MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Friday 8/5/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | Robert Dugger | 9.0 | 5.28 | 43.3% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| PHI | Josiah Gray | 9.0 | 5.10 | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| HOU | Bryan Shaw | 8.5 | 4.89 | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| TB | Bryan Garcia | 8.5 | 4.89 | 36.5% | 22.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| BAL | Mitch Keller | 8.5 | 4.63 | 31.9% | 18.6% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| LAD | Sean Manaea | 8.5 | 4.62 | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| NYY | Dakota Hudson | 8.5 | 4.60 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| BOS | Zack Greinke | 9.0 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| NYM | Ian Anderson | 8.5 | 4.50 | 29.7% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| CHW | Glenn Otto | 8.0 | 4.48 | 29.4% | 16.6% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| ARI | German Marquez | 8.5 | 4.47 | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| KC | Josh Winckowski | 9.0 | 4.43 | 28.5% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| TOR | Tyler Mahle | 8.5 | 4.41 | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| MIN | Jose Berrios | 8.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| SEA | Patrick Sandoval | 7.0 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| COL | Madison Bumgarner | 8.5 | 4.03 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| ATL | Taijuan Walker | 8.5 | 4.00 | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| STL | Nestor Cortes | 8.5 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| WSH | Kyle Gibson | 9.0 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| SD | Tony Gonsolin | 8.5 | 3.88 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| PIT | Dean Kremer | 8.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| CIN | Eric Lauer | 9.0 | 3.72 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| CLE | Framber Valdez | 8.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| DET | Corey Kluber | 8.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| TEX | Dylan Cease | 8.0 | 3.52 | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| LAA | Robbie Ray | 7.0 | 2.94 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | TEX | 7.1 | 92.5% | 83.9% | 71.6% | 56.9% | 42.1% | 28.8% | 18.3% |
| Robbie Ray | LAA | 6.6 | 89.3% | 78.4% | 64.1% | 48.4% | 33.8% | 21.7% | 12.9% |
| Tyler Mahle | TOR | 6.3 | 87.3% | 75.2% | 60.0% | 44.0% | 29.7% | 18.4% | 10.5% |
| Robert Dugger | MIL | 6.1 | 86.0% | 73.2% | 57.5% | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Sean Manaea | LAD | 6.0 | 84.5% | 71.0% | 54.8% | 38.7% | 25.1% | 14.9% | 8.1% |
| Eric Lauer | CIN | 5.6 | 81.3% | 66.2% | 49.3% | 33.4% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Framber Valdez | CLE | 5.6 | 80.7% | 65.5% | 48.5% | 32.7% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Tony Gonsolin | SD | 5.5 | 79.6% | 63.9% | 46.8% | 31.1% | 18.8% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Nestor Cortes | STL | 5.4 | 79.1% | 63.3% | 46.1% | 30.5% | 18.3% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Jose Berrios | MIN | 5.4 | 78.7% | 62.7% | 45.4% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Sandoval | SEA | 5.4 | 78.3% | 62.2% | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Taijuan Walker | ATL | 5.4 | 78.2% | 62.0% | 44.7% | 29.2% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Josiah Gray | PHI | 5.2 | 75.7% | 58.7% | 41.2% | 26.2% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Madison Bumgarner | COL | 5.1 | 74.3% | 57.0% | 39.5% | 24.7% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Ian Anderson | NYM | 5.1 | 74.2% | 56.8% | 39.3% | 24.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Justin Steele | MIA | 4.9 | 71.5% | 53.5% | 35.9% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Corey Kluber | DET | 4.8 | 70.0% | 51.6% | 34.2% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Gibson | WSH | 4.7 | 68.6% | 50.0% | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Glenn Otto | CHW | 4.4 | 63.4% | 44.1% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Dean Kremer | PIT | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| German Marquez | ARI | 4.3 | 61.7% | 42.4% | 25.8% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Mitch Keller | BAL | 4.3 | 61.4% | 42.0% | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Dakota Hudson | NYY | 3.8 | 52.0% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Josh Winckowski | KC | 3.7 | 50.2% | 30.9% | 16.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nick Neidert | CHC | 3.6 | 48.7% | 29.5% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zack Greinke | BOS | 3.6 | 48.1% | 29.0% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Bryan Garcia | TB | 3.4 | 43.7% | 25.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Shaw | HOU | 1.2 | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 106 | Josiah Gray | 29.1% | +245 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 110 | Josiah Gray | 26.6% | +275 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle | 26.0% | +285 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 103 | Bryan Shaw | 25.5% | +290 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Jose Berrios | 24.3% | +310 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 23.7% | +320 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch Keller | 23.2% | +330 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle | 23.0% | +335 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Nick Neidert | 22.8% | +340 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Nick Neidert | 22.8% | +340 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 21.9% | +355 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 107 | Sean Manaea | 21.8% | +360 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 21.8% | +360 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 103 | Bryan Shaw | 21.7% | +360 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 99 | Bryan Shaw | 21.2% | +370 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Josh Winckowski | 21.1% | +375 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Robert Dugger | 20.8% | +380 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 106 | Josiah Gray | 20.4% | +390 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 91 | Nestor Cortes | 20.4% | +390 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 91 | Nestor Cortes | 20.4% | +390 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 20.2% | +395 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Josh Winckowski | 20.1% | +395 |
