10 Fantasy Football Bounceback Candidates for 2017
Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks
Russell Wilson had been declining as a passer since he entered the league until his 2015 season, when he ranked third among 37 passers with at least 200 drop backs in Passing NEP per drop back (0.30). The NFL average that season was 0.11.
Plus, 51.89% of his drop backs led to expected point gains in 2015. That ranked fifth among qualified passers and outpaced the NFL average of 47.02%.
Obviously, things weren't quite so great last year, and that's why he's in this piece. His Passing NEP per drop back was sliced to 0.14, which ranked 16th among 34 quarterbacks with at least 200 drop backs. His Success Rate, though, was still 49.74%, which ranked ninth.
The Seattle Seahawks' offensive line was dreadful by every measure in 2016, and things aren't exactly a lot better in 2017, but if you remove sacks, Wilson ranked sixth in Success Rate.
Wilson's diet is on point (for what that's worth), and his health shouldn't hold him back. His career year in 2015 came with a terrible line, and his mobility and arm could combine for his best year to date against the 17th-ranked pass defense schedule, per our metrics.