MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 8/16/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | T.J. Zeuch | 9.5 | 5.38 | 45.0% | 29.5% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| TOR | Dean Kremer | 8.5 | 4.91 | 36.8% | 22.5% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| STL | Kyle Freeland | 8.0 | 4.75 | 34.0% | 20.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| CHC | Patrick Corbin | 8.5 | 4.69 | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| CLE | Garrett Hill | 8.0 | 4.68 | 32.8% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| ATL | Taijuan Walker | 8.5 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| MIN | Zack Greinke | 8.0 | 4.57 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| BOS | Mitch Keller | 8.5 | 4.52 | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| SEA | Jose Suarez | 7.5 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 13.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| SF | Merrill Kelly | 8.0 | 4.17 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| TEX | JP Sears | 8.0 | 4.17 | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| MIL | Ryan Pepiot | 8.0 | 4.13 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| CIN | Kyle Gibson | 9.5 | 4.12 | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| SD | Edward Cabrera | 7.5 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| PIT | Nick Pivetta | 8.5 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| NYM | Charlie Morton | 8.5 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| NYY | Jeffrey Springs | 7.0 | 3.88 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| LAD | Brandon Woodruff | 8.0 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| ARI | Jakob Junis | 8.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| OAK | Kohei Arihara | 8.0 | 3.83 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| WSH | Justin Steele | 8.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| HOU | Dylan Cease | 7.0 | 3.65 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| BAL | Alek Manoah | 8.5 | 3.59 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| MIA | Sean Manaea | 7.5 | 3.45 | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| KC | Sonny Gray | 8.0 | 3.43 | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CHW | Justin Verlander | 7.0 | 3.35 | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| DET | Zach Plesac | 8.0 | 3.32 | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| LAA | Robbie Ray | 7.5 | 3.30 | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| COL | Jose Quintana | 8.0 | 3.25 | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| TB | Nestor Cortes | 7.0 | 3.12 | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | HOU | 7.3 | 93.4% | 85.6% | 74.1% | 60.0% | 45.2% | 31.6% | 20.6% |
| Brandon Woodruff | LAD | 6.8 | 90.7% | 80.7% | 67.2% | 51.9% | 37.0% | 24.4% | 14.9% |
| Charlie Morton | NYM | 6.5 | 89.0% | 77.9% | 63.4% | 47.7% | 33.0% | 21.1% | 12.4% |
| Robbie Ray | LAA | 6.4 | 88.0% | 76.4% | 61.5% | 45.6% | 31.1% | 19.6% | 11.3% |
| Justin Verlander | CHW | 6.2 | 86.3% | 73.7% | 58.1% | 42.1% | 28.0% | 17.1% | 9.6% |
| Alek Manoah | BAL | 6.2 | 86.2% | 73.5% | 57.8% | 41.8% | 27.7% | 16.9% | 9.5% |
| Nestor Cortes | TB | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.8% | 57.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Sean Manaea | MIA | 6.1 | 85.6% | 72.6% | 56.7% | 40.7% | 26.7% | 16.1% | 9.0% |
| Nick Pivetta | PIT | 5.7 | 81.8% | 67.0% | 50.2% | 34.2% | 21.3% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Jose Quintana | COL | 5.5 | 79.3% | 63.5% | 46.2% | 30.6% | 18.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Sonny Gray | KC | 5.4 | 78.2% | 62.0% | 44.7% | 29.2% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Jeffrey Springs | NYY | 5.1 | 75.4% | 58.4% | 40.9% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Justin Steele | WSH | 5.0 | 72.8% | 55.1% | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Edward Cabrera | SD | 4.7 | 68.9% | 50.4% | 33.0% | 19.4% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Gibson | CIN | 4.6 | 68.1% | 49.4% | 32.1% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Jakob Junis | ARI | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Zach Plesac | DET | 4.6 | 67.3% | 48.5% | 31.3% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Jose Suarez | SEA | 4.5 | 66.1% | 47.2% | 30.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Pepiot | MIL | 4.5 | 65.1% | 46.0% | 29.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Merrill Kelly | SF | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Taijuan Walker | ATL | 4.4 | 63.2% | 43.9% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Freeland | STL | 4.3 | 61.6% | 42.2% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Corbin | CHC | 4.2 | 61.2% | 41.8% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Mitch Keller | BOS | 4.2 | 61.2% | 41.8% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Kohei Arihara | OAK | 3.7 | 50.4% | 31.1% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Dean Kremer | TOR | 3.6 | 49.3% | 30.1% | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zack Greinke | MIN | 3.6 | 47.4% | 28.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| JP Sears | TEX | 3.4 | 44.2% | 25.6% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Hill | CLE | 3.1 | 38.2% | 20.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| T.J. Zeuch | PHI | 3.1 | 38.0% | 20.