MLB Betting: Home Run, Strikeout, and Run Total Projections for Wednesday 10/5/22
Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and MLB betting opportunities at MLB odds.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | Implied Total |
5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | Graham Ashcraft | 8.5 | 4.41 | 28.2% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| HOU | Bailey Falter | 7.5 | 4.24 | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| CLE | Jon Heasley | 7.5 | 4.21 | 24.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| CIN | Adrian Sampson | 8.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| SEA | Tyler Alexander | 7.5 | 4.09 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| BOS | Josh Fleming | 8.0 | 4.08 | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| TB | Nick Pivetta | 8.0 | 3.92 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| MIL | Merrill Kelly | 7.0 | 3.89 | 19.8% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| CHW | Louie Varland | 7.5 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| NYY | Glenn Otto | 7.5 | 3.84 | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| LAA | Ken Waldichuk | 6.5 | 3.81 | 18.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| BAL | Mitch White | 7.0 | 3.70 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| TEX | Domingo German | 7.5 | 3.66 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| MIN | Davis Martin | 7.5 | 3.63 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| DET | Marco Gonzales | 7.5 | 3.41 | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| TOR | Spenser Watkins | 7.0 | 3.30 | 11.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| KC | Aaron Civale | 7.5 | 3.29 | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| PHI | Framber Valdez | 7.5 | 3.26 | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| ARI | Corbin Burnes | 7.0 | 3.11 | 9.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| OAK | Shohei Ohtani | 6.5 | 2.69 | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| ATL | Elieser Hernandez | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| BAL | Alek Manoah | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| COL | Clayton Kershaw | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MIA | Max Fried | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LAD | Chad Kuhl | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| NYM | Erick Fedde | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| PIT | Matthew Liberatore | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SD | Luis Ortiz | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SF | Mike Clevinger | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| STL | Johan Oviedo | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TOR | Mike Baumann | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| WSH | Trevor Williams | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | K Proj |
3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | ARI | 8.3 | 96.5% | 91.5% | 83.2% | 71.8% | 58.4% | 44.5% | 31.7% |
| Shohei Ohtani | OAK | 7.1 | 92.5% | 83.9% | 71.6% | 56.9% | 42.1% | 28.8% | 18.3% |
| Framber Valdez | PHI | 6.7 | 90.1% | 79.7% | 65.8% | 50.3% | 35.5% | 23.1% | 14.0% |
| Clayton Kershaw | COL | 6.0 | 84.9% | 71.5% | 55.4% | 39.4% | 25.6% | 15.3% | 8.4% |
| Max Fried | MIA | 5.4 | 78.2% | 62.0% | 44.7% | 29.2% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Merrill Kelly | MIL | 5.4 | 78.1% | 61.9% | 44.5% | 29.1% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Nick Pivetta | TB | 5.1 | 74.7% | 57.5% | 40.0% | 25.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Trevor Williams | WSH | 5.0 | 73.6% | 56.1% | 38.6% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Johan Oviedo | STL | 4.8 | 70.7% | 52.6% | 35.1% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Davis Martin | MIN | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Aaron Civale | KC | 4.4 | 64.6% | 45.5% | 28.5% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Richards | BAL | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Bailey Falter | HOU | 4.4 | 64.4% | 45.3% | 28.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Domingo German | TEX | 4.3 | 62.6% | 43.3% | 26.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Marco Gonzales | DET | 4.3 | 62.3% | 43.0% | 26.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Glenn Otto | NYY | 4.3 | 61.6% | 42.2% | 25.7% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ken Waldichuk | LAA | 4.3 | 61.4% | 42.0% | 25.5% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Mike Clevinger | SF | 4.2 | 61.2% | 41.8% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Elieser Hernandez | ATL | 4.1 | 59.0% | 39.5% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Josh Fleming | BOS | 4.1 | 59.0% | 39.5% | 23.4% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Graham Ashcraft | CHC | 4.1 | 58.2% | 38.7% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Louie Varland | CHW | 4.0 | 55.9% | 36.3% | 20.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Austin Gomber | LAD | 3.9 | 54.1% | 34.6% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Liberatore | PIT | 3.8 | 53.5% | 34.0% | 19.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Yusei Kikuchi | BAL | 3.7 | 51.2% | 31.9% | 17.4% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jon Heasley | CLE | 3.5 | 46.6% | 27.6% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Adrian Sampson | CIN | 3.5 | 45.3% | 26.5% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Spenser Watkins | TOR | 3.4 | 43.3% | 24.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Erick Fedde | NYM | 3.4 | 43.1% | 24.7% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Alexander | SEA | 3.4 | 43.1% | 24.7% | 12.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mike Baumann | TOR | 2.8 | 30.4% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luis Ortiz | SD | 2.5 | 24.7% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all MLB game and prop odds at MLB odds.