| Nelson Velazquez | CHC | No | 103 | Nick Neidert | 19.7% | +410 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 19.6% | +410 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Jose Berrios | 19.5% | +415 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 19.5% | +415 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 91 | Dakota Hudson | 19.5% | +415 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Robert Dugger | 18.5% | +440 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Robert Dugger | 18.5% | +440 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle | 18.4% | +445 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 102 | Sean Manaea | 18.3% | +445 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 18.3% | +445 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Framber Valdez | 18.3% | +445 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 18.3% | +445 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 17.8% | +460 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle | 17.8% | +460 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 93 | German Marquez | 17.7% | +465 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 94 | Bryan Garcia | 17.6% | +470 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 17.5% | +470 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 96 | Robbie Ray | 17.5% | +470 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Robert Dugger | 17.3% | +480 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Nick Neidert | 17.3% | +480 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | No | 101 | Eric Lauer | 17.2% | +480 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 99 | Jose Berrios | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | No | 96 | Robbie Ray | 17.0% | +490 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 16.9% | +495 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 99 | Bryan Shaw | 16.8% | +495 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Sean Manaea | 16.7% | +500 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Dylan Cease | 16.7% | +500 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 16.6% | +500 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 94 | Bryan Garcia | 16.4% | +510 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Josh Winckowski | 16.1% | +520 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 99 | German Marquez | 15.8% | +530 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 15.8% | +530 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Josh Winckowski | 15.8% | +530 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch Keller | 15.8% | +535 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | No | 102 | Sean Manaea | 15.7% | +535 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 15.5% | +545 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Dylan Cease | 15.4% | +550 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch Keller | 15.1% | +560 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 15.0% | +565 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch Keller | 15.0% | +565 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Dylan Cease | 15.0% | +565 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 99 | Bryan Shaw | 14.9% | +570 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 14.9% | +570 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | No | 110 | Josiah Gray | 14.8% | +575 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 14.8% | +575 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | No | 102 | Sean Manaea | 14.6% | +585 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 94 | Bryan Garcia | 14.5% | +585 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 14.5% | +590 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 14.4% | +595 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 14.4% | +595 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 14.2% | +605 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle | 14.1% | +610 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Jose Berrios | 14.1% | +610 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 14.1% | +610 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 14.1% | +610 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Dylan Cease | 14.1% | +610 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Ian Anderson | 14.0% | +615 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 91 | Dakota Hudson | 13.9% | +620 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 107 | Sean Manaea | 13.8% | +625 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 13.8% | +625 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 13.8% | +625 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 13.6% | +635 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Ian Anderson | 13.4% | +650 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Ian Anderson | 13.4% | +650 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 91 | Dakota Hudson | 13.3% | +655 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 94 | Corey Kluber | 13.3% | +655 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Gibson | 13.2% | +660 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 99 | German Marquez | 13.2% | +660 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 12.9% | +675 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Corey Kluber | 12.9% | +675 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Mitch Keller | 12.8% | +680 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Ian Anderson | 12.8% | +680 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle | 12.8% | +680 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 12.7% | +685 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 103 | Robert Dugger | 12.6% | +690 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 12.6% | +695 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 12.5% | +700 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 12.2% | +720 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 12.1% | +725 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 12.1% | +725 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 98 | Tyler Mahle | 12.1% | +725 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 11.8% | +745 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | No | 97 | Nestor Cortes | 11.7% | +755 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 11.5% | +765 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 91 | Dakota Hudson | 11.3% | +780 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 11.2% | +790 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 101 | Glenn Otto | 11.2% | +795 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 11.1% | +800 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 99 | German Marquez | 11.0% | +810 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 10.8% | +825 |
