3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 12/2/19
Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash), to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
While you can use those odds in fantasy, you can also utilize our fantasy projections and a variety of other tools to help make money on betting everyday player props.
For the purposes of this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint three spots where value can be had on a player's stat line, scoring, or even shot type.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Trae Young, Over 29.5 Points
Trae Young has scored 29 or more points in his past five games, and he draws the slumping Golden State Warriors tonight at home. The Atlanta Hawks have lost 10 in a row, and the Warriors have lost 4 straight road games and 9 of their last 10 away from Oakland. Young is ranked fourth in points (28.4) and assists (8.4) while doing it all by himself for the Hawks. His player efficiency rating is 11th in the NBA at 24.57, and he averaged 28.9 points in November on 21.1 shot attempts, 9.3 three-point attempts and 7.9 free-throw attempts.
Our model projects Young to score 26.4 points tonight against the Warriors, hitting the under. But Young is averaging 28.0 points in eight home games, including 29 or more in four of his last five home games.
Zach LaVine, Over 22.5 Points
Zach LaVine is averaging 29.2 points over his last five games, and if you took his 49-point game against the Hornets away, he'd be averaging 24.2 points over the other four games. He's stepped his scoring up for the Bulls as their leading scorer and primary scoring option. LaVine has attempted 24 or more shots in three of his last five games and 25.9 points per game on the road (10 games) compared to 18.4 at home (10 games). All trends and directions point up for LaVine, and if he can get the Sacramento Kings in transition tonight and speed up the 29th-ranked team in pace, he should go for his third straight game of hitting the over.
Our model projects LaVine with 22.2 points on 7.8 field goals made, making this a nail-biter. Still, I like LaVine to keep the Bulls in this with his scoring ability on the road.
Kelly Oubre, Over 5.5 Rebounds
Kelly Oubre averages 6.8 rebounds in six road games this season, and over 5.5 has hit four of six times. In Oubre's four overs, he had at least seven rebounds or more in each game and posted two double-doubles, including 22 points and 10 rebounds in his last game against the Mavericks. The Hornets are last in the NBA with 41.3 total rebounds per game and 31.0 defensive rebounds per game. The Phoenix Suns aren't much better with 42.5 rebounds (26th) per game and 9.4 offensive rebounds (third-worst) per game. In his last five games, he's averaging 6.6 rebounds per game and has recorded 29 or more minutes in all but one game over his last eight.
Oubre is projected to grab 6.1 rebounds against the Hornets tonight, hitting the over for the second game in a row.
Vaughn Dalzell is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Vaughn Dalzell also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username vdalzell. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.