Notes: The "Split Adv?" column refers to whether a batter is starting the game against a pitcher of the opposite handedness. "Home Run PF" refers to home run park factor for the batter's handedness; data from FanGraphs. "xHR Odds" indicate what a player's home run odds should be given the home run probability; this helps seek value.
| Batter | Team | Split Adv? |
HR PF |
Opp SP |
HR Prob% |
xHR Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | TOR | No | 112 | Spenser Watkins | 26.9% | +270 |
| Joc Pederson | SF | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 25.0% | +300 |
| Jose Altuve | HOU | Yes | 101 | Bailey Falter | 24.6% | +305 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 110 | Trevor Richards | 24.3% | +310 |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 24.3% | +310 |
| Pete Alonso | NYM | No | 98 | Erick Fedde | 23.9% | +320 |
| Patrick Wisdom | CHC | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 23.6% | +325 |
| Mookie Betts | LAD | Yes | 107 | Austin Gomber | 23.6% | +325 |
| Anthony Rizzo | NYY | Yes | 101 | Glenn Otto | 23.4% | +325 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 23.3% | +330 |
| Will Smith | LAD | Yes | 107 | Austin Gomber | 22.6% | +340 |
| Taylor Ward | LAA | Yes | 94 | Ken Waldichuk | 22.5% | +345 |
| Gavin Sheets | CHW | Yes | 111 | Louie Varland | 22.5% | +345 |
| Matt Chapman | TOR | No | 112 | Spenser Watkins | 22.3% | +350 |
| Yoan Moncada | CHW | Yes | 111 | Louie Varland | 22.0% | +355 |
| Bryan Reynolds | PIT | Yes | 92 | Matthew Liberatore | 21.7% | +360 |
| Jake Fraley | CIN | Yes | 113 | Adrian Sampson | 21.7% | +360 |
| Eloy Jimenez | CHW | No | 106 | Louie Varland | 21.4% | +365 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | No | 112 | Spenser Watkins | 21.2% | +370 |
| Dansby Swanson | ATL | No | 90 | Elieser Hernandez | 20.8% | +380 |
| George Springer | TOR | No | 112 | Spenser Watkins | 20.7% | +385 |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAA | No | 92 | Ken Waldichuk | 20.5% | +390 |
| Eugenio Suarez | SEA | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 20.4% | +390 |
| Danny Jansen | TOR | No | 112 | Mike Baumann | 20.1% | +395 |
| Anthony Santander | BAL | Yes | 112 | Yusei Kikuchi | 19.9% | +400 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | Yes | 112 | Yusei Kikuchi | 19.9% | +400 |
| Elvis Andrus | CHW | No | 106 | Louie Varland | 19.8% | +405 |
| Jose Ramirez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Jon Heasley | 19.8% | +405 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | BAL | No | 112 | Trevor Richards | 19.5% | +410 |
| Christopher Morel | CHC | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 19.4% | +415 |
| Mitch Haniger | SEA | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 19.3% | +420 |
| Eduardo Escobar | NYM | Yes | 95 | Erick Fedde | 19.1% | +425 |
| Joey Gallo | LAD | No | 102 | Austin Gomber | 19.0% | +425 |
| Hunter Renfroe | MIL | No | 103 | Merrill Kelly | 18.9% | +430 |
| Gleyber Torres | NYY | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 18.8% | +430 |
| Adolis Garcia | TEX | No | 95 | Domingo German | 18.8% | +430 |
| J.D. Davis | SF | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 18.4% | +445 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 18.3% | +445 |
| Michael Harris II | ATL | Yes | 92 | Elieser Hernandez | 18.1% | +450 |
| Rowdy Tellez | MIL | Yes | 101 | Merrill Kelly | 17.8% | +460 |
| Max Muncy | LAD | No | 102 | Austin Gomber | 17.6% | +470 |
| Gary Sanchez | MIN | No | 106 | Davis Martin | 17.6% | +470 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | SF | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 17.5% | +470 |
