrey Springs | 18.0% | +455 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 17.9% | +460 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 17.8% | +460 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 17.8% | +460 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 17.7% | +465 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 17.4% | +475 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 17.3% | +480 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 17.2% | +480 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 17.2% | +480 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 17.2% | +480 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Chris Archer | 17.1% | +485 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 17.1% | +485 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 17.0% | +485 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 111 | Max Scherzer | 17.0% | +485 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 113 | Max Scherzer | 16.9% | +490 |
| Darin Ruf | SF | Yes | 93 | Tyler Gilbert | 16.8% | +495 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Kyle Hendricks | 16.7% | +500 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 16.7% | +500 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 16.7% | +500 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 107 | Mitch White | 16.5% | +505 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Spencer Howard | 16.5% | +505 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Spencer Howard | 16.5% | +505 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 95 | Jose Quintana | 16.4% | +510 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | German Marquez | 16.2% | +515 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 15.9% | +525 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 15.9% | +530 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 15.8% | +530 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 15.7% | +535 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | German Marquez | 15.6% | +545 |
| Jesus Sanchez | MIA | Yes | 92 | Noah Syndergaard | 15.5% | +545 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 15.4% | +550 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Kyle Hendricks | 15.4% | +550 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 15.3% | +555 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 97 | Ian Anderson | 15.3% | +555 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 15.2% | +555 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 15.1% | +560 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 15.1% | +560 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 15.1% | +560 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Spencer Howard | 15.0% | +565 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 15.0% | +570 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 93 | Alex Wood | 14.9% | +570 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 110 | Cristopher Sanchez | 14.9% | +570 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | German Marquez | 14.9% | +570 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 101 | Kyle Hendricks | 14.8% | +575 |
| Omar Narvaez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Kyle Hendricks | 14.8% | +575 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | Yes | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 14.7% | +580 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 100 | Ian Anderson | 14.6% | +585 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 107 | Mitch White | 14.5% | +590 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 14.5% | +590 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 14.5% | +590 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 14.5% | +590 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 14.4% | +595 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 14.4% | +595 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 93 | Tyler Gilbert | 14.3% | +600 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Alex Wood | 14.3% | +600 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 110 | Cristopher Sanchez | 14.1% | +610 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 110 | Paolo Espino | 14.1% | +610 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Andre Pallante | 14.0% | +615 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Paolo Espino | 13.9% | +620 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | German Marquez | 13.8% | +625 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Chris Archer | 13.7% | +630 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 13.7% | +630 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Spencer Howard | 13.6% | +635 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 112 | Spencer Howard | 13.6% | +640 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 13.4% | +645 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Andre Pallante | 13.3% | +650 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Andre Pallante | 13.3% | +650 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Yes | 106 | Paolo Espino | 13.2% | +660 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 90 | Noah Syndergaard | 13.1% | +660 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 13.1% | +660 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 99 | Tyler Gilbert | 13.1% | +665 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 13.0% | +670 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 13.0% | +670 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 93 | Alex Wood | 12.9% | +675 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Chris Archer | 12.9% | +675 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 106 | Michael Kopech | 12.9% | +675 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Chris Archer | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Chris Archer | 12.9% | +675 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 12.8% | +680 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 12.6% | +690 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | Yes | 110 | Cristopher Sanchez | 12.5% | +700 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 12.4% | +705 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 12.2% | +720 |
| Eric Hosmer | SD | Yes | 95 | Logan Gilbert | 12.0% | +730 |
| Adam Duvall | ATL | No | 97 | Andre Pallante | 12.0% | +735 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 111 | Max Scherzer | 11.9% | +740 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Kyle Hendricks | 11.9% | +740 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 11.9% | +740 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Andre Pallante | 11.8% | +745 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 11.7% | +755 |
| Christian Bethancourt | OAK | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 11.6% | +760 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 11.5% | +770 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 11.4% | +775 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Chris Archer | 11.3% | +780 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Logan Gilbert | 11.3% | +785 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 102 | Luis Garcia | 11.3% | +785 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | No | 99 | Alex Wood | 11.3% | +790 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Spencer Howard | 11.2% | +795 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Kyle Hendricks | 11.2% | +795 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 11.2% | +795 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | 111 | Max Scherzer | 11.1% | +800 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | No | 110 | Paolo Espino | 11.0% | +805 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 11.0% | +810 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 10.9% | +815 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 111 | Nick Lodolo | 10.9% | +815 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 107 | Mitch White | 10.8% | +830 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 10.7% | +835 |
| Hoy Park | PIT | Yes | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 10.6% | +840 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 102 | Mitch White | 10.5% | +850 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 10.5% | +855 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 10.4% | +860 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 10.0% | +895 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | No | 106 | Cristopher Sanchez | 10.0% | +905 |
| Nomar Mazara | SD | Yes | 95 | Logan Gilbert | 9.9% | +910 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 9.9% | +910 |
| Michael Perez | PIT | Yes | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 9.9% | +910 |
| Abraham Toro | SEA | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 9.9% | +910 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 94 | Cal Quantrill | 9.8% | +920 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 9.8% | +920 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 9.8% | +925 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 9.7% | +935 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 100 | Ian Anderson | 9.6% | +945 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 9.6% | +945 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | No | 93 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.5% | +955 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Max Scherzer | 9.5% | +960 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 9.4% | +960 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | No | 99 | Tyler Gilbert | 9.4% | +965 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | German Marquez | 9.1% | +995 |
| Kris Bryant | COL | No | 107 | Mitch White | 9.1% | +995 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | 107 | Mitch White | 9.1% | +995 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 107 | Mitch White | 9.1% | +995 |
| Josh VanMeter | PIT | Yes | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 9.1% | +995 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | 97 | Andre Pallante | 9.1% | +995 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 94 | Cal Quantrill | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Bobby Dalbec | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | 110 | Cristopher Sanchez | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | TB | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Kyle Hendricks | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 101 | Jason Alexander | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jake Hager | ARI | Yes | 93 | Alex Wood | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | No | 99 | Cal Quantrill | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Jameson Taillon | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Juan Yepez | STL | No | 97 | Ian Anderson | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Sandy Leon | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Joey Wendle | MIA | Yes | 92 | Noah Syndergaard | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | Yes | 110 | Cristopher Sanchez | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 102 | Luis Garcia | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 102 | Luis Garcia | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 101 | Jason Alexander | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 90 | Noah Syndergaard | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 90 | Noah Syndergaard | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Austin Wynns | SF | Yes | 93 | Tyler Gilbert | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 93 | Nick Pivetta | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | No | 106 | Chris Archer | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Christian Vazquez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Jeffrey Springs | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Michael Taylor | KC | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 101 | Luis Garcia | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Alex Kirilloff | MIN | Yes | 111 | Michael Kopech | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Logan Gilbert | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | No | 111 | Max Scherzer | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Robbie Grossman | DET | Yes | 94 | Cal Quantrill | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Richie Palacios | CLE | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 96 | Logan Gilbert | 6.8% | +1380 |
| Didi Gregorius | PHI | Yes | 106 | Paolo Espino | 6.7% | +1395 |
| David Bote | CHC | No | 103 | Jason Alexander | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Avisail Garcia | MIA | No | 90 | Noah Syndergaard | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | No | 90 | Noah Syndergaard | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Jon Berti | MIA | No | 90 | Noah Syndergaard | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 101 | Zack Greinke | 6.3% | +1500 |
