The 7 Riskiest Players in Fantasy Football
6. Eddie Lacy, RB, Seattle Seahawks
Like Jeffery, Eddie Lacy found a new home this offseason when he signed with the Seattle Seahawks, moving to the Pacific Northwest after spending the first four years of his career with the Green Bay Packers.
Lacy burst onto the scene early in his career, finishing with the sixth-most fantasy points among all running backs in each of his two seasons. But his efficiency did decline after each of those seasons, and his fantasy performance took a significant hit during his third year.
In addition to standard-league fantasy points, this table also looks at his Rushing NEP per carry.
Year | Games | Fantasy Points | Fantasy RB Finish | Rushing NEP/Attempt |
---|---|---|---|---|
2013 | 15 | 207.5 | 6th | 0.01 |
2014 | 16 | 230.6 | 6th | -0.03 |
2015 | 15 | 120.6 | 26th | -0.06 |
2016 | 5 | 38.8 | 66th | 0.08 |
While he failed to score a touchdown in 2016 and played only five games due to an ankle injury, Lacy was good in the small sample, posting the best Rushing NEP per carry of his career.
Following surgery to repair that ankle, Lacy is now in Seattle competing with Thomas Rawls and C.J. Prosise for the Seahawks' starting running back job. He will need to prove that his ankle is healthy, keep his weight down, and beat out those other two backs in order to be a fantasy relevant player this season.
Even if he can do all of that, there is still a chance he disappoints fantasy owners, as he will be running behind the offensive line that Pro Football Focus ranks dead last in the NFL.
If he can't overcome all of that and ends up near his floor projection as the RB38, he will be no better than a reserve player on most fantasy rosters in 2017. On the other hand, grabbing the potential RB17 -- his ceiling, per our models -- as the 27th running back (his current ADP) off the board could help fantasy owners in a big way.