| Aaron Judge | NYY | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 17.2% | +480 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | Yes | 110 | Trevor Richards | 17.1% | +485 |
| Matt Olson | ATL | Yes | 92 | Elieser Hernandez | 17.1% | +485 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | No | 102 | Bailey Falter | 17.1% | +485 |
| Austin Riley | ATL | No | 90 | Elieser Hernandez | 17.0% | +490 |
| William Contreras | ATL | No | 90 | Elieser Hernandez | 17.0% | +490 |
| Francisco Lindor | NYM | Yes | 95 | Erick Fedde | 17.0% | +490 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | NYY | Yes | 101 | Glenn Otto | 16.6% | +500 |
| Alex Bregman | HOU | Yes | 101 | Bailey Falter | 16.6% | +505 |
| Lane Thomas | WSH | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 16.5% | +505 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 110 | Trevor Richards | 16.5% | +505 |
| Travis d'Arnaud | ATL | No | 90 | Elieser Hernandez | 16.5% | +505 |
| Andrew Vaughn | CHW | No | 106 | Louie Varland | 16.3% | +510 |
| Javier Baez | DET | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 16.3% | +515 |
| Franmil Reyes | CHC | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 16.3% | +515 |
| Seiya Suzuki | CHC | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 16.3% | +515 |
| Andres Gimenez | CLE | Yes | 103 | Jon Heasley | 16.3% | +515 |
| Bryce Harper | PHI | No | 102 | Framber Valdez | 16.1% | +520 |
| Kyle Tucker | HOU | No | 102 | Bailey Falter | 16.1% | +520 |
| Salvador Perez | KC | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 16.1% | +525 |
| Justin Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Austin Gomber | 16.0% | +525 |
| Rodolfo Castro | PIT | Yes | 92 | Matthew Liberatore | 16.0% | +525 |
| Ronald Acuna | ATL | No | 90 | Elieser Hernandez | 16.0% | +525 |
| Rhys Hoskins | PHI | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 15.9% | +525 |
| Jose Abreu | CHW | No | 106 | Louie Varland | 15.7% | +535 |
| Ty France | SEA | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 15.7% | +535 |
| MJ Melendez | KC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 15.6% | +540 |
| Freddie Freeman | LAD | No | 102 | Austin Gomber | 15.5% | +545 |
| Josh Donaldson | NYY | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 15.5% | +545 |
| Josh Jung | TEX | No | 95 | Domingo German | 15.5% | +545 |
| Randy Arozarena | TB | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 15.5% | +545 |
| Jonah Heim | TEX | Yes | 101 | Domingo German | 15.4% | +550 |
| Willy Adames | MIL | No | 103 | Merrill Kelly | 15.4% | +550 |
| Elias Diaz | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 15.3% | +550 |
| Elehuris Montero | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 15.3% | +550 |
| Jeremy Pena | HOU | Yes | 101 | Bailey Falter | 15.3% | +555 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 110 | Spenser Watkins | 15.1% | +560 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 110 | Trevor Richards | 15.1% | +560 |
| Hunter Dozier | KC | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 14.9% | +575 |
| Kole Calhoun | TEX | Yes | 101 | Domingo German | 14.8% | +575 |
| Pavin Smith | ARI | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 14.8% | +575 |
| Christian Walker | ARI | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 14.7% | +580 |
| Juan Soto | SD | Yes | 95 | Luis Ortiz | 14.6% | +585 |
| Trea Turner | LAD | Yes | 107 | Austin Gomber | 14.6% | +585 |
| Bo Bichette | TOR | No | 112 | Spenser Watkins | 14.4% | +595 |
| Jack Suwinski | PIT | No | 95 | Matthew Liberatore | 14.2% | +605 |
| Kolten Wong | MIL | Yes | 101 | Merrill Kelly | 14.1% | +610 |
| Jo Adell | LAA | Yes | 94 | Ken Waldichuk | 13.8% | +625 |
| Cavan Biggio | TOR | Yes | 110 | Mike Baumann | 13.7% | +630 |
| Carlos Santana | SEA | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 13.7% | +630 |
