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Carry Market Shares

1. The Patriots Are a Mess Again

Speaking of disasters, the New England Patriots' backfield is -- once again -- a landmine waiting to unleash bloodshed on your bankroll.

We had enough concerns about LeGarrette Blount's snap rate when it was just James White and him handling duties. Now, Dion Lewis is back, and he's getting enough work where we may not even be able to count on Blount when the Patriots have big leads.

In Sunday's game against the New York Jets, Lewis snagged six carries out of a total 17 for the team's running backs with Blount handling the other 11. Lewis added seven targets while White had nine, meaning all three had between nine and 13 total opportunities. The snaps were equally muddy with all three between 27 and 23, led by Blount with Lewis at the rear. This is a three-headed monster, and nobody has a stranglehold on fantasy relevancy.

The Patriots will likely be heavy favorites this week at home against the Los Angeles Rams, a spot where we'd normally love to roll out Blount. There's obviously incentive to do so even in his reduced role due to touchdown upside, but ignoring the risks in his usage is bad pratice, and it may be best just to look elsewhere for the time being.

2. Kenneth Dixon Slides Past Terrance West

We've been hearing all along that Kenneth Dixon would eventually ascend to the top of the Baltimore Ravens' totem pole. It may not have happened as quickly as predicted, but the passing of that torch appears to have happened in Week 12.

Both Dixon and Terrance West had the exact same number of opportunities -- 13 carries and four targets -- marking the first time West didn't out-touch Dixon this season. That would have been enough to push us onto Dixon going forward, but the added context of the situation in that game only swings the pendulum further in Dixon's favor.

The Ravens led this game wire to wire, a game script you would assume would favor West, given his generally one-dimensional contributions on the ground. Instead, Dixon out-snapped West, 31-23, and tied him in opportunities. If West couldn't out-touch Dixon given those conditions, it's hard to see him doing so again this season, meaning Dixon's the guy we want to target in this backfield until further notice.

3. We Can Believe in Latavius Murray

With DeAndre Washington a healthy scratch Sunday, it seemed like the perfect time for Latavius Murray to snag the Oakland Raiders' backfield job for himself. He may not have run away with it, but he certainly gave his fantasy stock a healthy nudge in the right direction.

Murray had 19 of 26 running-back carries Sunday with Jalen Richard scooping up the other seven. It was Murray's second-highest carry total of the season, and his 23 total opportunities tied a season high. Additionally, Murray played 66% of the snaps, another high-water mark for the year. From a usage standpoint, this was easily Murray's best outing in 2016.

This type of game increases the floor of a guy who already had a decent ceiling. Murray had seven red zone carries Sunday, his third time with five or more in the past five games. Pricing for DFS isn't close to reflecting Murray's current value, and we'll want to get a piece before things properly adjust.