NFL
The 10 Most Impactful Plays From Wild Card Weekend
6. Antonio Brown Goes the Distance Again
Win Probability Added: 7.20%
Antonio Brown Scores First Career Postseason Touchdown By Torching The Miami Dolphins Defense For 50-Yard TD pic.twitter.com/9UawSoDFBF
— SportsCast (@SportsCast_THN) January 8, 2017
And here's the other one.
Compared to AB's second touchdown, this one did about 0.70% more in win probability added. Again, it's not that this was more impressive than his 62-yarder -- though you could argue it is -- it's mostly the fact that it came when the game was tied. A closer game naturally means one big play can drastically change a team's odds to win. Had this come in the fourth quarter in a tied game, we'd be looking at a win probability change that's probably five times as big as this one.