MLB

3 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for Monday 9/12/22

Josh Shepardson  —  @BChad50 Sep 12th, 2022
The Cincinnati Reds aren't a team we look to stack often, but they're in a great spot against Bryse Wilson and the Pirates. Which other offenses stand out?

Stacks are an integral part of daily fantasy baseball. They can push a team to the top of a GPP by driving upside. However, they're also viable in cash games, namely smaller (two-person or three-person) stacks that mitigate the volatility of a full four-person stack.

This article is your home throughout the 2022 Major League Baseball season for the day's top stacks. The primary goal is to identify the highest-scoring upside stack. Still, game theory will play a role in contrarian stacks making the cut as GPP options. Nevertheless, chalky stacks will make appearances in this space, too.

Beyond my analysis in this space, I strongly suggest numberFire premium members using our DFS Sharpstack tool and hitting heat map tool. The DFS Sharpstack helps plug stacks into optimized lineups, allowing you to change parameters and lock or exclude players and teams. Meanwhile, the heat map offers a one-stop-shop for the opposing starting pitcher, implied total, park factor, and other notable goodies.

Now, let's look at the top stacks on today's main slate that starts on FanDuel at 6:40 pm ET.

Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds aren't offensive juggernauts, but they might be able to fake it tonight.

First, according to FantasyPros, Great American Ball Park has the highest park factor for homers (1.352) and the third-highest mark for runs (1.162). Second, they have a drool-inducing matchup.

Bryse Wilson has been destroyed for a 6.11 ERA, 5.77 Expected ERA (xERA), 4.50 xFIP, 4.53 SIERA,1.49 WHIP, and 1.73 homers per nine innings in 88 1/3 innings this season. He's also been terrible against all hitters. Righties have had a .332 wOBA against Wilson in 2022, and lefties have teed off for a .596 slugging and .415 wOBA.

Additionally, the Pittsburgh Pirates have also had a disastrous bullpen, as Pittsburgh's relievers have the fourth-highest ERA (4.71) in 2022. So, the Reds have an ideal matchup from the first pitch to the final out.

My two favorite options from the Reds are outfielders TJ Friedl ($3,000) and Jake Fraley ($2,700). Fraley is an especially exciting option. Since last year, he's had a .371 OBP, .235 ISO, and 136 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Ryne Nelson had a promising debut last week. Still, he had a 5.43 ERA and 5.54 xFIP with 1.65 homers per nine innings in 136 innings in Triple-A this season. The odds are good that the Los Angeles Dodgers will torch him tonight.

The Arizona Diamondbacks' relievers are unlikely to stop the bleeding, as well. Arizona's relievers have the fifth-highest ERA (4.56) this season.

And, of course, the Dodgers are an offensive powerhouse. Since last year, seven of their projected starters have had at least a 116 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. Further, six have had at least a 121 wRC+.

As a result, the Dodgers are genuinely stackable from top to bottom. Will Smith ($3,000) and Max Muncy ($3,300) are two of my favorite selections. Smith has had a .238 ISO and 135 wRC+ against righties, and Muncy's had a .235 ISO and 121 wRC+ since 2021.

Houston Astros

The Houston Astros are an exciting stack against underwhelming Eduardo Rodriguez. In a dozen starts totaling 61 innings, E-Rod has had a 4.13 ERA, 4.54 xERA, 4.65 xFIP, and 4.69 SIERA.

Additionally, Rodriguez hasn't been missing bats. E-Rod's 6.0 percent swinging-strike rate has been markedly lower than the league average of 11.1 percent in 2022. His inability to avoid lumber will likely bite him in the butt tonight.

Houston's lineup is loaded with lefty-killers. In fact, seven of their projected starters have had at least a 115 wRC+ since 2019 (or since debuting after 2019). So, the Astros are legitimately stackable from top to bottom like the Dodgers.

Jose Altuve ($3,900) and Alex Bregman ($3,300) are standout choices. Since 2019, Altuve's had a 147 wRC+ against southpaws, and Bregman's been better with a 151 wRC+. Gamers should also consider digging in the lineup with hitters like Trey Mancini ($2,400) and Chas McCormick ($2,200).

Joshua Shepardson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Joshua Shepardson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username bchad50. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.