Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 9

Start Colin Kaepernick Because of a High Total

The San Francisco 49ers are coming off of a bye week and are currently 3.5-point underdogs at home versus the New Orleans Saints. The total in this game is 52 points. According to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick has never played in a game with a total of 52 points. However, if we look at his performances in his games with the five highest totals, you will see why he's worth starting in certain formats.

In five career games where the total was 49 points or higher, Kaepernick averaged 20.99 fantasy points per game. His career average in all games is 17.66.

The high total is more appetizing in this matchup because of how these teams have performed in 2016. The 49ers have gone over their game total 5 out of 7 times. The Saints have gone over the total in 4 of 7 games.

When it comes to betting on sports, you rarely ever want to be betting on the same side as the overwhelming majority. For example, the Minnesota Vikings received around 83% of the spread bets on Monday Night Football and ended up getting smoked by Jay Cutler and the Chicago Bears.

According to Bet Labs, teams getting fewer than 20% of the spread bets are 120-73 against the spread since the start of the 2003 season. The Saints are currently receiving 87% of the wagers.

Kaepernick is the perfect tournament play because of his cheap price and high upside. He is currently priced at $7,200 on FanDuel, which ranks 20th among quarterbacks.