| Christian Vazquez | HOU | No | 99 | Bryan Shaw | 10.8% | +830 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Jose Berrios | 10.7% | +835 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 98 | Taijuan Walker | 10.7% | +835 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 10.7% | +840 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Robert Dugger | 10.4% | +860 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Nick Neidert | 10.4% | +860 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 10.4% | +860 |
| Eric Hosmer | BOS | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 10.3% | +870 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Josh Winckowski | 10.3% | +870 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 10.2% | +880 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 10.2% | +880 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 110 | Josiah Gray | 10.2% | +880 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 93 | German Marquez | 10.2% | +880 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 106 | Josiah Gray | 10.1% | +890 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 10.0% | +895 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Nick Neidert | 10.0% | +900 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 94 | Bryan Garcia | 9.8% | +920 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | No | 96 | Patrick Sandoval | 9.7% | +925 |
| Tim Anderson | CHW | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 9.7% | +935 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 101 | Robert Dugger | 9.7% | +935 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Robert Dugger | 9.6% | +940 |
| Kevin Newman | PIT | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 9.5% | +950 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 99 | German Marquez | 9.5% | +955 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 92 | Zack Greinke | 9.4% | +965 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 9.4% | +965 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 9.4% | +965 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 9.4% | +965 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 9.3% | +975 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 91 | Nestor Cortes | 9.1% | +995 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | Yes | 91 | Nestor Cortes | 9.1% | +995 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 95 | Taijuan Walker | 9.1% | +995 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Dylan Cease | 9.0% | +1015 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 92 | Zack Greinke | 8.9% | +1025 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | No | 103 | Nick Neidert | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Jason Delay | PIT | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 8.7% | +1055 |
| Jose Iglesias | COL | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Aaron Hicks | NYY | Yes | 97 | Dakota Hudson | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Matt Reynolds | CIN | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | Yes | 103 | Justin Steele | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 99 | Bryan Shaw | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 106 | Josiah Gray | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | No | 103 | Framber Valdez | 8.4% | +1095 |
| Victor Reyes | DET | Yes | 94 | Corey Kluber | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 102 | Sean Manaea | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | Yes | 99 | Framber Valdez | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 92 | Josh Winckowski | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 99 | German Marquez | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Mark Contreras | MIN | Yes | 99 | Jose Berrios | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Connor Joe | COL | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.8% | +1185 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 99 | Bryan Shaw | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 98 | Ian Anderson | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Tomas Nido | NYM | No | 98 | Ian Anderson | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Nick Senzel | CIN | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | No | 110 | Kyle Gibson | 7.7% | +1205 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 91 | Nestor Cortes | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 91 | Nestor Cortes | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Gibson | 7.6% | +1220 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 95 | Dylan Cease | 7.5% | +1240 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 99 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 7.3% | +1270 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Robert Dugger | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | Nick Neidert | 7.2% | +1285 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 93 | Madison Bumgarner | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 110 | Dean Kremer | 6.9% | +1345 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Mitch Keller | 6.9% | +1345 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | PIT | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 98 | Jose Berrios | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | Yes | 103 | Eric Lauer | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 106 | Kyle Gibson | 6.7% | +1395 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | Yes | 99 | Framber Valdez | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Kyle Lewis | SEA | Yes | 99 | Patrick Sandoval | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | No | 96 | Patrick Sandoval | 6.5% | +1435 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 91 | Dakota Hudson | 6.4% | +1455 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Dylan Cease | 6.4% | +1465 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 101 | Glenn Otto | 6.4% | +1465 |
