MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 8/9/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Ryan Feltner | 11.5 | 6.44 | 62.2% | 46.4% | 31.8% | 20.1% | 11.8% |
| NYM | Mike Minor | 8.5 | 5.30 | 43.7% | 28.3% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| ATL | Rich Hill | 9.5 | 5.14 | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| COL | Miles Mikolas | 11.5 | 5.06 | 39.5% | 24.7% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| LAD | Joe Ryan | 8.5 | 4.93 | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| TOR | Kyle Bradish | 8.5 | 4.65 | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| ARI | Zach Thompson | 8.5 | 4.59 | 31.3% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| PHI | Braxton Garrett | 7.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| MIL | Jimmy Yacabonis | 8.0 | 4.42 | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| BOS | Charlie Morton | 9.5 | 4.36 | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| CHC | Paolo Espino | 7.5 | 4.29 | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| CLE | Tyler Alexander | 7.5 | 4.26 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| SD | Alex Cobb | 7.5 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| HOU | Martin Perez | 7.5 | 4.17 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| PIT | Tommy Henry | 8.5 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| BAL | Alek Manoah | 8.5 | 3.85 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| NYY | Luis Castillo | 7.0 | 3.69 | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| LAA | James Kaprielian | 6.5 | 3.65 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| TB | Freddy Peralta | 8.0 | 3.58 | 15.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MIN | Julio Urias | 8.5 | 3.57 | 15.2% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| TEX | Jose Urquidy | 7.5 | 3.33 | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| SEA | Gerrit Cole | 7.0 | 3.31 | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| SF | Joe Musgrove | 7.5 | 3.29 | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| DET | Shane Bieber | 7.5 | 3.24 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| WSH | Marcus Stroman | 7.5 | 3.21 | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| CIN | Carlos Carrasco | 8.5 | 3.20 | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| MIA | Zack Wheeler | 7.5 | 3.05 | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Shohei Ohtani | 6.5 | 2.85 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | OAK | 7.5 | 94.2% | 87.0% | 76.2% | 62.6% | 48.0% | 34.2% | 22.7% |
| Gerrit Cole | SEA | 7.5 | 94.2% | 86.9% | 76.1% | 62.5% | 47.8% | 34.1% | 22.6% |
| Zack Wheeler | MIA | 7.3 | 93.4% | 85.6% | 74.1% | 60.0% | 45.2% | 31.6% | 20.6% |
| Charlie Morton | BOS | 6.9 | 91.3% | 81.9% | 68.8% | 53.7% | 38.8% | 25.9% | 16.0% |
| Luis Castillo | NYY | 6.5 | 88.8% | 77.6% | 63.1% | 47.3% | 32.7% | 20.8% | 12.3% |
| Joe Musgrove | SF | 6.4 | 88.1% | 76.5% | 61.6% | 45.8% | 31.3% | 19.7% | 11.4% |
| Alek Manoah | BAL | 6.2 | 86.7% | 74.3% | 58.9% | 42.9% | 28.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% |
| Freddy Peralta | TB | 6.2 | 86.4% | 73.8% | 58.3% | 42.3% | 28.1% | 17.2% | 9.7% |
| Shane Bieber | DET | 6.1 | 86.0% | 73.2% | 57.5% | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Carlos Carrasco | CIN | 6.0 | 85.2% | 72.0% | 56.1% | 40.0% | 26.2% | 15.7% | 8.7% |
| Brady Singer | CHW | 5.8 | 82.8% | 68.4% | 51.8% | 35.8% | 22.6% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Lance Lynn | KC | 5.8 | 82.7% | 68.3% | 51.7% | 35.7% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Julio Urias | MIN | 5.7 | 81.5% | 66.5% | 49.7% | 33.8% | 20.9% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Martin Perez | HOU | 5.4 | 78.7% | 62.7% | 45.4% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Alex Cobb | SD | 5.2 | 76.7% | 60.1% | 42.6% | 27.4% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Jose Urquidy | TEX | 5.1 | 75.3% | 58.2% | 40.7% | 25.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Braxton Garrett | PHI | 5.1 | 74.9% | 57.7% | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Marcus Stroman | WSH | 4.9 | 71.5% | 53.5% | 35.9% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Tommy Henry | PIT | 4.6 | 67.6% | 48.9% | 31.6% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Yarbrough | MIL | 4.6 | 66.9% | 48.1% | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Joe Ryan | LAD | 4.5 | 65.8% | 46.8% | 29.7% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Miles Mikolas | COL | 4.4 | 64.7% | 45.6% | 28.7% | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| James Kaprielian | LAA | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Mike Minor | NYM | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Davis Martin | KC | 4.3 | 61.4% | 42.0% | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Bradish | TOR | 4.0 | 56.5% | 36.9% | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Rich Hill | ATL | 3.8 | 53.3% | 33.8% | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Feltner | STL | 3.8 | 52.2% | 32.8% | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Paolo Espino | CHC | 3.5 | 45.3% | 26.5% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Zach Thompson | ARI | 3.4 | 44.2% | 25.6% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jon Heasley | CHW | 3.4 | 43.3% | 24.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Alexander | CLE | 3.3 | 41.5% | 23.4% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jimmy Yacabonis | MIL | 1.4 | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 26.9% | +270 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 26.5% | +275 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 26.3% | +280 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | Yes | 98 | Mike Minor | 25.8% | +285 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 25.6% | +290 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 24.5% | +310 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 101 | Martin Perez | 23.6% | +325 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Joe Ryan | 23.4% | +325 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 23.1% | +335 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 109 | Ryan Feltner | 23.1% | +335 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 21.7% | +360 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 110 | Braxton Garrett | 21.7% | +360 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 21.5% | +365 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Joe Ryan | 21.3% | +370 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Paolo Espino | 21.3% | +370 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 21.2% | +370 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Alek Manoah | 21.0% | +375 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Alek Manoah | 20.9% | +380 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 20.7% | +385 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 98 | Mike Minor | 20.5% | +390 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 20.5% | +390 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 20.2% | +395 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Miles Mikolas | 19.8% | +405 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Charlie Morton | 19.6% | +410 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 19.5% | +415 |
