NBA

3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Monday 11/14/22

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.

Here, we'll focus on utilizing daily fantasy basketball projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props. For this article, we are focusing on the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.

The prop-betting experience on FanDuel Sportsbook is getting even more fun. You can track your player props with real-time updates and place in-game props with ease.

Please note that betting lines and our daily fantasy basketball projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.

Terry Rozier Over 2.5 Made Threes (-136)

Terry Rozier is getting up a ton of threes, and he has a great matchup tonight to keep doing it.

Rozier has taken at least seven three-pointers in every game this year, and he's hoisted at least nine three-balls in five consecutive outings. Over his last three games, he's made four, three and five triples. He's making 35.7% of his threes, and he may be due for a little positive regression as DARKO has Rozier as an expected 37.6% shooter from deep.

He'll have a clear runway today versus the Orlando Magic. For the season, Orlando is permitting a 43.4% three-point attempt rate, the second-highest clip. They're giving up 10.6 three-point tries per game to shooting guards.

We have Rozier making 3.3 threes on 8.8 attempts on Monday. All the boxes are checked for this one. We just need to avoid an ice-cold shooting night.

Dejounte Murray Under 1.5 Made Threes (-106)

The Milwaukee Bucks have been by far the best defense in the league in the early part of the campaign. The Bucks' defensive rating is 103.8. The Phoenix Suns are second in defensive rating at a mark of 107.5.

One of Milwaukee's strengths is limiting three-point shots as they surrender a 36.0% three-point attempt rate, the sixth-lowest clip.

Dejounte Murray doesn't take many shots from deep. He's put up four, four and five threes over his last three games, and he's hit multiple treys just once in his past five games. He doesn't figure to get many clean looks from beyond the arc against the Bucks.

We project Murray to make 1.7 threes of 5.1 attempts. The under is the side I'll be on.

Ivica Zubac Under 11.5 Rebounds (-113)

Ivica Zubac has been a beast on the glass this season. He's snagging 11.2 boards per game and is getting a lot of opportunities -- 19.6 rebounds chances per night, the second-most.

But I like the under on his rebound prop tonight.

A matchup with the Houston Rockets is part of the reason. The Rockets are seventh in rebound rate (51.1%), and they are allowing the fifth-fewest rebounds per night to centers (12.2).

But Zubac is also due for some negative regression in the board department. Per DARKO, he is projected to total 17.2 rebounds per 100 possessions, but he's currently at 17.7 boards per 100 possessions. That's not a huge difference, but it's something.

Our model projects Zubac to finish with 10.2 rebounds today. With a -113 price on each side of this line, the under is the place to be.