30 Fantasy Football Bold Predictions for the 2017 Season
Shane Vereen Will Outscore Paul Perkins
Why This Is Bold: In most PPR leagues, Vereen is going undrafted, while Perkins is a late-sixth rounder.
Why This Will Happen: Vereen only played five games last year due to injury, but in two of those games, he led the Giants backfield in snaps. And we shouldn't forget that, during his first year on the team in 2015, Vereen actually led the Giants in percentage of team snaps played.
He'll serve as the team's primary pass-catching back this season -- we know that's his specialty -- and that brings more value to PPR formats, as a target is worth roughly three times as much as a rushing attempt is. And with the NFC East seeing one of the tougher schedules this season, there could be negative game scripts that favor Vereen's skillset.
But it's not so much that Vereen should go HAM this year -- this is just to say he could have some sort of floor given how the G-Men have used him in the past. Perkins himself has some question marks, which is probably the bigger deal. Not only will Vereen cap his upside as a pass-catcher, but what if he's not even the primary goal line guy? At sub-200 pounds, that's no guarantee.
And what if he's just not very good in general? It's been reported that no one's been blown away by his play at camp, and if you look at his prospecting profile (we've got a limited sample from last year), Perkins comes in with slightly above-average production and below-average athleticism.
He's no lock.