MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 8/3/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | Anibal Sanchez | 9.0 | 5.37 | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| CLE | Madison Bumgarner | 8.5 | 5.01 | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| HOU | Brayan Bello | 8.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| MIL | Tyler Beede | 8.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| MIN | Tyler Alexander | 8.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| STL | Justin Steele | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| CHW | Brady Singer | 8.5 | 4.62 | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| TEX | Kyle Bradish | 8.0 | 4.35 | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| NYY | Luis Castillo | 7.5 | 4.25 | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| LAA | James Kaprielian | 7.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| LAD | Alex Cobb | 7.5 | 4.10 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| TOR | Jalen Beeks | 8.0 | 4.04 | 22.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| MIA | Mike Minor | 7.0 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| ATL | Zack Wheeler | 7.5 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| TB | Yusei Kikuchi | 8.0 | 3.96 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| KC | Lance Lynn | 8.5 | 3.88 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| CHC | Miles Mikolas | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Martin Perez | 8.0 | 3.65 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| WSH | Chris Bassitt | 9.0 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| BOS | Jose Urquidy | 8.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| DET | Joe Ryan | 8.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| PIT | Freddy Peralta | 8.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| PHI | Charlie Morton | 7.5 | 3.51 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| ARI | Shane Bieber | 8.5 | 3.49 | 14.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| SF | Julio Urias | 7.5 | 3.40 | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| SEA | Gerrit Cole | 7.5 | 3.25 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| CIN | Sandy Alcantara | 7.0 | 3.00 | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Shohei Ohtani | 7.0 | 2.85 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | OAK | 7.9 | 95.6% | 89.6% | 80.2% | 67.8% | 53.7% | 39.8% | 27.5% |
| Gerrit Cole | SEA | 7.4 | 93.6% | 86.0% | 74.6% | 60.7% | 45.9% | 32.3% | 21.1% |
| Sandy Alcantara | CIN | 7.0 | 91.7% | 82.4% | 69.5% | 54.6% | 39.7% | 26.7% | 16.6% |
| Shane Bieber | ARI | 6.7 | 89.9% | 79.5% | 65.5% | 50.0% | 35.2% | 22.9% | 13.8% |
| Blake Snell | COL | 6.6 | 89.4% | 78.6% | 64.4% | 48.8% | 34.0% | 21.9% | 13.0% |
| Chris Bassitt | WSH | 6.5 | 88.9% | 77.7% | 63.2% | 47.5% | 32.9% | 21.0% | 12.3% |
| Charlie Morton | PHI | 6.4 | 87.7% | 75.9% | 60.9% | 45.0% | 30.5% | 19.1% | 11.0% |
| Zack Wheeler | ATL | 6.3 | 87.4% | 75.4% | 60.3% | 44.3% | 30.0% | 18.6% | 10.7% |
| Brady Singer | CHW | 5.9 | 83.9% | 70.0% | 53.6% | 37.6% | 24.1% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Luis Castillo | NYY | 5.9 | 83.6% | 69.6% | 53.2% | 37.1% | 23.7% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Ralph Garza Jr. | TOR | 5.7 | 82.4% | 67.9% | 51.2% | 35.2% | 22.1% | 12.7% | 6.7% |
| Lance Lynn | KC | 5.6 | 80.4% | 65.0% | 48.0% | 32.2% | 19.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Alex Cobb | LAD | 5.4 | 78.7% | 62.7% | 45.4% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Jose Urquidy | BOS | 5.3 | 78.0% | 61.7% | 44.3% | 28.9% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Joe Ryan | DET | 5.2 | 76.6% | 59.9% | 42.4% | 27.2% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Julio Urias | SF | 5.2 | 76.2% | 59.4% | 41.9% | 26.8% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Martin Perez | BAL | 5.0 | 73.6% | 56.1% | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Freddy Peralta | PIT | 5.0 | 72.9% | 55.2% | 37.7% | 23.2% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Miles Mikolas | CHC | 4.9 | 72.2% | 54.4% | 36.8% | 22.5% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Justin Steele | STL | 4.8 | 70.3% | 52.0% | 34.6% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Mike Minor | MIA | 4.6 | 67.1% | 48.3% | 31.1% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Yusei Kikuchi | TB | 4.5 | 66.3% | 47.4% | 30.2% | 17.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Bradish | TEX | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Chad Kuhl | SD | 4.3 | 62.5% | 43.1% | 26.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| James Kaprielian | LAA | 3.9 | 55.5% | 35.9% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Anibal Sanchez | NYM | 3.8 | 53.3% | 33.8% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Brayan Bello | HOU | 3.5 | 46.3% | 27.5% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tommy Henry | CLE | 3.4 | 43.7% | 25.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Alexander | MIN | 2.9 | 33.9% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Beede | MIL | 2.2 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jalen Beeks | TOR | 1.8 | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 106 | Anibal Sanchez | 28.0% | +255 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Brayan Bello | 27.0% | +270 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 25.4% | +295 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Brayan Bello | 23.9% | +320 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 23.8% | +320 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 22.4% | +345 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 22.3% | +345 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | Yes | 98 | Tyler Alexander | 22.1% | +355 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 21.9% | +355 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 21.3% | +370 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 20.9% | +380 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Kyle Bradish | 20.6% | +385 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 98 | Tyler Alexander | 20.5% | +390 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 95 | Tyler Beede | 20.4% | +390 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 20.4% | +390 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 106 | Lance Lynn | 20.1% | +400 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 19.9% | +400 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 19.9% | +405 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 19.6% | +410 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 106 | Lance Lynn | 19.5% | +415 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 19.4% | +415 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 19.1% | +420 