MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Tuesday 8/23/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | Dane Dunning | 11.0 | 5.63 | 49.3% | 33.4% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| TEX | German Marquez | 11.0 | 5.37 | 44.9% | 29.4% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| TOR | Josh Winckowski | 9.5 | 5.10 | 40.2% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| HOU | Aaron Sanchez | 8.0 | 4.95 | 37.5% | 23.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| ATL | JT Brubaker | 8.0 | 4.84 | 35.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| STL | Javier Assad | 8.5 | 4.79 | 34.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| ARI | Jon Heasley | 9.0 | 4.67 | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| STL | Adrian Sampson | 9.0 | 4.67 | 32.6% | 19.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| PHI | Nick Lodolo | 8.0 | 4.66 | 32.5% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| NYY | Taijuan Walker | 8.5 | 4.43 | 28.5% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| BOS | Ross Stripling | 9.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| SF | Drew Hutchison | 7.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| CHC | Jake Woodford | 9.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| KC | Zach Davies | 9.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| SD | Aaron Civale | 8.0 | 4.33 | 26.8% | 14.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| SEA | Erick Fedde | 7.0 | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| NYM | Frankie Montas | 8.5 | 4.07 | 22.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| MIA | Zach Logue | 7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CHW | Austin Voth | 7.5 | 3.99 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| TB | Jose Suarez | 7.0 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| LAD | Corbin Burnes | 7.0 | 3.76 | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| CHC | Adam Wainwright | 8.5 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| CLE | Mike Clevinger | 8.0 | 3.67 | 16.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| BAL | Dylan Cease | 7.5 | 3.51 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| OAK | Pablo Lopez | 7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CIN | Ranger Suarez | 8.0 | 3.34 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| MIL | Tony Gonsolin | 7.0 | 3.24 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| PIT | Max Fried | 8.0 | 3.16 | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| DET | Carlos Rodon | 7.5 | 3.10 | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| LAA | Corey Kluber | 7.0 | 3.09 | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| MIN | Justin Verlander | 8.0 | 3.05 | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| WSH | Robbie Ray | 7.0 | 2.77 | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | BAL | 7.1 | 92.3% | 83.5% | 71.1% | 56.4% | 41.5% | 28.3% | 17.9% |
| Corbin Burnes | LAD | 6.8 | 90.6% | 80.6% | 67.0% | 51.7% | 36.9% | 24.3% | 14.8% |
| Robbie Ray | WSH | 6.7 | 90.1% | 79.7% | 65.8% | 50.3% | 35.5% | 23.1% | 14.0% |
| Carlos Rodon | DET | 6.6 | 89.5% | 78.8% | 64.7% | 49.1% | 34.3% | 22.2% | 13.2% |
| Justin Verlander | MIN | 5.8 | 83.3% | 69.2% | 52.7% | 36.6% | 23.3% | 13.6% | 7.3% |
| Tony Gonsolin | MIL | 5.8 | 82.6% | 68.2% | 51.5% | 35.5% | 22.4% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Nick Lodolo | PHI | 5.7 | 81.9% | 67.1% | 50.3% | 34.4% | 21.5% | 12.2% | 6.4% |
| Frankie Montas | NYM | 5.6 | 81.4% | 66.4% | 49.5% | 33.6% | 20.8% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Adam Wainwright | CHC | 5.5 | 79.6% | 63.9% | 46.8% | 31.1% | 18.8% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Max Fried | PIT | 5.4 | 78.9% | 63.0% | 45.7% | 30.1% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Corey Kluber | LAA | 5.3 | 77.1% | 60.6% | 43.1% | 27.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Mike Clevinger | CLE | 5.1 | 74.7% | 57.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| JT Brubaker | ATL | 5.0 | 73.6% | 56.1% | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Ranger Suarez | CIN | 5.0 | 73.1% | 55.4% | 37.9% | 23.3% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Pablo Lopez | OAK | 4.9 | 71.5% | 53.5% | 35.9% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| German Marquez | TEX | 4.7 | 69.5% | 51.1% | 33.7% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Taijuan Walker | NYY | 4.6 | 66.8% | 47.9% | 30.7% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Aaron Civale | SD | 4.4 | 63.4% | 44.1% | 27.3% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Austin Voth | CHW | 4.2 | 61.2% | 41.8% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Adrian Sampson | STL | 4.2 | 59.7% | 40.2% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Jose Suarez | TB | 4.1 | 59.2% | 39.7% | 23.6% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ross Stripling | BOS | 4.1 | 58.4% | 38.9% | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Drew Hutchison | SF | 4.1 | 57.8% | 38.3% | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Zach Davies | KC | 3.8 | 52.9% | 33.4% | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Dane Dunning | COL | 3.8 | 52.7% | 33.2% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Erick Fedde | SEA | 3.8 | 52.0% | 32.6% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Zach Logue | MIA | 3.6 | 48.5% | 29.4% | 15.6% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Aaron Sanchez | HOU | 3.6 | 48.1% | 29.0% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jon Heasley | ARI | 3.4 | 44.2% | 25.6% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Josh Winckowski | TOR | 3.3 | 42.2% | 23.9% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Javier Assad | STL | 2.4 | 21.3% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Woodford | CHC | 1.9 | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 103 | Javier Assad | 28.6% | +250 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 103 | Javier Assad | 26.8% | +275 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 26.4% | +280 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 26.2% | +280 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 26.0% | +285 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 25.4% | +295 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 23.8% | +320 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 23.5% | +325 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 23.4% | +325 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 23.3% | +330 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 23.3% | +330 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Dylan Cease | 23.1% | +330 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 22.7% | +340 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Corbin Burnes | 21.9% | +355 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 21.8% | +360 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Erick Fedde | 21.7% | +360 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dylan Cease | 21.6% | +365 |
