5 NFL Red Zone Trends to Monitor for Week 9

Adrian Peterson Throwing it Back to 2015

With the exception of his injury-shortened, one-game 2014 campaign, Adrian Peterson scored at least 10 touchdowns every season from his rookie year in 2007 through the 2015 campaign.

He also lost most of the 2016 season to injury, and he looked completely washed up in 2017. With four touchdowns through Week 8 of the 2018 season he may be an underdog to hit double-digits again, but his recent red zone work does make that a real possibility.

After opening the year with 7 red zone opportunities in a touchdown-scoring Week 1 performance, AP didn't crack 50% in any of his next three games (though he did score 2 touchdowns in this time).

But the last three games have been money for Peterson. Even though he has only scored in one of the three, he has at least half of the team's red zone opportunities in each of those outings, for a combined 58.9% market share in that time.

As far as season-long numbers go, that moves up to 43.4% -- the 4th-highest mark in the NFL. His rushing workload has carried him, as he his 10% target market share is at least 14% lower than anyone else in the top-five for opportunities, and his 21 red zone carries are tied for the third-most in the NFL.

Washington's offense isn't anything special, ranking 22nd by numberFire's metrics, but a market share this high gives Peterson the potential for big touchdown numbers anyway.