Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 14

Start Lamar Miller as a Favorite

In one of the least exciting matchups of the weekend, the Houston Texans are 2.5-point favorites versus the San Francisco 49ers. We like to target Lamar Miller when the Texans are favored.

In seven games as a three-point favorite or higher (which the line has been at for some time this week), Miller has averaged close to 15 half-PPR points per game. Also, head coach Bill O'Brien tends to lean on the running game more when his team is favored.

At $6,600, Miller is tied for 16th-highest salary among running backs. He should see plenty of carries in an injury-depleted offense and is a worthy start in all formats.