| Keston Hiura | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 19.5% | +415 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Joe Ryan | 19.3% | +420 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 19.1% | +425 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Shohei Ohtani | 18.9% | +430 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 99 | Zach Thompson | 18.9% | +430 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 18.8% | +435 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Davis Martin | 18.6% | +440 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 18.5% | +440 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 18.5% | +440 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 18.5% | +440 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 18.0% | +455 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Lance Lynn | 18.0% | +455 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Miles Mikolas | 18.0% | +455 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 110 | Braxton Garrett | 17.8% | +460 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Miles Mikolas | 17.8% | +465 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 17.7% | +465 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 17.7% | +465 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 17.6% | +470 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 17.4% | +475 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Paolo Espino | 17.3% | +480 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | No | 103 | Freddy Peralta | 17.3% | +480 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 102 | Martin Perez | 17.3% | +480 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 17.2% | +480 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 17.0% | +485 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Lance Lynn | 17.0% | +490 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 17.0% | +490 |
| Darin Ruf | NYM | Yes | 98 | Mike Minor | 16.9% | +490 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Joe Ryan | 16.9% | +495 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 16.7% | +500 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Paolo Espino | 16.7% | +500 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Paolo Espino | 16.7% | +500 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 16.4% | +510 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 16.4% | +510 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 16.2% | +515 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 16.1% | +520 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Gerrit Cole | 16.1% | +525 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 15.9% | +530 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Alek Manoah | 15.8% | +530 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Davis Martin | 15.8% | +530 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 15.8% | +535 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 15.6% | +540 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Joe Ryan | 15.6% | +545 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 15.6% | +545 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 15.4% | +550 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 15.3% | +555 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Alex Cobb | 15.3% | +555 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 15.3% | +555 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 15.3% | +555 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Joe Ryan | 15.2% | +560 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 99 | Zach Thompson | 15.2% | +560 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 15.1% | +560 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Alek Manoah | 15.0% | +565 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 98 | Mike Minor | 14.9% | +570 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | Yes | 98 | Mike Minor | 14.9% | +570 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Lance Lynn | 14.9% | +570 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Davis Martin | 14.9% | +570 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 92 | Lance Lynn | 14.9% | +570 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 14.9% | +570 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Joe Ryan | 14.9% | +570 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 93 | Zach Thompson | 14.8% | +580 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | No | 94 | Tyler Alexander | 14.7% | +580 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 14.6% | +585 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 14.6% | +585 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 99 | Zach Thompson | 14.5% | +590 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 106 | Braxton Garrett | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Alek Manoah | 14.3% | +600 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 14.3% | +600 |
| Ramon Laureano | OAK | No | 94 | Shohei Ohtani | 14.3% | +600 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 109 | Ryan Feltner | 14.3% | +600 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Charlie Morton | 14.2% | +600 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 96 | Luis Castillo | 14.2% | +605 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 14.0% | +615 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 93 | Rich Hill | 14.0% | +615 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 14.0% | +615 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 13.9% | +620 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 101 | Martin Perez | 13.9% | +620 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 13.8% | +625 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 13.8% | +625 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Alek Manoah | 13.6% | +640 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | Yes | 98 | Mike Minor | 13.5% | +640 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 109 | Ryan Feltner | 13.5% | +640 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 13.5% | +640 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 13.4% | +645 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 13.4% | +645 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Alex Cobb | 13.4% | +650 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 13.1% | +660 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 101 | Martin Perez | 13.1% | +660 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 13.0% | +670 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Charlie Morton | 12.9% | +675 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jose Barrero | CIN | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 12.8% | +680 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Miles Mikolas | 12.7% | +685 |
| David Peralta | TB | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 12.7% | +690 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 101 | Freddy Peralta | 12.7% | +690 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Alex Cobb | 12.6% | +695 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 99 | Tommy Henry | 12.5% | +700 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 93 | Zach Thompson | 12.2% | +720 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 12.2% | +720 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Gerrit Cole | 12.2% | +720 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 11.8% | +745 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 11.8% | +745 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | No | 102 | Martin Perez | 11.6% | +765 |