| Willson Contreras | CHC | No | 103 | Jake Woodford | 21.3% | +370 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 21.2% | +370 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 110 | Nick Lodolo | 21.1% | +375 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 20.8% | +380 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Aaron Sanchez | 20.4% | +390 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 108 | German Marquez | 20.4% | +390 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Erick Fedde | 20.1% | +400 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 19.9% | +400 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 19.7% | +405 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 110 | Nick Lodolo | 19.2% | +420 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 19.1% | +425 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Erick Fedde | 19.1% | +425 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 96 | Javier Assad | 19.0% | +425 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 18.8% | +430 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Sanchez | 18.8% | +430 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Corbin Burnes | 18.7% | +435 |
| Jorge Polanco | MIN | Yes | 102 | Justin Verlander | 18.7% | +435 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 18.6% | +440 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 18.5% | +440 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 109 | Frankie Montas | 18.4% | +445 |
| Josh Naylor | CLE | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 18.3% | +445 |
| Ketel Marte | ARI | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 17.8% | +460 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 17.8% | +460 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 17.8% | +465 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 103 | Jake Woodford | 17.3% | +480 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 103 | Jake Woodford | 17.3% | +480 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 17.1% | +485 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 95 | JT Brubaker | 17.1% | +485 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 92 | Zach Davies | 17.0% | +490 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Aaron Civale | 17.0% | +490 |
| Brandon Lowe | TB | No | 92 | Jose Suarez | 16.9% | +490 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Corbin Burnes | 16.9% | +495 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Ross Stripling | 16.8% | +495 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 16.8% | +495 |
| Julio Rodriguez | SEA | No | 99 | Erick Fedde | 16.8% | +495 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 92 | Zach Davies | 16.7% | +500 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 16.7% | +500 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | No | 103 | Javier Assad | 16.7% | +500 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 16.7% | +500 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 16.4% | +510 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 16.4% | +510 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 109 | Taijuan Walker | 16.4% | +510 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 109 | Dane Dunning | 16.4% | +510 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 92 | Zach Davies | 16.4% | +510 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | Yes | 110 | Nick Lodolo | 16.4% | +510 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 16.4% | +510 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Aaron Civale | 16.4% | +510 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 106 | Nick Lodolo | 16.2% | +520 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 16.1% | +520 |
| Nolan Gorman | STL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 16.1% | +525 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Corbin Burnes | 15.9% | +530 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dylan Cease | 15.8% | +530 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | SF | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 15.8% | +535 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | Yes | 102 | Corbin Burnes | 15.6% | +545 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 103 | Taijuan Walker | 15.4% | +550 |
| Starling Marte | NYM | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 15.4% | +550 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Aaron Civale | 15.3% | +555 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 108 | Dane Dunning | 15.3% | +555 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dylan Cease | 15.1% | +560 |
| Ramon Urias | BAL | No | 112 | Dylan Cease | 15.0% | +565 |
| Ji-Man Choi | TB | No | 92 | Jose Suarez | 14.9% | +570 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 96 | Javier Assad | 14.8% | +575 |
| Trent Grisham | SD | Yes | 95 | Aaron Civale | 14.7% | +580 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 108 | German Marquez | 14.6% | +585 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 14.5% | +590 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Sanchez | 14.5% | +590 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 14.3% | +600 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Pablo Lopez | 14.3% | +600 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Ross Stripling | 14.2% | +600 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 14.2% | +600 |
| Paul DeJong | STL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 14.0% | +610 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 95 | JT Brubaker | 14.0% | +615 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 14.0% | +615 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 108 | Dane Dunning | 13.9% | +620 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 108 | Dane Dunning | 13.9% | +620 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Sanchez | 13.8% | +625 |
| Jesus Aguilar | MIA | Yes | 94 | Zach Logue | 13.7% | +625 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 13.7% | +630 |
| Enrique Hernandez | BOS | No | 99 | Ross Stripling | 13.6% | +635 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 13.6% | +635 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Jake Woodford | 13.5% | +640 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 13.5% | +640 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Corbin Burnes | 13.5% | +640 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | No | 108 | Dane Dunning | 13.1% | +660 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Sanchez | 13.1% | +660 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Sanchez | 13.1% | +660 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Suarez | 13.1% | +665 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Corbin Burnes | 13.0% | +665 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 12.9% | +675 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 96 | Adam Wainwright | 12.8% | +680 |
