MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Monday 10/3/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | Jose Urena | 8.0 | 5.09 | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| NYM | Cory Abbott | 7.5 | 4.64 | 32.1% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| SD | John Brebbia | 7.5 | 4.51 | 29.9% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| MIL | Tommy Henry | 7.5 | 4.40 | 28.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| TB | Rich Hill | 8.0 | 4.22 | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| TOR | Dean Kremer | 8.0 | 4.22 | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| SEA | Bryan Garcia | 7.0 | 4.15 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| NYY | Martin Perez | 7.5 | 4.06 | 22.4% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| CLE | Zack Greinke | 7.0 | 3.93 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| LAA | Adrian Martinez | 7.0 | 3.92 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| HOU | Aaron Nola | 7.5 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| CIN | Hayden Wesneski | 7.5 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| BAL | Jose Berrios | 8.0 | 3.78 | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BOS | Tyler Glasnow | 8.0 | 3.78 | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| ATL | Jesus Luzardo | 7.0 | 3.76 | 17.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| CHW | Bailey Ober | 7.0 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| CHC | Hunter Greene | 7.5 | 3.61 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| PHI | Lance McCullers | 7.5 | 3.59 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| TEX | Luis Severino | 7.5 | 3.44 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| MIN | Johnny Cueto | 7.0 | 3.37 | 12.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| MIA | Bryce Elder | 7.0 | 3.24 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| ARI | Brandon Woodruff | 7.5 | 3.10 | 9.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Patrick Sandoval | 7.0 | 3.08 | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| KC | Triston McKenzie | 7.0 | 3.07 | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| SF | Joe Musgrove | 7.5 | 2.99 | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| COL | Tony Gonsolin | 8.0 | 2.91 | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| WSH | Carlos Carrasco | 7.5 | 2.86 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| DET | George Kirby | 7.0 | 2.85 | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Woodruff | ARI | 8.3 | 96.5% | 91.5% | 83.2% | 71.8% | 58.4% | 44.5% | 31.7% |
| Aaron Nola | HOU | 7.1 | 92.1% | 83.2% | 70.7% | 55.9% | 41.0% | 27.9% | 17.6% |
| Lance McCullers | PHI | 6.6 | 89.2% | 78.2% | 63.8% | 48.1% | 33.5% | 21.4% | 12.7% |
| Triston McKenzie | KC | 6.3 | 87.7% | 75.8% | 60.7% | 44.8% | 30.4% | 19.0% | 10.9% |
| Jesus Luzardo | ATL | 6.1 | 86.0% | 73.2% | 57.5% | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.6% | 9.3% |
| Joe Musgrove | SF | 6.1 | 85.7% | 72.8% | 57.0% | 41.0% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Hunter Greene | CHC | 5.9 | 84.1% | 70.3% | 54.0% | 37.9% | 24.4% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
| Carlos Carrasco | WSH | 5.8 | 82.7% | 68.3% | 51.7% | 35.7% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Tony Gonsolin | COL | 5.8 | 82.7% | 68.3% | 51.7% | 35.7% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| Patrick Sandoval | OAK | 5.6 | 80.7% | 65.5% | 48.5% | 32.7% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Martin Perez | NYY | 5.5 | 79.7% | 64.1% | 46.9% | 31.2% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Bryce Elder | MIA | 5.4 | 78.7% | 62.7% | 45.4% | 29.8% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| George Kirby | DET | 5.4 | 78.2% | 62.0% | 44.7% | 29.2% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Luis Severino | TEX | 5.3 | 77.5% | 61.0% | 43.7% | 28.3% | 16.7% | 8.9% | 4.4% |
| Hayden Wesneski | CIN | 5.0 | 73.5% | 56.0% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Glasnow | BOS | 4.9 | 71.6% | 53.6% | 36.1% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Johnny Cueto | MIN | 4.9 | 71.5% | 53.5% | 35.9% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Jose Berrios | BAL | 4.8 | 70.6% | 52.4% | 34.9% | 20.9% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Miles Mikolas | PIT | 4.7 | 68.2% | 49.6% | 32.3% | 18.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Rich Hill | TB | 4.5 | 65.3% | 46.2% | 29.2% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Bailey Ober | CHW | 4.4 | 63.7% | 44.5% | 27.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Mitch Keller | STL | 4.2 | 59.9% | 40.4% | 24.2% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Dean Kremer | TOR | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Henry | MIL | 3.9 | 55.3% | 35.7% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Martinez | LAA | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jose Urena | LAD | 3.6 | 49.3% | 30.1% | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cory Abbott | NYM | 3.4 | 44.8% | 26.1% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bryan Garcia | SEA | 3.2 | 39.3% | 21.6% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zack Greinke | CLE | 3.2 | 38.9% | 21.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Brebbia | SD | 0.7 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | LAA | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 27.2% | +270 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | Yes | 103 | Tommy Henry | 26.6% | +275 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Cory Abbott | 26.4% | +280 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | Yes | 103 | Tommy Henry | 25.8% | +290 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 25.0% | +300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 24.1% | +315 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 23.7% | +325 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 23.2% | +330 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 23.1% | +330 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 23.1% | +330 |
