Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 6

Start Christine Michael as a Favorite

The Seattle Seahawks are currently favored by 6.5 points at home versus the Atlanta Falcons. This scenario sets up well for Seahawks' running back Christine Michael.

Since Pete Carroll took over the Seahawks in 2010, the team has excelled running the ball when favored by six or more points at home. In that situation, according to the Rotoviz Team Splits app, Carroll's teams rushed about 33 times for roughly 154 yards per game and scored an average of 4.5 more points. In games that don't fit that scenario, they averaged about 4 fewer carries and 30 less rushing yards per game.

It's fair to say that most of that rushing production was done by Marshawn Lynch, but Michael has already had success in this scenario in 2016. In Week 3, at home versus the San Francisco 49ers, Michael scored 24.1 FanDuel points. He was even pulled from that game early because it was a blowout.

The Seahawks have a high implied total of 25.75 points, and the over has hit in 4 out of 5 games that the Falcons have played in this season.

He is priced at $7,400, the 8th-highest among running backs. Coming off of an extra week of rest against a defense that is making their second straight road start a long way from home, Michael is in a great spot to be able to exceed his value.