| Michael Chavis | PIT | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 11.5% | +765 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 96 | Marcus Stroman | 11.4% | +775 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 11.4% | +775 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 95 | Carlos Carrasco | 11.3% | +785 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Alex Cobb | 11.3% | +785 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 94 | Shane Bieber | 11.2% | +790 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 11.2% | +795 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 11.2% | +795 |
| Michael Brosseau | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 11.0% | +805 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Miles Mikolas | 10.8% | +820 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | Yes | 101 | Martin Perez | 10.8% | +820 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 10.8% | +825 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Shane Bieber | 10.8% | +830 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | Joe Ryan | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Gerrit Cole | 10.7% | +835 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | Yes | 96 | Gerrit Cole | 10.7% | +835 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 10.7% | +835 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Alex Cobb | 10.5% | +855 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 10.4% | +860 |
| Whit Merrifield | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 10.4% | +865 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 99 | Zach Thompson | 10.3% | +875 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 10.2% | +880 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | No | 110 | Zack Wheeler | 10.2% | +880 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 10.1% | +890 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 9.9% | +910 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 9.9% | +915 |
| Tucker Barnhart | DET | Yes | 94 | Shane Bieber | 9.8% | +920 |
| Stephen Piscotty | OAK | No | 94 | Shohei Ohtani | 9.6% | +945 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Shohei Ohtani | 9.6% | +945 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Alek Manoah | 9.6% | +945 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | No | 101 | Jose Urquidy | 9.5% | +955 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Davis Martin | 9.4% | +965 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 9.4% | +965 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | No | 99 | Tommy Henry | 9.4% | +965 |
| Kevin Newman | PIT | Yes | 93 | Tommy Henry | 9.3% | +970 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 9.3% | +975 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 99 | Luis Castillo | 9.3% | +975 |
| Lewin Diaz | MIA | Yes | 106 | Zack Wheeler | 9.3% | +980 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | Yes | 96 | Paolo Espino | 9.2% | +985 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | Yes | 101 | Martin Perez | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jake Meyers | HOU | Yes | 101 | Martin Perez | 9.2% | +985 |
| Mike Moustakas | CIN | Yes | 95 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.1% | +995 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 95 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.1% | +995 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Davis Martin | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | No | 101 | Ryan Yarbrough | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 93 | Rich Hill | 8.9% | +1030 |
| Victor Robles | WSH | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Alek Manoah | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Seby Zavala | CHW | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Santiago Espinal | TOR | No | 112 | Kyle Bradish | 8.7% | +1055 |
| Tyler Nevin | BAL | No | 112 | Alek Manoah | 8.7% | +1055 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 103 | Ryan Yarbrough | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Charlie Morton | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 96 | Gerrit Cole | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Paolo Espino | 8.5% | +1080 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 106 | Zack Wheeler | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Alex Cobb | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Jose Iglesias | COL | No | 108 | Miles Mikolas | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 108 | Ryan Feltner | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | No | 108 | Miles Mikolas | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Lance Lynn | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Elvis Andrus | OAK | No | 94 | Shohei Ohtani | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 103 | Paolo Espino | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 103 | Marcus Stroman | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 103 | Freddy Peralta | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 92 | Brady Singer | 8.0% | +1155 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 99 | Zach Thompson | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | No | 95 | Mike Minor | 7.8% | +1190 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 92 | James Kaprielian | 7.4% | +1250 |
| Robbie Grossman | ATL | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Owen Miller | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | No | 99 | Tommy Henry | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 102 | Jose Urquidy | 7.3% | +1270 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 92 | Lance Lynn | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Gilberto Celestino | MIN | Yes | 107 | Julio Urias | 7.0% | +1325 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 96 | Paolo Espino | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | No | 102 | Julio Urias | 6.9% | +1350 |
| Tommy La Stella | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Miles Mikolas | 6.7% | +1400 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | Yes | 101 | Martin Perez | 6.7% | +1405 |
| Yasmani Grandal | CHW | Yes | 92 | Brady Singer | 6.6% | +1405 |
| Nicky Lopez | KC | Yes | 92 | Davis Martin | 6.6% | +1405 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | No | 94 | James Kaprielian | 6.6% | +1410 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 6.5% | +1430 |
| James McCann | NYM | Yes | 98 | Mike Minor | 6.5% | +1445 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | No | 106 | Braxton Garrett | 6.4% | +1460 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 103 | Freddy Peralta | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | No | 103 | Paolo Espino | 6.4% | +1470 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | ARI | Yes | 99 | Zach Thompson | 6.3% | +1495 |
| Matt Vierling | PHI | Yes | 110 | Braxton Garrett | 6.2% | +1500 |
