Fantasy Football: 5 Wide Receivers With Major Touchdown Upside
Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals
Bruce Arians' Arizona Cardinals have been more pass-heavy than league average in the red zone in each of the last three seasons, while they rank ninth in red zone pass-run ratio in that span.
In what was a bounce-back year in just about every statistical category for Larry Fitzgerald, in 2015, he scored 9 touchdowns after scoring only 16 over the past 3 seasons combined. A big part of this success was a return to form in the red zone and on the goal line.
Over the course of his career, Fitzgerald has a 28.82% touchdown rate in the red zone (compared to the league average 23.00% in that span) and a 40.83% goal line touchdown rate (where the league average is 34.78%).
He saw a team-high 22.22% of the Cardinals' red zone targets and 30% of the goal line targets (with 12, while nobody else on the team saw more than 5), and his being an efficient receiver and the primary red zone threat on a potent offense puts him in a good spot in fantasy football.
The Cardinals had the league's top offense in 2015, ranking first in both schedule-adjusted Net Expected Points (NEP) per play with 0.19 and in Passing NEP per play with 0.31. There hasn't been much turn-over on that side of the ball for Arizona, and they're likely going to once again roll out a high-powered offense that should generate tons of scoring chances, giving Fitzgerald big upside.