NBA Playoff Odds: If Not the Warriors, Then Who?
The NBA Playoffs tip off on Saturday with four games on the schedule, including the defending champion Golden State Warriors. But unlike last postseason, our models don't have the Dubs as the top dogs coming in. That title, in terms of Championship Odds, belongs to the Houston Rockets, with the Toronto Raptors sitting at number two.
The team with the worst chances of winning the NBA Finals? The recently-flailing, 8 seeded Washington Wizards of the Eastern Conference, at 0.80%.
You can see the probabilities for every playoff team in the chart below, which shows each team's odds to win their First Round matchup, as well as team odds of winning the whole thing. To see even more detailed numbers, included offensive and defensive efficiency for each team, see our Team Power Rankings page here.
| Team | First Round Odds | NBA Championship Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 75.10% | 23.40% |
| Toronto Raptors | 79.68% | 19.80% |
| Golden State Warriors | 63.90% | 14.60% |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 71.49% | 11.40% |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 65.82% | 7.20% |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 52.51% | 3.70% |
| San Antonio Spurs | 36.10% | 3.60% |
| Utah Jazz | 47.49% | 3.40% |
| Boston Celtics | 59.55% | 3.30% |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 52.79% | 1.90% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 24.90% | 1.80% |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 47.21% | 1.80% |
| Indiana Pacers | 28.51% | 1.10% |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 40.45% | 1.10% |
| Miami Heat | 34.18% | 1.10% |
| Washington Wizards | 20.32% | 0.80% |
