NBA

NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Wednesday 4/20/22

Austan Kas  —  @AustanKas Apr 20th, 2022
Giannis Antetokounmpo ate on the glass in Game 1 versus the Bulls. Should you bet on him to gobble up a ton of boards again tonight?

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here we'll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are using the odds provided at NBA Finals odds to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Jaylen Brown Under 26.5 Points (-116)

A matchup with the Brooklyn Nets isn't the smash spot it was at various times throughout this season because Brooklyn tightened up defensively down the stretch.

Over the final six games of the regular season, the Nets ranked fifth in defensive rating. That included being stingy against two-guards. Over the final seven games, Brooklyn held shooting guards to just 21.3 points per night, the 11th-fewest.

In Game 1, Jaylen Brown dropped in 23 points. He's now gone for fewer than 27 points in four straight games. The 23-point effort was actually the most points he's scored against Brooklyn in five meetings with the Nets this season.

We project Brown to score 25.2 points in Game 2.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 13.5 Rebounds (-128)

Giannis Antetokounmpo went off in Game 1 against the Chicago Bulls, scoring 27 points with 16 boards. While Giannis is certainly capable of a repeat performance, I'm betting on his rebound total to come back to Earth a bit.

For the year, Antetokounmpo averaged just 11.6 rebounds. Prior to Game 1, he hadn't pulled down more than 13 rebounds in any of his previous four games.

While it's true that Giannis' production will likely go up a tick or two in the playoffs, he averaged only 12.8 boards per game in last year's playoffs, a number that led the way among all postseason participants but is still shy of this line.

And the Bulls aren't some pushover matchup on the glass, as they rated out right at the league average in rebound rate across the final 15 regular-season games.

Our model projects Antetokounmpo for 12.0 rebounds in Game 2.