| Corey Seager | TEX | Yes | 101 | Luis Severino | 22.9% | +335 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Cory Abbott | 22.9% | +335 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 22.4% | +345 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | Yes | 102 | Aaron Nola | 22.0% | +355 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | Yes | 93 | Tyler Glasnow | 21.1% | +375 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 96 | Bryan Garcia | 21.1% | +375 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Cory Abbott | 20.9% | +375 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 20.9% | +380 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Hayden Wesneski | 20.8% | +380 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Zack Greinke | 20.6% | +385 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 20.4% | +390 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 20.2% | +395 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 20.2% | +395 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | No | 101 | Tommy Henry | 20.1% | +395 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 20.0% | +400 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Bailey Ober | 19.9% | +400 |
| TJ Friedl | CIN | Yes | 113 | Hayden Wesneski | 19.6% | +410 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 19.5% | +415 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Nola | 19.4% | +415 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 19.4% | +415 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 19.1% | +425 |
| Jason Vosler | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 18.8% | +430 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 18.8% | +430 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 18.7% | +435 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | No | 101 | Martin Perez | 18.7% | +435 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Luis Severino | 18.6% | +440 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 18.6% | +440 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 18.5% | +440 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Berrios | 18.5% | +440 |
| Dan Vogelbach | NYM | Yes | 95 | Cory Abbott | 18.3% | +445 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 18.1% | +450 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | Yes | 93 | Tyler Glasnow | 18.0% | +455 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Luis Severino | 17.9% | +455 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Jose Urena | 17.8% | +460 |
| C.J. Cron | COL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 17.8% | +460 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 17.8% | +460 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 17.7% | +465 |
| Ian Happ | CHC | Yes | 113 | Hunter Greene | 17.6% | +470 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Luis Severino | 17.4% | +475 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 17.4% | +475 |
| Ty France | SEA | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 17.4% | +475 |
| Chris Taylor | LAD | No | 107 | Jose Urena | 17.2% | +480 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | No | 101 | Tommy Henry | 17.2% | +480 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 17.0% | +485 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 17.0% | +490 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 17.0% | +490 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Bailey Ober | 16.7% | +500 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 16.6% | +500 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Bailey Ober | 16.4% | +510 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Bailey Ober | 16.4% | +510 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 16.2% | +520 |
| Javier Baez | DET | No | 99 | George Kirby | 16.2% | +520 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 16.0% | +525 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 15.8% | +530 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 15.8% | +530 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 15.8% | +530 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Berrios | 15.8% | +535 |
| Isaac Paredes | TB | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 15.7% | +535 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | Yes | 102 | Jose Urena | 15.6% | +545 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | Yes | 103 | Tommy Henry | 15.5% | +545 |
| Tyrone Taylor | MIL | Yes | 103 | Tommy Henry | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Luis Severino | 15.4% | +550 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | No | 107 | Jose Urena | 15.2% | +560 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 15.2% | +560 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 15.1% | +565 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 103 | Triston McKenzie | 15.0% | +565 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | No | 99 | Bryan Garcia | 14.9% | +570 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 14.9% | +570 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | Yes | 102 | Aaron Nola | 14.9% | +570 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | John Brebbia | 14.7% | +580 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 14.5% | +590 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 14.5% | +590 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | John Brebbia | 14.5% | +590 |
| Will Smith | LAD | No | 107 | Jose Urena | 14.5% | +590 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 14.4% | +595 |
| Kyle Stowers | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 14.4% | +595 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 14.3% | +600 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | No | 99 | Tyler Glasnow | 14.2% | +600 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 14.2% | +600 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 14.2% | +605 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | Yes | 102 | Jose Urena | 14.2% | +605 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | Yes | 103 | Tommy Henry | 14.1% | +610 |
| Pavin Smith | ARI | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 14.1% | +610 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 14.0% | +615 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 13.9% | +620 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | No | 107 | Jose Urena | 13.8% | +625 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 13.7% | +630 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 13.6% | +635 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 13.5% | +645 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | No | 111 | Hunter Greene | 13.5% | +645 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 13.4% | +645 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 13.2% | +655 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 13.2% | +660 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | No | 101 | Lance McCullers | 13.1% | +660 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Nola | 13.1% | +660 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | No | 95 | Luis Severino | 13.1% | +665 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Bailey Ober | 12.9% | +675 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Bailey Ober | 12.9% | +675 |
