NFL

5 NFL Red Zone Trends to Monitor for Week 16

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Derrick Henry's Dominance Continues

I talked about it last week, but with another two touchdowns in Week 15, it's worth taking another look at just how much red zone work Derrick Henry is getting.

His 11 red zone opportunities (carries plus targets) were the most in the NFL this week. Raw volume isn't always telling, though, because of the huge variety in red zone snaps we can see from team-to-team.

In Henry's case, it is telling. He handled 84.6% of the Tennessee Titans' red zone opportunities in Week 15, which was also the league's highest market share for the week.

His market share sits at 54.1% over the last three weeks, while Dion Lewis has all but disappeared inside the 20-yard line, with a 13.5% market share and 0 opportunities in Week 15.

For context on how massive a workload Henry is seeing in the red zone, nobody in the NFL has an opportunity market share above 48.5% for the season. The 6.7 he's averaging per game the last three weeks would give him 93.3 if extrapolated over all 14 games this year. The highest mark in the NFL is 83.

Sure, his six touchdowns in the last two games are sure to regress, but with a red zone workload like this, he continues to offer elite touchdown upside down the stretch.