Week 10 FanDuel Tournament Pivots
Wide Receiver
Chalk:
Antonio Brown and Mike Evans are both in terrific spots for production and should see heavy ownership. Alshon Jeffery has Jay Cutler back under center and is gaining some traction as a high-upside mid-price range option against a susceptible Tampa Bay Buccaneers secondary. J.J. Nelson should see heavy ownership as a value play as his price still hasn't caught up to his upgraded role.
Pivots:
Julio Jones, $8,800 (at Philadelphia Eagles): Julio Jones finds himself in a situation very similar to that of Ezekiel Elliot this week. People are likely going to want to roster him, but with Brown and Evans both in great spots and a large portion of most FanDuel players' salaries dedicated to David Johnson and/or Melvin Gordon, Jones figures to get lost in translation from an ownership perspective. Similar to Zeke, Jones doesn't have quite as obvious of a path to a big day as Brown or Evans, but the difference in ownership makes rolling the dice on him in tournaments worth your while.
Jones is coming off of a long week of rest after playing on Thursday night and will take on the Eagles this week, who began the year stifling opposing receivers but have struggled to slow down elite receivers recently. Their early-season success could only be expected to continue for so long, given their relative lack of talent at their perimeter corner spots. Both Leodis McKelvin and Nolan Carroll grade out below a 53 on a 100-point scale according to Pro Football Focus' coverage grades. Considering what Dez Bryant and Odell Beckham have done to them over the past two weeks (159 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns), it wouldn't be surprising at all to see Julio post a monster performance.
Stefon Diggs, $6,700 (at Washington Redskins): Diggs offers a $500 discount off of Alshon Jeffery and should see much lower ownership due to a perceived tough matchup against Josh Norman. Keep in mind, though, that Diggs will play snaps from the slot, where Norman doesn't move to. And, unlike Jeffery, Diggs has proven that his team trusts him to be a target monster, handling 27 targets over the past two weeks and 54 in the five games he hasn't been nursing an injury. Given how involved he has been for Minnesota's offense since his return from injury, Diggs is worth a look as a way to differentiate your lineups in tournaments.
Jordan Matthews, $5,900 (vs Atlanta Falcons): Jordan Matthews comes in as a pivot off of J.J. Nelson, who is likely to be much more popular at $5,400. Matthews has been peppered with targets over the past two weeks, seeing 25 of Carson Wentz's throws go in his direction. As discussed previously, this game has a high likelihood of turning into a shootout, so Matthews should continue to see a heavy workload.
Atlanta has allowed the second-most FanDuel points per game to opposing receivers this season, and they've really struggled when defending the slot. As pointed out by NFL.com's Matt Harmon, Atlanta had given up a league-high 129.9 yards and 15.6 targets per game to opposing slot receivers heading into Week 9, in which they allowed a productive game to Adam Humphries (5 catches for 41 yards and a touchdown). A big reason for that is lock-down corner Desmond Trufant rarely visits the slot, spending 82 percent of his time on the perimeter, per Pro Football Focus. Matthews has run 70 percent of his routes from the slot this season, and should have no trouble against Brian Poole, whom he has a six-inch height advantage over.
Matthews is really shaping up to be an awesome play given his price, volume, and matchup, yet he isn't getting the attention that the shiny new toy J.J. Nelson is. If you aren't yet comfortable with Nelson's role for Arizona, Matthews is an excellent pivot. You can also split the chalk and roster both, which makes a lot of sense from a salary perspective if trying to pay up at running back.