5 Historical Vegas Trends You Should Know for Week 4

Aaron Rodgers Is Money as a Home Favorite

Aaron Rodgers currently costs $8,500 this week, the lowest he's cost in 15 games. Despite this price dip, he gets to face the Buffalo Bills as a 10-point favorite, the largest on the main slate. He also does so at home.

The Bills are coming off of an incredible performance, holding the Minnesota Vikings to six points. However, they still rank in the bottom half of pass defenses, per numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics. Coming off of a down week and given the Bills' Week 3 showing, Rodgers may go a little under-owned in DFS, but he's in a spot in which he has delivered some of his best performances historically.

Most notably, Rodgers is hyper-efficient in these games, averaging a touchdown every 11.6 attempts as well as 8.3 yards per attempt. If you want to pay up for a passer, Rodgers is the guy this week.