MLB

MLB Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 10/5/22

Thomas Vecchio  —  @Tom_Vecchio1 Oct 5th, 2022

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy baseball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing our projections as a guide and looking at the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are some spots where you can find value today in the prop-betting market.

Here are some MLB player prop bets to make tonight.

Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Yordan Alvarez To Record an RBI (+150)

The Houston Astros end the regular season with a favorable matchup for some offense.

They come in with a 4.24 implied run total and are at home to take on Bailey Falter. This should put several Astros' hitters in a great spot since Falter is struggling against both lefties and righties this season.

Against left-handed hitters, Falter has allowed a .412 SLG, 1.47 HR/9, and a 45.1% fly-ball rate. That puts him at risk when he faces some power hitters, and it gives plenty of potential to cash in on some offensive props.

We turn to Yordan Alvarez, who is rocking a 181 wRC+, .421 wOBA, .270 ISO, 37.3% fly-ball rate, and 41.3% hard-contact rate versus left-handed pitchers this season. He's an elite hitter and has a great matchup to end the season on a high note.

Domingo German Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-128)

Domingo German has a favorable matchup for his strikeout prop today.

The New York Yankees are on the road to take on the Texas Rangers, presenting a solid matchup for German. The Rangers come in with 24.4% strikeout rate versus right-handed pitchers, which is the fifth-worst in the league.

Things have gotten worse for the Rangers to close out the season. Over the last 30 days, they have a 29.4% strikeout rate in this split, which is last in the league. In the last 14 days, they have a 28.7% strikeout rate, which is also last in the league in this split.

When it comes to German, he's been over the 4.5 mark in three of his last five starts, while logging a 24.0% strikeout rate or higher in four of those five outings. As long as German can keep the walks under control, he should be able to get deep enough into the game to cash this prop.