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 29.0% | +245 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 24.4% | +310 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 106 | Justin Steele | 24.3% | +310 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 22.9% | +335 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | Yes | 103 | Jose Suarez | 22.9% | +335 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 22.8% | +340 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 100 | Taijuan Walker | 22.7% | +340 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 22.3% | +350 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | No | 98 | Zack Greinke | 22.1% | +355 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 22.0% | +355 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | Yes | 91 | Kyle Freeland | 21.9% | +355 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 101 | Dean Kremer | 21.5% | +365 |
| Darick Hall | PHI | Yes | 113 | T.J. Zeuch | 21.4% | +365 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Ryan Pepiot | 21.3% | +370 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 21.1% | +375 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 101 | Dean Kremer | 21.0% | +375 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 20.8% | +380 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 106 | Justin Steele | 20.5% | +390 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 101 | Dean Kremer | 20.5% | +390 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 19.9% | +400 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 108 | Robbie Ray | 19.7% | +410 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 111 | T.J. Zeuch | 19.6% | +410 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 19.6% | +410 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Garrett Hill | 19.4% | +415 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Ryan Pepiot | 19.1% | +425 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 103 | Jose Suarez | 18.9% | +430 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 103 | Garrett Hill | 18.8% | +430 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 101 | Dean Kremer | 18.8% | +430 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 18.6% | +440 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Ryan Pepiot | 18.6% | +440 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | No | 103 | Ryan Pepiot | 18.5% | +440 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 18.3% | +445 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 103 | Jose Suarez | 18.2% | +450 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 18.0% | +455 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | Yes | 91 | Kyle Freeland | 17.7% | +465 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 101 | Dean Kremer | 17.6% | +465 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 101 | Dean Kremer | 17.6% | +465 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 17.6% | +470 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | Yes | 90 | Sean Manaea | 17.6% | +470 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 17.3% | +480 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 17.3% | +480 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Nick Pivetta | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 95 | JP Sears | 17.1% | +485 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 17.1% | +485 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Justin Verlander | 17.1% | +485 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 17.0% | +485 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Kyle Gibson | 17.0% | +485 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 17.0% | +490 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 16.9% | +490 |
| Garrett Stubbs | PHI | Yes | 113 | T.J. Zeuch | 16.9% | +490 |
| Eric Haase | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 16.8% | +495 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Ryan Pepiot | 16.7% | +500 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Justin Verlander | 16.7% | +500 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 111 | Dylan Cease | 16.7% | +500 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | No | 97 | Kyle Freeland | 16.6% | +500 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 16.6% | +500 |
| Tyler Naquin | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 16.6% | +505 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | No | 97 | Taijuan Walker | 16.5% | +505 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | Yes | 95 | JP Sears | 16.5% | +505 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 99 | Zack Greinke | 16.5% | +505 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | Yes | 103 | Jose Suarez | 16.2% | +515 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Kyle Gibson | 16.2% | +520 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | No | 101 | JP Sears | 16.1% | +520 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 16.1% | +520 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 101 | Kohei Arihara | 16.1% | +520 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Justin Steele | 15.9% | +530 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 15.9% | +530 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 97 | Taijuan Walker | 15.9% | +530 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 15.8% | +530 