Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 11

Start LeGarrette Blount as a Double-Digit Favorite

We have all heard the old saying "quitters never win". Well, this applies to most people, but not LeGarrette Blount. Blount essentially quit on the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2014 in the middle of a game because he was not receiving any carries in a game where Le'Veon Bell ran for over 200 yards. He was released that week only to be picked up by the New England Patriots. Since then, Blount went on to win a Super Bowl and currently leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns.

The Vegas trends for this week indicate that his dominance should continue. The Patriots are 13.5-point road favorites in their matchup against the San Francisco 49ers. According to Bet Labs Sports, there has not been a road favorite of 13 or more points since 2009. The Pats are the biggest favorites this weekend and also carry the highest implied total of 31.75 points.

According to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, Blount has played in 6 games as a favorite of 10 or more points and has averaged 14.32 half-PPR points per game in those instances. His career average in all games is 8.8 half-PPR points.

Blount is priced at $7,300 on FanDuel, which makes him the eighth-most expensive back. At that price, he is a value in both cash and tournament games since he possesses top-five upside at the running back position thanks to his touchdown potential.