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Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 14

Matt Blair  —  @grizzlyblair Dec 9th, 2016
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Start Matthew Stafford as a Favorite

The Detroit Lions are 7.5-point home favorites against the Chicago Bears. This bodes well for Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford.

According to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, Stafford has averaged 24.83 fantasy points in 55 career games as a favorite. I touted Stafford as a must-start earlier this season because his career average is better than the per-game averages of Tom Brady and Peyton Manning in that situation.

Sean Fakete also tells us that quarterbacks have scored 20.4% more fantasy points per game when their teams have won this season, and the Lions are most likely to win according to these odds from Vegas.

Stafford is priced at $8,500, the third-highest among quarterbacks on FanDuel. It's a hefty price, but he is safe to start in both cash games and tournaments due to his high floor and even higher upside.

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