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 90 | Edward Cabrera | 15.5% | +545 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 15.4% | +550 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 109 | Jeffrey Springs | 15.4% | +550 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 15.3% | +555 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 15.2% | +560 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 103 | Jose Suarez | 14.8% | +575 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 14.8% | +575 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 14.8% | +575 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 98 | Zack Greinke | 14.8% | +575 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 14.8% | +575 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 14.7% | +580 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 14.6% | +585 |
| Nick Pratto | KC | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 14.5% | +590 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 90 | Jakob Junis | 14.4% | +595 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 14.3% | +600 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 14.2% | +600 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | No | 111 | T.J. Zeuch | 14.2% | +605 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 14.1% | +610 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 14.1% | +610 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 14.1% | +610 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | Yes | 91 | Kyle Freeland | 14.0% | +615 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 14.0% | +615 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 97 | Taijuan Walker | 14.0% | +615 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 13.7% | +630 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Justin Verlander | 13.7% | +630 |
| Aledmys Diaz | HOU | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 13.7% | +630 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Garrett Hill | 13.6% | +635 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 98 | Sonny Gray | 13.5% | +645 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 98 | Sonny Gray | 13.5% | +645 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | No | 108 | Robbie Ray | 13.4% | +645 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | Yes | 91 | Kyle Freeland | 13.4% | +650 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | Yes | 91 | Kyle Freeland | 13.4% | +650 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Nick Pivetta | 13.4% | +650 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 13.3% | +650 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 13.3% | +655 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 100 | Taijuan Walker | 13.3% | +655 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | Yes | 95 | JP Sears | 13.2% | +660 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | No | 90 | Jakob Junis | 13.1% | +660 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Justin Verlander | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 98 | Zack Greinke | 12.8% | +680 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 103 | Jose Suarez | 12.6% | +695 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 90 | Sean Manaea | 12.6% | +695 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 101 | Alek Manoah | 12.4% | +705 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 12.4% | +705 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | Yes | 113 | T.J. Zeuch | 12.3% | +710 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Justin Verlander | 12.2% | +720 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 106 | Justin Verlander | 12.2% | +720 |
| Cesar Hernandez | WSH | Yes | 106 | Justin Steele | 12.1% | +725 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 12.0% | +730 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 97 | Taijuan Walker | 12.0% | +735 |
| Victor Caratini | MIL | Yes | 101 | Ryan Pepiot | 11.9% | +735 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 111 | T.J. Zeuch | 11.9% | +740 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 90 | Edward Cabrera | 11.9% | +740 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 11.8% | +745 |
| Jose Siri | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 11.8% | +745 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | No | 97 | Jose Quintana | 11.7% | +755 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 11.5% | +770 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | No | 108 | Jose Suarez | 11.5% | +770 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 11.4% | +775 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 11.4% | +780 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 11.3% | +785 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 90 | Merrill Kelly | 11.2% | +790 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 90 | Merrill Kelly | 11.2% | +790 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Ryan Pepiot | 11.2% | +795 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 11.1% | +800 |
| DJ LeMahieu | NYY | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 11.0% | +805 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 99 | Zack Greinke | 11.0% | +810 |
| Harold Castro | DET | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 10.6% | +840 |
