College Basketball Betting Guide: Thursday 2/16/23

College basketball is one of the more entertaining sports to bet on due to the sheer volume of games that take place each day. The season is heating up as conference play winds down, and this is a great time to hone your betting prowess before March Madness.

Using our projections as a guide, which bets should you make via the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook?

Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.

Long Island University at Stonehill

Over 136.5 (-110)

Long Island and Stonehill are abysmal offensively, ranking 363rd and 345th, respectively, in KenPom's adjusted offense. But they both stink on defense, too, and LIU's fast pace should help this game get to the over.

LIU sits 15th adjusted tempo, according to KenPom. When you combine that with their 341st-ranked defense, the Sharks are an over-friendly team. Stonehill doesn't play fast but is an ugly 272nd in adjusted defense.

While just four of the Sharks' last nine games have gone over the total, only two of the games in that span had a listed total of fewer than 139.0 points.

Stonehill and LIU teamed up for 139 points in their first meeting, and Barttorvik has them right at that total again today. Our model projects there to be 142.3 points in this one. We give the over a 63.0% chance to hit.

Wichita State at Temple

Under 136.5 (-110)

Wichita State and Temple have been over machines lately. The market may have overcorrected to it.

Both the Owls and Shockers have seen the over hit in each of their last five games. For Wichita State, the over has gone 10-0 over their last 10. That's pretty wild. The average over/under in that 10-game span is 136.5 points -- the exact total for this one.

But there are reasons to like the under.

KenPom has Temple a solid 97th in adjusted defense and 227th in adjusted tempo. The Shockers have a similar profile, sitting 81st in D and 243rd in tempo. In short, both of these teams are pretty good on defense and play at a slow pace.

Our projections love the under. We forecast there to be just 128.1 points in this game and give the under a 68% chance of cashing. Barttorvik isn't as bullish as our algorithm is but still likes the under, projecting the total at 132.0.

Central Florida at Memphis

Under 149.5 (-110)

This is low-key one of the night's better games as Memphis and Central Florida check in 36th and 60th, respectively, in our nERD-based rankings.

There's good value on the under, according to our numbers.

Memphis plays super fast (16th in adjusted tempo) but is stout on defense (54th). UCF is stingy on D (40th) and plays at a snail's pace (322nd). In the first meeting between these two, Memphis' style won out as the final score was 107-104 in double overtime.

At the end of regulation, the total was 156 points. But both teams shot incredibly well from the free-throw line and also attempted a crap ton of free throws, combining to go 61 of 68 from the stripe (89.7%). Both teams are good from the line but not that good. Memphis shoots 73.9% for the year, and UCF is at 76.5%.

The total for that game was set at 138.5 points, so even without the extra sessions, the over easily won out. The market has adjusted for the rematch, setting the total 11.0 points higher. It looks like that adjustment could be a little too big.

Barttorvik projects the total at 144.0 points. We have it at 142.1 points. There's a good amount of wiggle room between those numbers and this 149.5-point line. Our model gives the under a 66.0% chance to win out.