NBA Daily Fantasy Helper: Friday 3/8/13
We know that people play all sorts of fantasy platforms, not just from from our friends at StarStreet but on other platforms such as DraftStreet, FanDuel, and Draft Kings as well. So once again, we're not only going to give you one, but four optimized rosters, all for you, the numberFire reader.
As you can see, there are some minor differences between the rosters. That has to do with two key components: the position restrictions on each site, and the different player pricing system on the sites as well. We've plugged this data into our player projection system, and we've come up with the best overall values for your Daily Fantasy team on each platform today.
As always, the full tables for today's action are available at our Daily Fantasy Projections page. Make sure to check it out to see where the best values are for your team.
StarStreet Optimized Roster
| Player | Position | Projected FP | Cost | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade | G | 37.38 | $14,000 | 2.67 |
| Tim Duncan | F | 38.63 | $13,500 | 2.86 |
| Dwight Howard | C | 36.75 | $13,500 | 2.72 |
| Paul Pierce | F | 33.48 | $12,600 | 2.66 |
| Al Jefferson | C | 35.75 | $12,300 | 2.91 |
| Carlos Boozer | F | 29.8 | $10,600 | 2.81 |
| Wesley Matthews | G | 24.4 | $8,300 | 2.94 |
| Ed Davis | F | 22.25 | $7,600 | 2.93 |
| Kevin Martin | G | 20.85 | $7,600 | 2.74 |
DraftStreet Optimized Roster
| Player | Position | Projected FP | Cost | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | F | 44 | $22,759 | 1.93 |
| Al Jefferson | C | 31.95 | $14,942 | 2.14 |
| DeMarcus Cousins | C | 29.5 | $13,901 | 2.12 |
| Jeremy Lin | G | 25.93 | $11,062 | 2.34 |
| Steve Nash | G | 24.2 | $10,589 | 2.29 |
| Jarrett Jack | G | 22.4 | $8,996 | 2.49 |
| Wesley Matthews | G | 21.4 | $8,889 | 2.41 |
| Metta World Peace | F | 20.08 | $8,374 | 2.40 |
Fan Duel Optimized Roster
| Player | Position | Projected FP | Cost | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | SF | 43.6 | $9,900 | 4.40 |
| Kevin Durant | SF | 42.4 | $9,900 | 4.28 |
| Tim Duncan | PF | 35.4 | $8,100 | 4.37 |
| Dwight Howard | C | 33.4 | $7,900 | 4.23 |
| Jameer Nelson | PG | 26.1 | $5,800 | 4.50 |
| Joe Johnson | SG | 24.4 | $5,500 | 4.44 |
| Steve Nash | PG | 22.3 | $5,100 | 4.37 |
| Kevin Martin | SG | 19.8 | $4,000 | 4.95 |
| Ed Davis | PF | 20.3 | $3,800 | 5.34 |
Draft Kings Optimized Roster
| Player | Position | Projected FP | Cost | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | SG/SF | 45.18 | $9,000 | 5.02 |
| Tim Duncan | PF/C | 41.9 | $8,100 | 5.17 |
| Dwight Howard | C | 40 | $7,300 | 5.48 |
| Jameer Nelson | PG | 33.05 | $5,900 | 5.60 |
| Jeremy Lin | PG | 31.28 | $5,400 | 5.79 |
| O.J. Mayo | SG | 30.4 | $5,200 | 5.85 |
| Vince Carter | SG/SF | 26.35 | $4,200 | 6.27 |
| Jarrett Jack | PG/SG | 27.3 | $4,100 | 6.66 |
The Best of the Best
LeBron James - 26 points against Orlando is nice, but with LeBron, we've come to expect more, as harsh as that is to say. Three assists and two rebounds didn't really make the grade. Against the Sixers, though, he has a good chance to put up the full range of stats. The Sixers are 24th in offensive rebound percentage, 12th in defensive rebound percentage, and opposing small forwards (who by the way, usually aren't LeBron) collect 7.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game against them this season.
Tim Duncan - We have a guy who just put up 18-10-5 against Joakim Noah's excellent defense, and he's facing a Portland squad that is 25th in defensive rating and 17th in both offensive and defensive rebounding. With J.J. Hickson's average 105 defensive rating and below-average 1.9 block rate opposite him, Duncan should be the go-to man to San Antonio tonight.
Dwight Howard - These three players look familiar? They should: they're the exact same three that we highlighted just two days ago. But if they're still undervalued, then there's no reason not to take advantage. After 20 points, 15 rebounds, and four blocks against New Orleans on Wednesday prove that he's hot, and Toronto isn't much better than New Orleans (DRtg at No. 24, ORB% at No. 21, DRB% at No. 22). Especially in a system where at least one center is mandatory, somebody like Howard is worth the price.
Top Mid-Range Values
Steve Nash - Steve Nash had five points, four rebounds, and one assist against the Hornets on Wednesday in 35 minutes. I think I just threw up in my mouth a bit. But if there's one thing that it's important to beat into people's heads as a stat nerd, it's the idea of regression to the mean. Nash's cost fell after that game by just enough to make him an excellent play; he will not put up those numbers again, guaranteed. And Toronto's 24th-best defensive rating and .494 effective field goal percentage (eFG%) allowed to opposing point guards has a lot to do with it.
Wesley Matthews - I'm honestly very confused about why Matthews' price is so low on both StarStreet and DraftStreet. He's played at least 32 minutes in five of his past six games, he has five double-digit scoring games over the same stretch, and his .539 eFG% is the highest of any non-center on the team (he's less likely to have a random bad shooting night). I know that he's playing the tough Spurs defense, but their .478 eFG% is only slightly better than average (unlike the devastating .469 eFG% allowed to power forwards). For the price, I'll take him in a heartbeat.
Ed Davis - Darrell Arthur: out. Zach Randolph: game-time decision. Helllloooo playing time for Ed Davis. Sure, he didn't exactly capitalize on his start on Wednesday, nabbing only three points and six boards against the Blazers. However, the game before against Orlando, he picked up his first double-double in Memphis in roughly the same situation. I see tonight as a blend of the two, as Cleveland's 27th-best defensive rating and defensive rebound percentage will give him opportunities in the post. Will he capitalize? For that low of a price, it's worth the risk to find out.