| David Peralta | TB | No | 92 | Jose Suarez | 12.8% | +680 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Dylan Cease | 12.8% | +680 |
| Luis Robert | CHW | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 12.8% | +680 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 12.8% | +685 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Aaron Civale | 12.7% | +685 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 12.7% | +685 |
| Nick Maton | PHI | No | 106 | Nick Lodolo | 12.6% | +695 |
| Jose Barrero | CIN | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 12.5% | +700 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 12.3% | +710 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 12.2% | +720 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 12.1% | +725 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 12.0% | +730 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 12.0% | +735 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Jake Woodford | 11.9% | +740 |
| Alek Thomas | ARI | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 11.7% | +755 |
| Max Stassi | LAA | No | 94 | Corey Kluber | 11.7% | +755 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Dylan Cease | 11.2% | +790 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 110 | Austin Voth | 11.2% | +790 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 11.2% | +795 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 109 | Frankie Montas | 11.2% | +795 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 11.0% | +810 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 108 | Dane Dunning | 10.8% | +820 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 10.8% | +825 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | ARI | No | 92 | Jon Heasley | 10.8% | +825 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | No | 99 | Drew Hutchison | 10.8% | +830 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Erick Fedde | 10.8% | +830 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 96 | Erick Fedde | 10.7% | +835 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Aaron Sanchez | 10.5% | +850 |
| Brandon Belt | SF | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 10.5% | +850 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 10.5% | +850 |
| Tyler O'Neill | STL | No | 103 | Javier Assad | 10.4% | +860 |
| Charlie Blackmon | COL | Yes | 109 | Dane Dunning | 10.3% | +865 |
| Brad Miller | TEX | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 10.3% | +865 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 109 | Frankie Montas | 10.3% | +865 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 10.3% | +870 |
| Kerry Carpenter | DET | No | 94 | Carlos Rodon | 10.2% | +885 |
| Lourdes Gurriel | TOR | No | 99 | Josh Winckowski | 10.0% | +895 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 10.0% | +905 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 10.0% | +905 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 10.0% | +905 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 99 | Carlos Rodon | 9.9% | +915 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 9.9% | +915 |
| Myles Straw | CLE | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 9.8% | +925 |
| Ha-Seong Kim | SD | No | 96 | Aaron Civale | 9.8% | +925 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 95 | Max Fried | 9.7% | +935 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | No | 103 | Jake Woodford | 9.6% | +940 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Dylan Cease | 9.5% | +950 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 109 | German Marquez | 9.5% | +955 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 101 | Justin Verlander | 9.5% | +955 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Sanchez | 9.5% | +955 |
| Miguel Rojas | MIA | Yes | 94 | Zach Logue | 9.4% | +960 |
| Jon Berti | MIA | Yes | 94 | Zach Logue | 9.4% | +960 |
| Harold Ramirez | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Suarez | 9.4% | +960 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Ross Stripling | 9.3% | +975 |
| Bryson Stott | PHI | No | 106 | Nick Lodolo | 9.3% | +980 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 92 | Max Fried | 9.2% | +985 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 96 | Javier Assad | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Erick Fedde | 9.2% | +985 |
| J.P. Crawford | SEA | Yes | 96 | Erick Fedde | 9.2% | +985 |
| Tommy Edman | STL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 9.2% | +985 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 96 | Jake Woodford | 9.2% | +985 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Aaron Civale | 9.1% | +995 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 99 | Carlos Rodon | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Alec Bohm | PHI | Yes | 110 | Nick Lodolo | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Stephen Vogt | OAK | Yes | 92 | Pablo Lopez | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Jared Walsh | LAA | Yes | 92 | Corey Kluber | 8.9% | +1025 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 103 | Frankie Montas | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Nick Madrigal | CHC | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 103 | Adam Wainwright | 8.8% | +1030 |
| Vaughn Grissom | ATL | No | 92 | JT Brubaker | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Sanchez | 8.7% | +1050 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 8.7% | +1055 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 112 | Austin Voth | 8.7% | +1055 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Suarez | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | Yes | 94 | Zach Logue | 8.6% | +1055 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Ross Stripling | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Zach McKinstry | CHC | Yes | 96 | Adam Wainwright | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Brendan Donovan | STL | Yes | 96 | Adrian Sampson | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Corbin Burnes | 8.3% | +1100 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 8.3% | +1100 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 94 | Drew Hutchison | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 8.3% | +1105 |
| Nelson Cruz | WSH | Yes | 99 | Robbie Ray | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 92 | Jon Heasley | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 92 | Zach Davies | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Donovan Solano | CIN | Yes | 110 | Ranger Suarez | 8.1% | +1130 |
| Yadier Molina | STL | No | 103 | Adrian Sampson | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Suarez | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Taylor Walls | TB | Yes | 94 | Jose Suarez | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Luke Williams | MIA | Yes | 94 | Zach Logue | 7.9% | +1175 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 92 | Max Fried | 7.7% | +1200 |
