Fantasy Football Week 2 Market Share Report: Chris Hogan's New Role

Red-Zone Market Shares

1. C.J. Anderson Gets Work in Close

When Trevor Siemian put his "4.38" speed on display with a rushing touchdown in Week 1, C.J. Anderson investors could have been a bit bummed about the missed goal-line opportunity. He has already made up for that, though.

Through two games, the Denver Broncos have run 29 plays in the red zone; 11 of them have resulted in opportunities for Anderson with nine carries and two targets. His 5.5 red-zone opportunities per game are tied with Mike Gillislee for most in football among running backs on teams that have played at least two games. That's pretty big from an upside perspective.

It also doesn't hurt that the team has been generating abundant trips to this part of the field. Adding guard Ronald Leary and tackle Menelik Watson in free agency before drafting tackle Garrett Bolles in the first round seems to have been a major boon for the team's overall efficiency. Bolles did leave Sunday's game due to an injury, but it's not going to cut his season short.

This means Anderson's the lead back who has played 71.2% of the team's snaps on an improving offense. There's tons of fantasy value in that, and his $6,900 price tag on FanDuel doesn't fully reflect that yet.

2. Derrick Henry Provides Worry for DeMarco Murray

Whether it's due to a lopsided score or a tight hamstring, this much is clear for DeMarco Murray: Derrick Henry is cutting into his workload.

In the Tennessee Titans' 37-16 victory over the Jaguars, Henry outcarried Murray, 14-9. This was while Murray played just 54.4% of the snaps, his lowest total as a member of the Titans outside of Week 17 of last year.

There are two explanations for this. First, the score allowed the Titans to give Murray a rest. And, based on the distribution of the carries, this partially holds up. Murray had all nine carries through the first three quarters compared to five for Henry. Most of Henry's run came in the fourth quarter when they were icing the game away.

This shouldn't nullify all concerns, though. Basically, it would limit the game scripts in which Murray would be viable. We need the Titans to be leading so they can give him volume on the ground, but they can't lead by too much, lest Henry enter the game. On top of that, even before the fourth quarter, Henry was eating into Murray's red-zone usage, getting two carries to Murray's one.

The other explanation is that the hamstring truly did come into play. But do you want to own an asset who is less than 100% with a former second-round pick nipping at his heels? Personally, I would not. It's time to sell Murray if you can in season-long leagues. In DFS, his pricing is cheap this week at $6,500 on FanDuel, but even that may not be enough to compensate for Henry's increased presence.

3. Chris Hogan's Role Shifts

Both last year and in Week 1 of 2017, Chris Hogan was a pure deep threat for the New England Patriots. A full 40.82% of his targets in that span were at least 16 yards downfield. He didn't have any such looks in Week 2 against the Saints, but he got plenty of love in the red zone.

On the day, Tom Brady threw the ball seven times in the red zone. Three of them wound up as targets for Hogan, and no other player had more than one. Hogan caught two of the targets, converting one into a score.

With Julian Edelman and Malcolm Mitchell on injured reserve and Martellus Bennett joining the Green Bay Packers, the team's top three red-zone targets from last year are all gone. Rob Gronkowski will fill part of that void, but he is now dealing with a groin injury. That opens the door for more involvement for Hogan.

Even with the team's losses, it's going to be hard to pin down which receiver will go off in a given week. But we know they're going to generate red-zone opportunities, and whichever player can emerge as a safety blanket there could provide touchdown upside. We can't say Hogan will do that yet, but Sunday was at least a step in the right direction.