3 Bold NFL Predictions for Week 6

Josh McCown Will Be a Top-10 Quarterback

Why This Is Bold: Josh McCown ranks 25th in points among quarterbacks this season and has accounted for multiple touchdowns in just two of his five games. Our projections rank him as this week's 18th best option at quarterback.

Why This Will Happen: McCown and the New York Jets take on the New England Patriots, a team that has struggled to contain opposing passers. New England has allowed more fantasy points to quarterbacks than any unit in the NFL, and our advanced metrics back this up. The Patriots have been far more vulnerable through the air than on the ground, and their Adjusted Defensive Passing Net Expected Points (NEP) per play is 28th in the league, versus an Adjusted Defensive Rushing NEP per play that ranks 16th.

The Jets have surprised with a 3-2 record this season, but opened as 9.5-point underdogs to the Patriots, according to Oddsshark. In a game that our algorithm gives New England a 74.2 percent chance of winning, game script should be in McCown's favor.