Daily Fantasy Basketball Game Scripts to Target on 1/6/17
Bradley Beal, SG, Washington Wizards
FanDuel Price: $7,000
Bradley Beal hasn't been slowed by his injury at all in his return, playing 35 minutes in both games and averaging 36.2 FanDuel points. He should play big minutes again tonight in what is expected to be a close game between the Washington Wizards and Minnesota Timberwolves.
This game is one of just three on the slate that doesn't have at least a six-point spread and one of five that doesn't have a double-digit spread, so you should feel more confident targeting players here, due to the lower risk of blowout.
The Wizards are listed as five-point home favorites and are projected for 108.3 points, which is 3.1 above their season average. As the table below displays, no Washington player has seen a bigger boost when playing in game script similar to this than Beal over the past two seasons.
The "In Split" displayed on the chart is games the Wizards played with over a 108.3-point implied team total while "Out of Split" displays all other games.
Beal has dealt with several unfortunate injuries over the past two years, which has led to inconsistent playing time and skews these splits. For a more accurate view, all the following numbers are representative of games he has played at least 30 minutes (he's averaging 36 minutes per game since Christmas), while also matching the criteria of the split.
| Player | In Split | Out of Split |
|---|---|---|
| John Wall | 43.3 | 42.3 |
| Bradley Beal | 33.9 | 26.5 |
| Otto Porter | 22.6 | 25.6 |
| Markieff Morris | 23.8 | 22.5 |
| Marcin Gortat | 30 | 29.6 |
Beal has also fared well as a home favorite during that time, averaging 33.7 FanDuel points. In home games in which Washington was projected for at least 108.3 points, he averaged 36.3 FanDuel points. If history is any indicator, Beal is in line for a big game given the positive game script.
