MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 7/22/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Graham Ashcraft | 10.0 | 5.45 | 46.2% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| NYY | Tyler Wells | 9.0 | 4.92 | 37.0% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| PHI | Justin Steele | 9.0 | 4.73 | 33.7% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| TB | Brad Keller | 9.0 | 4.67 | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| TOR | Nathan Eovaldi | 9.0 | 4.61 | 31.6% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| CHW | Cal Quantrill | 8.5 | 4.60 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| CIN | Adam Wainwright | 10.0 | 4.55 | 30.6% | 17.5% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| BOS | Kevin Gausman | 9.0 | 4.39 | 27.8% | 15.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| HOU | Marco Gonzales | 8.5 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| KC | Drew Rasmussen | 9.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| MIL | Antonio Senzatela | 7.0 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| LAD | Logan Webb | 8.0 | 4.28 | 26.0% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| CHC | Kyle Gibson | 9.0 | 4.27 | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| SEA | Jose Urquidy | 8.5 | 4.17 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| BAL | Jameson Taillon | 9.0 | 4.08 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| NYM | Yu Darvish | 7.0 | 3.95 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| CLE | Lucas Giolito | 8.5 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| ATL | Shohei Ohtani | 7.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| TEX | Cole Irvin | 7.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| SF | Tyler Anderson | 8.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| OAK | Spencer Howard | 7.5 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| LAA | Charlie Morton | 7.0 | 3.17 | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| SD | Max Scherzer | 7.0 | 3.05 | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| COL | Corbin Burnes | 7.0 | 2.71 | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | COL | 8.3 | 96.6% | 91.7% | 83.6% | 72.3% | 58.9% | 45.1% | 32.3% |
| Max Scherzer | SD | 7.4 | 93.5% | 85.7% | 74.3% | 60.2% | 45.5% | 31.9% | 20.8% |
| Charlie Morton | LAA | 6.8 | 90.8% | 80.9% | 67.4% | 52.2% | 37.3% | 24.6% | 15.1% |
| Shohei Ohtani | ATL | 6.6 | 89.4% | 78.5% | 64.2% | 48.6% | 33.9% | 21.8% | 13.0% |
| Lucas Giolito | CLE | 6.4 | 88.3% | 76.7% | 61.9% | 46.1% | 31.6% | 19.9% | 11.6% |
| Yu Darvish | NYM | 6.2 | 86.5% | 74.0% | 58.4% | 42.4% | 28.3% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Kevin Gausman | BOS | 5.9 | 84.1% | 70.3% | 54.0% | 37.9% | 24.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Tyler Anderson | SF | 5.7 | 82.2% | 67.6% | 50.8% | 34.9% | 21.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| Logan Webb | LAD | 5.6 | 81.3% | 66.2% | 49.3% | 33.4% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Nathan Eovaldi | TOR | 5.6 | 80.8% | 65.6% | 48.6% | 32.8% | 20.2% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Zac Gallen | WSH | 5.1 | 75.4% | 58.4% | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Jameson Taillon | BAL | 5.0 | 73.4% | 55.8% | 38.2% | 23.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Corbin | ARI | 4.9 | 72.6% | 54.9% | 37.4% | 22.9% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Gibson | CHC | 4.8 | 70.9% | 52.7% | 35.2% | 21.2% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Adam Wainwright | CIN | 4.8 | 70.3% | 52.0% | 34.6% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Justin Steele | PHI | 4.6 | 67.6% | 48.9% | 31.6% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Jose Quintana | MIA | 4.6 | 67.1% | 48.3% | 31.1% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Jose Urquidy | SEA | 4.6 | 66.8% | 47.9% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Braxton Garrett | PIT | 4.5 | 65.9% | 47.0% | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Cal Quantrill | CHW | 4.3 | 62.5% | 43.1% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Cole Irvin | TEX | 4.2 | 61.2% | 41.8% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Drew Rasmussen | KC | 4.2 | 60.6% | 41.2% | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Marco Gonzales | HOU | 4.2 | 59.9% | 40.4% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Graham Ashcraft | STL | 4.1 | 58.6% | 39.1% | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Wells | NYY | 3.9 | 53.7% | 34.2% | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Antonio Senzatela | MIL | 3.5 | 46.3% | 27.5% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brad Keller | TB | 3.2 | 39.5% | 21.8% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Howard | OAK | 2.9 | 32.1% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp Pitcher |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 28.5% | +250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Jose Urquidy | 25.8% | +290 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 25.4% | +295 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 110 | Justin Steele | 24.4% | +310 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 23.8% | +320 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 23.7% | +320 |
| Matt Carpenter | NYY | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 22.1% | +350 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 22.1% | +355 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | No | 96 | Marco Gonzales | 22.0% | +355 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 21.7% | +360 |
| Juan Soto | WSH | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 21.6% | +365 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Shohei Ohtani | 21.4% | +365 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 21.2% | +370 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Jose Urquidy | 21.2% | +370 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 110 | Tyler Wells | 21.0% | +375 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 20.8% | +380 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 20.8% | +380 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jameson Taillon | 20.4% | +390 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 106 | Justin Steele | 20.4% | +390 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Antonio Senzatela | 20.2% | +395 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Kevin Gausman | 20.1% | +395 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 19.5% | +415 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 19.4% | +415 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 19.1% | +425 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Jameson Taillon | 19.1% | +425 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 113 | Graham Ashcraft | 18.9% | +430 |
