MLB

4 Daily Fantasy Baseball Value Plays for 4/28/16

Jason Schandl  —  @JasonSchandl Apr 28th, 2016
Randal Grichuk has a low price tag and solid matchup tonight. Who else should you target for big time fantasy value?

Building daily fantasy baseball lineups can be intimidating. On any given slate, you have a massive number of options in front of you and a ton of factors to consider.

We're here to help take some of that burden off and break down some hitters who you can slot into your lineup for nice and cheap, while still being well-positioned to provide your lineup with solid fantasy production.

Let's take a look at where we can find value on today's night slate.

Matt Wieters, C, Baltimore Orioles

FanDuel Price: $2,400

Matt Wieters is a switch-hitter that does his best work hitting as a righty, and he sports a career .354 wOBA and .205 ISO with a 36.1 percent hard-hit rate against left-handed pitchers.

He's up against a lefty tonight in John Danks who hasn't had a ton of success against right-handed hitters through his career, allowing a .330 wOBA with a 4.28 xFIP.

Wieters hasn't been producing well to start the season, leading to a really low salary, but his career numbers are encouraging, as is the 38.7 percent hard-hit rate he's posted to start 2016.

Freddie Freeman, 1B, Atlanta Braves

FanDuel Price: $2,700

There's not a single Atlanta Braves' hitter that's not having a slow start to the season. The team is tied for last in the Majors with 69 runs, and they've managed an impressively low four home runs.

One of the few bats showing any sort of pop has been Freddie Freeman, who has two home runs on the year and is second on the team in ISO.

Freeman's career numbers from the plate are cause for some optimism that he'll be able to pick things up as the season goes, and his .378 wOBA and .200 ISO against right-handed pitchers are both very encouraging.

His .292 BABIP to open the season is significantly lower than his career mark of .335, his 8.0 percent home run to fly ball ratio is much lower than his 14.1 percent career average, and yet he's still been making fairly solid contact, with a 32.0 percent hard-hit rate. Things should turn around for Freeman, and $2,700 is a nice discount price tonight while he's up against a right-handed pitcher.

Matt Holliday, OF, St. Louis Cardinals

FanDuel Price: $3,000

Putting it fairly simply, Rubby De La Rosa is just all-around below-average. He has a career 4.11 SIERA, an 18.8 percent strikeout rate and has allowed 1.30 home runs per nine. Today, he'll also be working against the very hitter-friendly Chase Field, making him someone you want to be picking on in daily fantasy.

The right-handed Matt Holliday has posted reverse platoon splits for most of his career, sporting a .389 wOBA and .217 ISO with a 16.2 strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers.

The Cardinals have a nice implied total of 4.60 tonight, and it's nice to get the low price tag while they have such a good matchup.

Randal Grichuk, OF, St. Louis Cardinals

FanDuel Price: $3,200

Randal Grichuk is another cheap way to get exposure to the well-positioned Cardinals offense (or to attack Rubby De La Rosa, whichever way you prefer to look at it).

Grichuk is also another guy with reverse splits through his relatively young career. He strikes out a lot against righties, but when he makes contact, he does damage, with a .365 wOBA, .252 ISO and 39.4 percent hard-hit rate.

It's easy to like the Cardinals tonight, and their bats feel under-priced in general. Grichuk has had a lot of success against righties over his career, and De La Rosa isn't likely to change that at all.