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 19.1% | +425 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 19.1% | +425 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 18.7% | +435 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 92 | Tyler Beede | 18.6% | +440 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 106 | Anibal Sanchez | 18.3% | +445 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 98 | Tyler Alexander | 18.1% | +450 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 92 | Tyler Beede | 18.0% | +455 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | No | 103 | Tommy Henry | 18.0% | +455 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 17.7% | +465 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 17.4% | +475 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 17.2% | +480 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 17.2% | +480 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tommy Henry | 17.0% | +485 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 17.0% | +490 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Kyle Bradish | 16.8% | +495 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 16.7% | +500 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 103 | James Kaprielian | 16.7% | +500 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 16.7% | +500 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 16.6% | +505 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 16.6% | +505 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 91 | Justin Steele | 16.5% | +505 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | No | 92 | Yusei Kikuchi | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 16.4% | +510 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 16.4% | +510 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Luis Castillo | 16.4% | +510 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 92 | Tyler Beede | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 98 | Tyler Alexander | 16.3% | +515 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 103 | James Kaprielian | 16.0% | +525 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 91 | Justin Steele | 15.9% | +530 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Chad Kuhl | 15.9% | +530 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 15.8% | +535 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 106 | Anibal Sanchez | 15.7% | +535 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 15.4% | +550 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 15.3% | +550 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Chad Kuhl | 15.3% | +555 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 15.3% | +555 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Brayan Bello | 15.1% | +560 |
| Aledmys Diaz | HOU | No | 101 | Brayan Bello | 15.1% | +560 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 15.1% | +565 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 92 | Sandy Alcantara | 14.9% | +570 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Zack Wheeler | 14.6% | +585 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | Yes | 90 | Julio Urias | 14.5% | +590 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 14.5% | +590 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 91 | Miles Mikolas | 14.5% | +590 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 14.4% | +595 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | No | 95 | Blake Snell | 14.3% | +600 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 14.2% | +600 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | Chad Kuhl | 14.0% | +615 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Chad Kuhl | 14.0% | +615 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | No | 97 | Justin Steele | 14.0% | +615 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 13.8% | +625 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 13.7% | +625 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 111 | Lance Lynn | 13.7% | +630 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 13.7% | +630 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 13.7% | +630 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 13.6% | +635 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 13.6% | +635 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 92 | Tyler Beede | 13.4% | +645 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 13.4% | +645 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 91 | Justin Steele | 13.4% | +650 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Freddy Peralta | 13.4% | +650 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 13.3% | +650 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 13.3% | +655 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 13.2% | +660 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 13.0% | +670 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 12.9% | +675 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 106 | Lance Lynn | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 98 | Tyler Alexander | 12.8% | +680 |
| Andrew Velazquez | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 12.6% | +690 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 91 | Miles Mikolas | 12.6% | +690 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 12.6% | +690 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Chad Kuhl | 12.6% | +695 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 12.5% | +700 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 12.5% | +705 |
| Christian Vazquez | HOU | No | 101 | Brayan Bello | 12.4% | +705 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 12.3% | +710 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 12.2% | +720 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 12.2% | +720 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 111 | Lance Lynn | 12.2% | +725 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 12.1% | +725 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Brayan Bello | 12.0% | +730 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Freddy Peralta | 12.0% | +730 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 91 | Miles Mikolas | 12.0% | +735 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 11.9% | +740 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 95 | Kyle Bradish | 11.8% | +750 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 11.7% | +755 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | No | 87 | Julio Urias | 11.7% | +755 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | Yes | 98 | Tyler Alexander | 11.3% | +785 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | Yes | 90 | Mike Minor | 11.2% | +790 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | Yes | 90 | Mike Minor | 11.2% | +790 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 11.2% | +795 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 11.2% | +795 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 11.2% | +795 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | No | 103 | Tommy Henry | 11.0% | +805 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 11.0% | +810 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 11.0% | +810 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 10.9% | +815 |