| J.D. Martinez | BOS | Yes | 99 | Josh Fleming | 13.7% | +630 |
| Sam Haggerty | SEA | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 13.7% | +630 |
| Cedric Mullins | BAL | Yes | 112 | Yusei Kikuchi | 13.7% | +630 |
| Austin Hays | BAL | No | 112 | Trevor Richards | 13.7% | +630 |
| Sean Murphy | OAK | No | 94 | Shohei Ohtani | 13.6% | +635 |
| Jason Vosler | SF | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 13.4% | +645 |
| Lars Nootbaar | STL | Yes | 95 | Johan Oviedo | 13.4% | +645 |
| Rafael Devers | BOS | No | 93 | Josh Fleming | 13.4% | +645 |
| Albert Pujols | STL | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 13.4% | +645 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | STL | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 13.4% | +645 |
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 13.3% | +655 |
| Trey Mancini | HOU | Yes | 101 | Bailey Falter | 13.3% | +655 |
| Orlando Arcia | ATL | No | 90 | Elieser Hernandez | 13.1% | +660 |
| Marcus Semien | TEX | No | 95 | Domingo German | 13.1% | +660 |
| Francisco Alvarez | NYM | No | 98 | Erick Fedde | 12.9% | +675 |
| Kyle Farmer | CIN | No | 111 | Adrian Sampson | 12.9% | +680 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | No | 102 | Framber Valdez | 12.8% | +680 |
| Thairo Estrada | SF | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 12.6% | +690 |
| Luis Rengifo | LAA | Yes | 94 | Ken Waldichuk | 12.5% | +700 |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | No | 110 | Yusei Kikuchi | 12.4% | +705 |
| Matt Wallner | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 12.4% | +710 |
| Luke Voit | WSH | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 12.2% | +720 |
| Joey Meneses | WSH | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 12.2% | +720 |
| Adley Rutschman | BAL | Yes | 112 | Yusei Kikuchi | 12.1% | +725 |
| Daulton Varsho | ARI | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 12.1% | +725 |
| Peyton Burdick | MIA | Yes | 90 | Max Fried | 12.0% | +730 |
| Wilmer Flores | SF | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 12.0% | +735 |
| Randal Grichuk | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 11.7% | +755 |
| Sean Bouchard | COL | Yes | 107 | Clayton Kershaw | 11.7% | +755 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | No | 99 | Aaron Civale | 11.7% | +760 |
| Cody Bellinger | LAD | No | 102 | Austin Gomber | 11.6% | +760 |
| Jeimer Candelario | DET | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 11.6% | +760 |
| Dylan Moore | SEA | Yes | 99 | Tyler Alexander | 11.6% | +760 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | No | 95 | Matthew Liberatore | 11.5% | +770 |
| Brandon Nimmo | NYM | Yes | 95 | Erick Fedde | 11.5% | +770 |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | Yes | 101 | Merrill Kelly | 11.4% | +780 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | TEX | Yes | 101 | Domingo German | 11.4% | +780 |
| Joey Bart | SF | No | 96 | Mike Clevinger | 11.3% | +780 |
| Seth Brown | OAK | Yes | 92 | Shohei Ohtani | 11.2% | +795 |
| Nick Castellanos | PHI | Yes | 101 | Framber Valdez | 11.1% | +800 |
| Yulieski Gurriel | HOU | Yes | 101 | Bailey Falter | 11.1% | +800 |
| Oscar Gonzalez | CLE | No | 99 | Jon Heasley | 11.0% | +810 |
| A.J. Pollock | CHW | No | 106 | Louie Varland | 10.9% | +815 |
| Carlos Correa | MIN | No | 106 | Davis Martin | 10.9% | +815 |
| Gio Urshela | MIN | No | 106 | Davis Martin | 10.9% | +815 |
| Xander Bogaerts | BOS | Yes | 99 | Josh Fleming | 10.9% | +820 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | KC | Yes | 103 | Aaron Civale | 10.9% | +820 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 10.7% | +835 |
| Carson Kelly | ARI | No | 103 | Corbin Burnes | 10.6% | +840 |
