Fantasy Football: 5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 1

Start T.Y. Hilton in a Close Game

For the first time since the 2016 season, T.Y. Hilton will play with Andrew Luck under center. He and the Indianapolis Colts face off against the Cincinnati Bengals as 2.5-point favorites. The Colts will roll out Ryan Grant, who had one catch in the entire preseason, opposite of Hilton. The air game will run through Hilton, and he’s in a spot that has proven fruitful in the past.

When Vegas has the Colts plus or minus a field goal, Hilton’s fantasy production has gone up by nearly two half-PPR points per game. If the taste of 2017 Hilton still lingers with DFS players, Hilton’s usage will make him not only a value for his salary of $7,200, but he could be under-owned, as well.