NBA

Daily Fantasy Basketball Game Scripts to Target on 1/27/17

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Paul George, SF, Indiana Pacers

FanDuel Price: $7,300

It's now been back-to-back games in which Paul George has thrived in a positive game script, as he has averaged 44.1 FanDuel points during this time. Given his splits this season, these performances should come as no surprise. He finds himself in yet another positive game script on Friday as the Indiana Pacers have an implied team total of 106.75 points against the Sacramento Kings, in a game with a healthy over/under of 209.5 points.

In games the Pacers have been projected for at least 106 points, George has averaged 38.9 FanDuel points.

The Kings have been middle-of-the-pack against small forwards this season, but they have been notorious for their struggles against wings over the past few years. With Rudy Gay out, they have been utilizing an undersized lineup featuring Arron Afflalo at the three, who in addition to being at a significant size disadvantage against George, is one of the worst defensive wings in the league.

His -2.10 defensive real plus-minus (DRPM) ranks 79th among 81 qualified small forwards, and LeBron James showed just how exploitable his defense is in their last game, posting a triple-double on his way to 57.1 FanDuel points.

In addition to a favorable matchup and game script, George's price hasn't yet caught up with his recent production. In fact, his price has dropped $400 since his most recent game, making him one of the best points-per-dollar options at small forward. Our projections agree with that assessment, listing him as the best value among small forwards priced over $4,000.