| Evan Longoria | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 18.8% | +435 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 18.5% | +440 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 18.5% | +440 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 18.5% | +440 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Antonio Senzatela | 18.5% | +440 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Shohei Ohtani | 18.4% | +445 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Yu Darvish | 18.4% | +445 |
| Jake Lamb | LAD | Yes | 102 | Logan Webb | 18.1% | +450 |
| Jorge Soler | MIA | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 17.9% | +460 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Logan Webb | 17.8% | +460 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 94 | Spencer Howard | 17.8% | +460 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 17.7% | +465 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 17.7% | +465 |
| Jordan Luplow | ARI | Yes | 93 | Patrick Corbin | 17.4% | +475 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 17.4% | +475 |
| Josh Bell | WSH | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 17.1% | +485 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 17.0% | +490 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Drew Rasmussen | 17.0% | +490 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 16.9% | +490 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Logan Webb | 16.9% | +495 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 16.8% | +495 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jose Urquidy | 16.7% | +500 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Logan Webb | 16.5% | +505 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Jameson Taillon | 16.5% | +505 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 92 | Brad Keller | 16.4% | +510 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 16.3% | +510 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | Yes | 93 | Patrick Corbin | 16.2% | +515 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 93 | Patrick Corbin | 16.2% | +515 |
| Tyler Naquin | CIN | Yes | 113 | Adam Wainwright | 16.2% | +520 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Spencer Howard | 16.1% | +520 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 16.0% | +525 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Jameson Taillon | 15.8% | +535 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Kevin Gausman | 15.5% | +545 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 15.5% | +545 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 15.4% | +550 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Antonio Senzatela | 15.4% | +550 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Shohei Ohtani | 15.3% | +555 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 92 | Brad Keller | 15.2% | +555 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jameson Taillon | 15.1% | +560 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 15.0% | +565 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Spencer Howard | 14.9% | +570 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jose Urquidy | 14.8% | +575 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 14.7% | +580 |
| Darin Ruf | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 14.6% | +585 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Cal Quantrill | 14.5% | +590 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 14.5% | +590 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Cal Quantrill | 14.4% | +595 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jameson Taillon | 14.4% | +595 |
| Trey Mancini | BAL | No | 112 | Jameson Taillon | 14.3% | +600 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 14.1% | +605 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 98 | Yu Darvish | 14.1% | +610 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 14.1% | +610 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.0% | +615 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.0% | +615 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 14.0% | +615 |
| Dan Vogelbach | PIT | No | 95 | Braxton Garrett | 13.7% | +630 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Cal Quantrill | 13.7% | +630 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 13.7% | +630 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 13.6% | +635 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | No | 99 | Patrick Corbin | 13.6% | +635 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 13.6% | +640 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 13.5% | +640 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jose Urquidy | 13.5% | +640 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 13.3% | +650 |
| Kris Bryant | COL | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 13.3% | +650 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 13.3% | +650 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 111 | Lucas Giolito | 12.9% | +670 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Cal Quantrill | 12.9% | +675 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 12.8% | +680 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 12.7% | +685 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Max Scherzer | 12.7% | +685 |
| Tommy Pham | CIN | No | 111 | Adam Wainwright | 12.7% | +690 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 12.7% | +690 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Antonio Senzatela | 12.6% | +690 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | Yes | 110 | Justin Steele | 12.5% | +700 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 99 | Zac Gallen | 12.5% | +705 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 92 | Brad Keller | 12.4% | +710 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 92 | Brad Keller | 12.4% | +710 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Jose Urquidy | 12.2% | +720 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Cal Quantrill | 12.2% | +720 |