| Luis Guillorme | NYM | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 10.7% | +835 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 10.6% | +840 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 10.6% | +840 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 95 | Tyler Beede | 10.6% | +840 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 10.6% | +845 |
| Joey Bart | SF | Yes | 90 | Julio Urias | 10.5% | +850 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 90 | Mike Minor | 10.5% | +850 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 10.4% | +865 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 10.3% | +870 |
| Jose Siri | TB | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 10.2% | +885 |
| Jason Vosler | SF | No | 87 | Julio Urias | 10.1% | +895 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 9.9% | +910 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 9.9% | +910 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 91 | Justin Steele | 9.9% | +910 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | Yes | 91 | Justin Steele | 9.9% | +910 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Chad Kuhl | 9.9% | +910 |
| Alcides Escobar | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 9.9% | +910 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 9.9% | +910 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 9.9% | +915 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 9.6% | +940 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 9.6% | +940 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 9.6% | +945 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Zack Wheeler | 9.6% | +945 |
| Tyler Nevin | BAL | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 9.5% | +950 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 9.5% | +955 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 9.5% | +955 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Brayan Bello | 9.5% | +955 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 108 | James Kaprielian | 9.4% | +960 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 9.4% | +960 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 97 | Miles Mikolas | 9.3% | +975 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 97 | Miles Mikolas | 9.3% | +975 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 9.3% | +975 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 9.2% | +985 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 9.1% | +995 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 104 | Anibal Sanchez | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 106 | Chris Bassitt | 9.1% | +1000 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tommy Henry | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 103 | Shane Bieber | 9.0% | +1010 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 101 | Martin Perez | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 103 | Shohei Ohtani | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 103 | James Kaprielian | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 96 | Blake Snell | 8.8% | +1035 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Brayan Bello | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | No | 101 | Brayan Bello | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | Yes | 109 | Gerrit Cole | 8.6% | +1060 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 90 | Alex Cobb | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 97 | Zack Wheeler | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Brady Singer | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tommy Henry | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Eric Hosmer | BOS | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Jarren Duran | BOS | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 101 | Kyle Bradish | 8.1% | +1140 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Zack Wheeler | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 7.9% | +1160 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 97 | Miles Mikolas | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | No | 87 | Julio Urias | 7.8% | +1190 |
| Tony Kemp | OAK | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Skye Bolt | OAK | Yes | 108 | Shohei Ohtani | 7.7% | +1200 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 98 | Joe Ryan | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 95 | Freddy Peralta | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Bligh Madris | PIT | Yes | 95 | Freddy Peralta | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 7.6% | +1215 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | Yes | 90 | Mike Minor | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Luke Williams | MIA | Yes | 90 | Mike Minor | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 104 | Chris Bassitt | 7.4% | +1245 |
| Owen Miller | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tommy Henry | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 94 | Ralph Garza Jr. | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | No | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 103 | Luis Castillo | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Kyle Lewis | SEA | No | 103 | Gerrit Cole | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Frank Schwindel | CHC | No | 91 | Miles Mikolas | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 99 | Joe Ryan | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | 90 | Sandy Alcantara | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Rene Pinto | TB | Yes | 94 | Yusei Kikuchi | 7.0% | +1320 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 87 | Alex Cobb | 7.0% | +1325 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Brady Singer | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 111 | Lance Lynn | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 111 | Lance Lynn | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 91 | Justin Steele | 6.8% | +1360 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | Yes | 90 | Mike Minor | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Wil Myers | SD | No | 96 | Chad Kuhl | 6.8% | +1380 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tommy Henry | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 92 | Tyler Beede | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 6.5% | +1450 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 91 | Miles Mikolas | 6.4% | +1455 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 6.3% | +1490 |
