NFL

Which Wide Receiver Prospects Dominated the Most Games in 2017?

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8. Courtland Sutton, Southern Methodist Mustangs

Courtland Sutton had some competition on his own team this year, as his 27.9% target market share was second to Trey Quinn's 33.5%.

Sutton -- 6'4" and 216 pounds -- took over 5 of 13 games by our baseline, however. The small issue? Those games came against weak pass defenses. Check out his game log, sorted by receiving yards market share.

Game LogRecYardsY/RTDYards MS%Opp. S&P+
Louisiana Tech66811.3053.5%97
Navy712317.6247.1%104
North Texas816320.4441.4%120
Houston1116014.5040.3%67
Connecticut711216.0240.0%121
Tulsa613622.7037.2%107
Tulane610717.8028.5%79
Cincinnati68113.5227.5%96
Central Florida5469.2016.3%27
Memphis13535.0116.1%50
Arkansas State23216.0012.0%64
Stephen F. Austin22211.019.9%
Texas Christian100.000.0%15


In fairness to Sutton, a lot of those games were against weak opponents -- top to bottom -- it just so happened that four of his five big games by receiving market share were against opponents outside the top 95 in pass defense.

In his four games against top-65 opponents by pass defense S&P+, his receiving market shares were his four of his five weakest games by yardage market share.