| Luke Voit | SD | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 12.1% | +725 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 112 | Tyler Wells | 12.0% | +735 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Shohei Ohtani | 11.8% | +745 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Shohei Ohtani | 11.8% | +745 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 110 | Justin Steele | 11.7% | +755 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 11.6% | +765 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | No | 106 | Cal Quantrill | 11.4% | +775 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 11.4% | +775 |
| Tomas Nido | NYM | No | 98 | Yu Darvish | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jace Peterson | MIL | Yes | 101 | Antonio Senzatela | 11.2% | +795 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 11.2% | +795 |
| Brandon Drury | CIN | No | 111 | Adam Wainwright | 11.1% | +800 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 11.1% | +800 |
| Brandon Marsh | LAA | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 11.1% | +800 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 96 | Marco Gonzales | 11.0% | +810 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 106 | Kyle Gibson | 10.9% | +820 |
| Yairo Munoz | PHI | Yes | 110 | Justin Steele | 10.8% | +825 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Logan Webb | 10.8% | +830 |
| Diego Castillo | PIT | Yes | 92 | Braxton Garrett | 10.7% | +835 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 10.7% | +840 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Yu Darvish | 10.6% | +840 |
| Austin Slater | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 10.6% | +845 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Logan Webb | 10.5% | +850 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Antonio Senzatela | 10.4% | +860 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Antonio Senzatela | 10.4% | +860 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 10.4% | +860 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 10.3% | +865 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 94 | Cole Irvin | 10.2% | +885 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Drew Rasmussen | 10.1% | +890 |
| Alfonso Rivas | CHC | Yes | 106 | Kyle Gibson | 10.1% | +890 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Kevin Gausman | 10.0% | +895 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 10.0% | +895 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 92 | Braxton Garrett | 10.0% | +900 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 10.0% | +900 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 92 | Cole Irvin | 10.0% | +900 |
| Jorge Alfaro | SD | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 10.0% | +905 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | Yes | 110 | Justin Steele | 10.0% | +905 |
| Franmil Reyes | CLE | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 9.9% | +910 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Shohei Ohtani | 9.9% | +915 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 92 | Brad Keller | 9.6% | +940 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Jameson Taillon | 9.5% | +950 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 93 | Zac Gallen | 9.5% | +955 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 9.5% | +960 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 9.4% | +965 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | No | 99 | Patrick Corbin | 9.4% | +965 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Max Scherzer | 9.1% | +995 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Max Scherzer | 9.1% | +995 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Skye Bolt | OAK | Yes | 92 | Spencer Howard | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Connor Joe | COL | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Yermin Mercedes | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jameson Taillon | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | Yes | 93 | Patrick Corbin | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 99 | Nathan Eovaldi | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 106 | Kyle Gibson | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | No | 95 | Braxton Garrett | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 92 | Brad Keller | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Logan Webb | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 113 | Graham Ashcraft | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Adam Wainwright | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Tyler Stephenson | CIN | No | 111 | Adam Wainwright | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | Yes | 92 | Jose Quintana | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 98 | Max Scherzer | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 7.6% | +1215 |
| Franchy Cordero | BOS | Yes | 93 | Kevin Gausman | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Cal Quantrill | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Vimael Machin | OAK | Yes | 92 | Spencer Howard | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Kyle Isbel | KC | Yes | 92 | Drew Rasmussen | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Drew Rasmussen | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 92 | Brad Keller | 7.2% | +1280 |
| David Villar | SF | Yes | 107 | Tyler Anderson | 7.0% | +1325 |
| Jake Marisnick | PIT | Yes | 92 | Braxton Garrett | 6.9% | +1350 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | Yes | 96 | Jose Urquidy | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Adam Wainwright | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Yan Gomes | CHC | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 94 | Spencer Howard | 6.6% | +1410 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Cal Quantrill | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 106 | Lucas Giolito | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Whit Merrifield | KC | No | 92 | Drew Rasmussen | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | No | 92 | Brad Keller | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Gavin Lux | LAD | Yes | 102 | Logan Webb | 6.5% | +1450 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 95 | Braxton Garrett | 6.4% | +1450 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Antonio Senzatela | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Yes | 110 | Justin Steele | 6.2% | +1500 |