| Luis Urias | MIL | No | 103 | Merrill Kelly | 10.6% | +840 |
| P.J. Higgins | CHC | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 10.6% | +845 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | Yes | 112 | Yusei Kikuchi | 10.5% | +855 |
| Jarred Kelenic | SEA | No | 96 | Tyler Alexander | 10.5% | +855 |
| Martin Maldonado | HOU | Yes | 101 | Bailey Falter | 10.3% | +865 |
| Yandy Diaz | TB | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 10.3% | +875 |
| Jose Siri | TB | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 10.3% | +875 |
| Riley Adams | WSH | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 10.2% | +880 |
| Corey Dickerson | STL | Yes | 95 | Johan Oviedo | 10.1% | +890 |
| Jake McCarthy | ARI | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 9.9% | +905 |
| Garrett Mitchell | MIL | Yes | 101 | Merrill Kelly | 9.9% | +905 |
| Andrew McCutchen | MIL | No | 103 | Merrill Kelly | 9.9% | +910 |
| Jorge Mateo | BAL | No | 112 | Trevor Richards | 9.9% | +910 |
| Alejandro Kirk | TOR | No | 112 | Spenser Watkins | 9.9% | +910 |
| Conner Capel | OAK | Yes | 92 | Shohei Ohtani | 9.8% | +915 |
| Rougned Odor | BAL | No | 110 | Yusei Kikuchi | 9.8% | +920 |
| Nico Hoerner | CHC | No | 111 | Graham Ashcraft | 9.8% | +920 |
| Jonathan India | CIN | No | 111 | Adrian Sampson | 9.8% | +920 |
| Spencer Steer | CIN | No | 111 | Adrian Sampson | 9.8% | +920 |
| Brandon Marsh | PHI | No | 102 | Framber Valdez | 9.8% | +920 |
| Nolan Arenado | STL | No | 92 | Johan Oviedo | 9.6% | +940 |
| Christian Bethancourt | TB | No | 99 | Nick Pivetta | 9.6% | +945 |
| Brandon Crawford | SF | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 9.4% | +960 |
| Josh Harrison | CHW | No | 106 | Louie Varland | 9.4% | +960 |
| Spencer Torkelson | DET | Yes | 99 | Marco Gonzales | 9.4% | +965 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | MIA | Yes | 90 | Max Fried | 9.3% | +970 |
| Brandon Drury | SD | No | 96 | Luis Ortiz | 9.3% | +975 |
| Jake Cave | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 9.2% | +985 |
| Nick Gordon | MIN | Yes | 111 | Davis Martin | 9.2% | +985 |
| Terrin Vavra | BAL | Yes | 110 | Trevor Richards | 9.1% | +995 |
| Mark Canha | NYM | No | 98 | Erick Fedde | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Alex Call | WSH | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 8.8% | +1040 |
| Eddie Rosario | ATL | Yes | 92 | Elieser Hernandez | 8.5% | +1080 |
| Josh Rojas | ARI | Yes | 101 | Corbin Burnes | 8.4% | +1085 |
| Kurt Suzuki | LAA | Yes | 94 | Ken Waldichuk | 8.2% | +1115 |
| Luis Garcia | WSH | No | 98 | Trevor Williams | 8.0% | +1145 |
| Josh Bell | SD | Yes | 95 | Luis Ortiz | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Dylan Carlson | STL | Yes | 95 | Johan Oviedo | 8.0% | +1150 |
| Chas McCormick | HOU | Yes | 101 | Bailey Falter | 8.0% | +1155 |
| Manny Machado | SD | No | 96 | Luis Ortiz | 7.9% | +1165 |
| Jose Trevino | NYY | No | 95 | Glenn Otto | 7.8% | +1180 |
| Shea Langeliers | OAK | No | 94 | Shohei Ohtani | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Kyle Stowers | BAL | No | 110 | Yusei Kikuchi | 7.7% | +1190 |
| Jackie Bradley | TOR | Yes | 110 | Mike Baumann | 7.4% | +1245 |
| Austin Romine | CIN | No | 111 | Adrian Sampson | 7.4% | +1260 |
| Jeff McNeil | NYM | Yes | 95 | Erick Fedde | 7.3% | +1280 |
| Jake Cronenworth | SD | Yes | 95 | Luis Ortiz | 7.3% | +1280 |
| Ford Proctor | SF | Yes | 95 | Mike Clevinger | 7.3% | +1280 |
| Triston Casas | BOS | No | 93 | Josh Fleming | 7.2% | +1280 |
| Brian Anderson | MIA | Yes | 90 | Max Fried | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Nick Fortes | MIA | Yes | 90 | Max Fried | 7.2% | +1295 |
| Charles Leblanc | MIA | Yes | 90 | Max Fried | 7.2% | +1295 |
