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Fantasy Football: 4 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Wild Card Weekend

Matt Blair  —  @grizzlyblair Jan 5th, 2017
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Start Doug Baldwin as a Home Favorite

The Seattle Seahawks are favored by eight points at home against the Detroit Lions. Since Doug Baldwin broke out in 2015, playing at home as a favorite has benefited him greatly.

According to the Rotoviz Game Splits App, since the start of 2015, Baldwin has averaged 15.93 half-PPR points per game when the Seahawks were home favorites. In nine games where the Seahawks were favored by more than a touchdown, Baldwin's average rose to 17.03 half-PPR points per game.

The Seahawks have an implied total of 25.5 points, which is the second-highest of the weekend slate.

Baldwin is a logical cash-game and tournament play because of his high upside and seemingly safe floor. He is currently priced at $6,900 on FanDuel, which ranks sixth among wideouts. He's a great fade on more expensive receivers like Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham and Jordy Nelson.

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