3 Daily Fantasy Baseball Stacks for Monday 10/3/22
Stacks are an integral part of daily fantasy baseball. They can push a team to the top of a GPP by driving upside. However, they're also viable in cash games, namely smaller (two-person or three-person) stacks that mitigate the volatility of a full four-person stack.
This article is your home throughout the 2022 Major League Baseball season for the day's top stacks. The primary goal is to identify the highest-scoring upside stack. Still, game theory will play a role in contrarian stacks making the cut as GPP options. Nevertheless, chalky stacks will make appearances in this space, too.
Beyond my analysis in this space, I strongly suggest numberFire premium members using our DFS Sharpstack tool and hitting heat map tool. The DFS Sharpstack helps plug stacks into optimized lineups, allowing you to change parameters and lock or exclude players and teams. Meanwhile, the heat map offers a one-stop-shop for the opposing starting pitcher, implied total, park factor, and other notable goodies.
Now, let's look at the top stacks on today's main slate.
Baltimore Orioles
The Baltimore Orioles can erupt tonight against one of this year's worst pitchers.
According to FanGraphs, Jose Berrios's 5.37 ERA is the highest among qualified pitchers in 2022. In addition, he's had the second-highest Expected ERA (5.22 xERA).
Berrios has also been a punching bag for all hitters. First, righties have had a .327 wOBA against Berrios this year. Second, lefties have been even better, destroying Berrios for a .530 slugging and .381 wOBA. He's also been a disaster down the stretch. In his last 10 starts spanning 51 and 2/3 innings, Berrios has had a 6.27 ERA.
Thus, the O's have a great opportunity to flex their muscles tonight. Cedric Mullins ($3,700), Adley Rutschman ($3,000), Anthony Santander ($3,500), and Gunnar Henderson ($2,800) are my favorite four-person stack. All four hitters have the platoon advantage against Berrios. Rutschman is my favorite from the group, owning a .381 OBP, .226 ISO, and 153 wRC+ against righties in his rookie season.
Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays will get an offensive lift from the hitter-friendly park factors at Fenway Park tonight, but they'll also get a lift from facing Rich Hill.
The 42-year-old lefty has been humbled by his home digs this season. In 52 innings at home, Hill has had a 5.19 ERA and allowed a .347 wOBA.
The Rays should also enjoy a matchup with a lousy bullpen. The Boston Red Sox have the fifth-highest bullpen ERA (4.64) this season. Thus, the Rays can pile up runs throughout the entire game. Fortunately, they have the hitters to do damage.
Seven hitters projected to start for the Rays tonight have had at least a 111 wRC+ against lefties since 2019 or since debuting for players who reached the majors after 2019. Randy Arozarena ($3,600) is my favorite pick from this stack. The toolsy outfielder has crushed lefties for a .389 OBP, .260 ISO, and 168 wRC+ since 2019.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers should eat tonight. Jose Urena is a cupcake for them to feast on. The veteran righty has a 5.24 ERA and 4.91 xERA this year. Further, Urena hasn't had an ERA under 5.21 in the majors since 2018.
So, he's been the gift that keeps giving for opposing offenses for the last four seasons. Lefties have done the most damage against Urena. The right-handed hurler has allowed a .390 wOBA to lefties this season. Additionally, the Dodgers should tee off on the Colorado Rockies' bullpen. They've had the highest ERA (4.87) this season.
LA's loaded lineup is stackable from top to bottom, like usual. However, Max Muncy ($2,800) is my favorite pick. In 211 plate appearances since August 1, Muncy has hit 12 homers with a .370 OBP, .271 ISO, and 153 wRC+. Cody Bellinger ($2,700) is also a nifty pick. In 174 plate appearances against righties at home this year, Bellinger has clubbed 10 homers with a .274 ISO and 130 wRC+.
Joshua Shepardson is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Joshua Shepardson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username bchad50. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.