| Jose Miranda | MIN | No | 106 | Johnny Cueto | 12.9% | +675 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 12.9% | +675 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Jose Berrios | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | Yes | 96 | Bryan Garcia | 12.8% | +680 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | No | 92 | Jesus Luzardo | 12.8% | +680 |
| Conner Capel | OAK | No | 92 | Patrick Sandoval | 12.8% | +680 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Jose Berrios | 12.8% | +680 |
| Alex Call | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 12.8% | +680 |
| Ryan McMahon | COL | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 12.8% | +685 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 92 | Mitch Keller | 12.8% | +685 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | John Brebbia | 12.7% | +685 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 12.6% | +695 |
| Marcell Ozuna | ATL | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 12.6% | +695 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | Yes | 94 | Patrick Sandoval | 12.4% | +710 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | No | 99 | Tyler Glasnow | 12.2% | +720 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 12.2% | +725 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 12.0% | +730 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 95 | Mitch Keller | 12.0% | +730 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 112 | Dean Kremer | 12.0% | +735 |
| Sergio Alcantara | ARI | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 11.9% | +735 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Nola | 11.7% | +755 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | Yes | 94 | Patrick Sandoval | 11.6% | +760 |
| Dermis Garcia | OAK | Yes | 94 | Patrick Sandoval | 11.6% | +760 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 11.5% | +765 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Zack Greinke | 11.5% | +770 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Bailey Ober | 11.4% | +775 |
| Francisco Mejia | TB | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 11.4% | +775 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 98 | Cory Abbott | 11.4% | +775 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 11.3% | +785 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 11.2% | +795 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | John Brebbia | 11.2% | +795 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | No | 92 | Jesus Luzardo | 11.1% | +800 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Hayden Wesneski | 11.1% | +800 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 11.0% | +805 |
| Livan Soto | LAA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 11.0% | +810 |
| Sean Bouchard | COL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 10.8% | +830 |
| Jose Siri | TB | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 10.7% | +840 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | No | 90 | Bryce Elder | 10.6% | +845 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | Yes | 102 | Jose Urena | 10.5% | +850 |
| Mark Contreras | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 10.5% | +850 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 103 | Brandon Woodruff | 10.4% | +860 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 10.3% | +870 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Nola | 10.2% | +880 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Nola | 10.2% | +880 |
| Tommy Pham | BOS | No | 99 | Tyler Glasnow | 10.0% | +895 |
| Jesse Winker | SEA | Yes | 96 | Bryan Garcia | 10.0% | +900 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Zack Greinke | 9.8% | +915 |
| Wil Myers | SD | No | 96 | John Brebbia | 9.8% | +925 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | Yes | 102 | Lance McCullers | 9.7% | +925 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 101 | Brandon Woodruff | 9.7% | +935 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 9.7% | +935 |
| Matt Wallner | MIN | Yes | 111 | Johnny Cueto | 9.7% | +935 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | No | 94 | Adrian Martinez | 9.6% | +945 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 111 | Hayden Wesneski | 9.5% | +960 |
| Chad Pinder | OAK | Yes | 94 | Patrick Sandoval | 9.4% | +960 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | No | 98 | Carlos Carrasco | 9.2% | +985 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | Yes | 95 | Miles Mikolas | 9.1% | +995 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 9.1% | +1005 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 96 | Joe Musgrove | 9.0% | +1005 |
| Mike Toglia | COL | Yes | 102 | Tony Gonsolin | 8.9% | +1020 |
| Matt Thaiss | LAA | Yes | 92 | Adrian Martinez | 8.9% | +1025 |
| David Peralta | TB | No | 93 | Rich Hill | 8.9% | +1030 |
| Amed Rosario | CLE | No | 99 | Zack Greinke | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | No | 90 | Bryce Elder | 8.5% | +1070 |
| Riley Greene | DET | Yes | 96 | George Kirby | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Jurickson Profar | SD | Yes | 95 | John Brebbia | 8.4% | +1090 |
| Brendan Rodgers | COL | No | 107 | Tony Gonsolin | 8.3% | +1100 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | No | 92 | Patrick Sandoval | 8.2% | +1125 |
| JJ Bleday | MIA | Yes | 92 | Bryce Elder | 8.1% | +1125 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | Yes | 95 | Martin Perez | 7.9% | +1160 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | No | 101 | Aaron Nola | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Edward Olivares | KC | No | 99 | Triston McKenzie | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | WSH | Yes | 95 | Carlos Carrasco | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Ford Proctor | SF | Yes | 95 | Joe Musgrove | 7.6% | +1210 |
| Robbie Grossman | ATL | Yes | 90 | Jesus Luzardo | 7.5% | +1225 |
| Jose Azocar | SD | No | 96 | John Brebbia | 7.5% | +1230 |
| Wander Franco | TB | Yes | 99 | Rich Hill | 7.4% | +1255 |
| Gavin Lux | LAD | Yes | 102 | Jose Urena | 7.3% | +1270 |