| Brian Serven | COL | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 10.6% | +840 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 97 | Taijuan Walker | 10.6% | +845 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 10.5% | +850 |
| Garrett Cooper | MIA | Yes | 90 | Sean Manaea | 10.5% | +850 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 10.5% | +855 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Ryan Pepiot | 10.4% | +860 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Kyle Gibson | 10.3% | +870 |
| David Fletcher | LAA | Yes | 103 | Robbie Ray | 10.2% | +880 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 98 | Zack Greinke | 10.0% | +905 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 9.9% | +910 |
| Cal Mitchell | PIT | Yes | 95 | Nick Pivetta | 9.9% | +910 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 9.8% | +920 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 113 | T.J. Zeuch | 9.8% | +920 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | No | 95 | Kohei Arihara | 9.7% | +935 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 9.6% | +940 |
| Maikel Franco | WSH | Yes | 106 | Justin Steele | 9.6% | +940 |
| Keibert Ruiz | WSH | Yes | 106 | Justin Steele | 9.6% | +940 |
| Max Kepler | MIN | Yes | 99 | Zack Greinke | 9.5% | +955 |
| Jean Segura | PHI | No | 111 | T.J. Zeuch | 9.5% | +960 |
| Christian Arroyo | BOS | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 9.4% | +965 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.4% | +965 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 9.4% | +965 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 9.4% | +965 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 9.3% | +975 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 9.3% | +975 |
| Jose Iglesias | COL | Yes | 91 | Jose Quintana | 9.1% | +995 |
| Ben Gamel | PIT | Yes | 95 | Nick Pivetta | 9.1% | +995 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 97 | Charlie Morton | 9.1% | +995 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 92 | Edward Cabrera | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 100 | Taijuan Walker | 8.8% | +1040 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | No | 92 | Sean Manaea | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Aristides Aquino | CIN | No | 111 | Kyle Gibson | 8.6% | +1065 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | No | 97 | Jose Quintana | 8.6% | +1070 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 103 | Jeffrey Springs | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Yu Chang | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Austin Hedges | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 99 | Garrett Hill | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 87 | Merrill Kelly | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | WSH | No | 104 | Justin Steele | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Tucupita Marcano | PIT | Yes | 95 | Nick Pivetta | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Joey Votto | CIN | Yes | 113 | Kyle Gibson | 8.0% | +1145 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Kyle Gibson | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Michael Perez | NYM | Yes | 100 | Charlie Morton | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Ezequiel Duran | TEX | Yes | 95 | JP Sears | 7.9% | +1160 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | No | 97 | Kyle Freeland | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 87 | Jakob Junis | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Albert Almora Jr. | CIN | No | 111 | Kyle Gibson | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Jose Barrero | CIN | No | 111 | Kyle Gibson | 7.7% | +1195 |
| Alex Verdugo | BOS | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | No | 101 | JP Sears | 7.5% | +1230 |
| Luis Arraez | MIN | Yes | 99 | Zack Greinke | 7.1% | +1310 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | Yes | 106 | Patrick Corbin | 7.0% | +1335 |
| Jonathan Schoop | DET | No | 99 | Zach Plesac | 7.0% | +1340 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | Yes | 91 | Kyle Freeland | 6.8% | +1360 |
| Eric Hosmer | BOS | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | No | 97 | Taijuan Walker | 6.8% | +1365 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 103 | Nestor Cortes | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 94 | Alek Manoah | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | Yes | 90 | Sean Manaea | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Peyton Burdick | MIA | Yes | 90 | Sean Manaea | 6.8% | +1375 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Justin Verlander | 6.5% | +1430 |
| Mauricio Dubon | HOU | No | 106 | Dylan Cease | 6.5% | +1430 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | No | 108 | Jose Suarez | 6.5% | +1435 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 103 | Zach Plesac | 6.5% | +1435 |
| Nolan Jones | CLE | Yes | 103 | Garrett Hill | 6.5% | +1435 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Kevin Newman | PIT | No | 92 | Nick Pivetta | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Jason Delay | PIT | No | 92 | Nick Pivetta | 6.5% | +1440 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Ryan Pepiot | 6.4% | +1465 |
| Cal Stevenson | OAK | Yes | 101 | Kohei Arihara | 6.4% | +1465 |
| Rafael Ortega | CHC | No | 104 | Patrick Corbin | 6.3% | +1490 |
| Leody Taveras | TEX | Yes | 95 | JP Sears | 6.3% | +1490 |
| Michael Massey | KC | Yes | 99 | Sonny Gray | 6.3% | +1495 |
